experimental variables.
All experiments have three different variables: the independent, dependent and control variables. The independent variable is the one you change. The dependent variable is the one which depends on what has been changed, therefore it is the one that is measured. The control variable is one which has been kept the same.
Independent variable | The concentration of sucrose solution. |
Dependent variable | The change in mass of the potato cylinders. |
Control variable | The volume of sucrose solution used and the dimensions of the potato cylinders. |
When carrying out experiments, it is very important to consider safety precautions. This is so you and others do not get hurt.
This is your instructions on how to complete the experiment.
10 cm3 of each concentration of sucrose solution into boiling tubes. Put 10 cm3 of distilled water into the fifth boiling tube. Make sure to label each tube accordingly. | |
This is how you can use your data to be able to form conclusions.
change in mass=final mass −initial mass | |
percentage change in mass=initial massfinal mass − initial mass×100 | |
y-axis as it is based on the dependent variable. The sucrose solution concentration should be on the x-axis because it is the independent variable. Draw a line through the points on the graph. |
Your graph should show a negative correlation between sucrose solution concentration and percentage change in mass. As the sucrose concentration increases, the percentage change in mass increases. In the strongest sucrose concentration, the potato cylinder will have decreased its mass the most. This is because there is a greater concentration gradient between the potato cells which have a higher water potential, and the sucrose solution which has a lower water potential. As a result, a greater number of water molecules will move out of the potato cells by osmosis. This makes the potato cells flaccid and they will decrease their overall mass.
Once you have completed your experiment, it will be important to consider the quality of your data and how accurate your results are. Identify potential sources of random or systematic error and suggest possible improvements and further investigations.
A limitation of this experiment could be that there are slight differences in the size of the potato cylinders. Therefore, for each sucrose concentration, the experiment should be repeated with several cylinders. By doing this, any anomalies can be identified and a mean value can be calculated. This will make the percentage change in mass more accurate.
6 Exercises
4 Exercises
Faqs - frequently asked questions, what are the control variables for the osmosis required practical for gcse biology.
The control variables for the osmosis required practical for GCSE biology include the volume of sucrose solution used and the dimensions of the potato cylinders.
The independent variable for the osmosis required practical for GCSE biology is the concentration of sucrose solution.
One of the hazards in the osmosis required practical is the scalpel. The scalpel may cut your skin. Be careful when picking up the scalpel and make sure to put it somewhere safe once you have finished using it.
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In this article we will discuss about:- 1. Subject-Matter of Water Potential 2. Measurement of Water Potential 3. Methods 4. Components 5. Water Potential in Cells 6. Movement of Water from Cell to Cell.
In recent years the term chemical potential of water is replaced by water potential. This is designated by the Greek letter psi (Ψ). Water potential is measured in bars. The latter is a pressure unit. When the water potential in a plant cell or tissue is low the latter is capable of absorbing water.
On the other hand, if the water potential of the cell tissue is high it indicates their ability to make available water to the desiccating surrounding cells. Clearly water potential is used as a measure to determine whether the tissue is under water stress or water deficit.
It needs mentioning that it is the difference between the water potential in a system under study and that in a reference state which is taken as the water potential value.
The reference state is pure water at the temperature and atmospheric pressure comparable to that of the system being investigated. As will be clear from Fig. 6-2, the water potential in the reference state is arbitrarily taken a value of 0 bar. The same figure also shows range of Ψ in the different tissues. As will be observed herbaceous leaves of mesophytes have water potentials ranging from —2 to —8 bars.
When the water decreases in the soil the water potential tends to become more negative than —8 bars. It may be added that if the water potential falls beyond —15 bars, most plant tissues stop growing.
The response of herbaceous and desert-growing plant leaves vary when the water potential falls below —20 to —30 bars. Similarly seeds and pollen or spores are having very low water potentials and the values may be as low as —60 to —100 bars.
In studies concerning plant water relations, information on water potential in plant cells and tissues is very vital. Several methods are used to measure water potential but none of them is infallible.
Some of the methods are given below:
i. Vapour Equilibrium Method:
Here the pressure of water vapour in equilibrium with the water in a tissue sample enclosed in a small chamber is measured.
The water vapour pressure is measured with the help of thermocouple psychrometer. This is an accurate method to measure tissue water potential.
Some of these psychrometers can measure the water potential of attached leaves up to ± 1 bar.
ii. Vapour Immersion M ethod:
This method is based on the fact that when a plant tissue is placed in an atmosphere in which water vapour is maintained at constant vapour pressure, there will be a net transfer of water between the tissues and the surrounding atmosphere till an equilibrium is reached.
The difference in the water potentials of the tissue and the environment will determine the quantity of water transferred.
iii. Liquid Immersion M ethod:
Usually two methods are employed and these are the liquid immersion and dye methods. The former is similar to the vapour immersion method. In general, dye method has several advantages.
iv. Pressure Chamber Method:
Using pressure chamber water potential can be measured within minutes. Further compared to other methods, no precise temperature controls are needed.
The apparatus is also relatively less expensive. This method is especially suited for field studies.
Keeping in view that a typical plant cell is made up of a vacuole, a cell wall and the cytoplasm between the two, usually three major sets of internal factors are visualized which contribute towards water potential (Fig. 6-3).
These are shown below:
Ψ or Ψ w = Ψ M + Ψ s + Ψ p ; Ψ s = Ψ π
From the given equation it may be inferred that water potential in a plant cell is equal to the sum of the matric potential (Ψ M ) which is due to the binding of water molecules to protoplasmic and cell wall contents, the solute potential (Ψ s ; Ψ π ) due to the dissolved solutes in the vacuoles and lastly the pressure potential (Ψ p ) which is due to the pressure developed within cells and tissues. These potentials like the water potential are expressed in terms of bars.
In the followings brief accounts of the three components of water potential are given:
i. Matric Potential:
Matric refers to the matrix. It is the force of adsorption with which some water is held over the surface of collodial particles in the cell wall and cytoplasm.
It is also written in negative values. In the young cells, seeds and cells of xerophytes its value is appreciable. In the cells of mesophytic plants this is nearly —0.1 atm.
In such instances matric potential is often ignored since it does not contribute significantly to the total water potential.
Accordingly sometimes the equation is modified as below:
Ψ or Ψ w = Ψ s + Ψ p
ii. Solute Potential:
This refers to the potential developed by the solute particles in a solution. It is equal to the osmotic potential. Solute potential depends upon the number of particles. In fact, solute potential has replaced the old term osmotic pressure.
The difference is that while the former is expressed in bars with a negative, the latter is written as positive bars. Accordingly when the solute potential decreases it attains more negative value. Several methods are used to measure solute potential in an extracted cell sap. One of these is through the usage of thermocouple psychrometer. Solute potential values vary in plant cells from different species.
iii. Pressure P otential:
This is the hydrostatic pressure which develops in a plant cell due to the inward flow of water: (Ψ p ). It is also referred to the turgor pressure. Environmental conditions greatly influence the volume, water content, water potential and pressure potential of a cell. In a plasmolysed plant cell, the turgor pressure is zero.
Thus water potential equals the solute pressure or negative osmotic pressure. Or the other hand, in the fully turgid state, the water potential of the cell is zero. At this moment, pressure potential or turgor pressure is equal to solute pressure. Currently very few methods are available to measure pressure potential.
Figure 6-3. A summary diagram showing relationship of different potentials in a cell having elastic walls.
The concepts developed on the basis of artificial systems using sugar solution can be successfully transferred to a cell (Fig. 6-4).
Cell is enclosed by a semipermeable membrane and osmosis takes place across this membrane. If a cell is immersed in a solution having high Ψ π (e.g. pure water or a dilute solution), water will diffuse in the cell and the latter will become turgid.
The external solution is referred to as hypotonic solution. In a situation where cell is immersed in a solution having Ψ π equal to its cell sap, no net water diffusion would occur and the cell will remain flaccid or lacks turgor. This solution is called isotonic solution. If the concentration of external solution is more than the cell sap, its Ψ π will be lower than that of the cell sap. If a cell is immersed in such a solution (hypertonic), water will diffuse out and the protoplast will pull inside and become plasmolyzed [Fig. 6-4 (C)].
If such a plasmolyzed cell is placed again in a hypotonic solution, it will again become turgid.
Water potential of a cell has two components (e.g., osmotic and pressure potentials) as follows:
Ψ = Ψ π + Ψ p
When a cell is immersed in water or a solution and comes in equilibrium the water poential of cell (Ψinside) is equal to the water potential outside (Ψ outside):
Ψ π (inside) + Ψ p (inside) = Ψ (inside) = Ψ (outside)
Ψ (outside) is also the total of Ψ π (outside) and Ψ p (outside). At atmospheric pressure Ψ p = 0, therefore Ψ (outside) = Ψ π (outside).
Thus at equilibrium
Ψ π (inside) + Ψ p (inside) =Ψ π (outside)
This may also be mentioned as Ψ π (inside) = Ψ π (outside) -Ψ p (inside) and this osmotic potential of the cell sap can thus be measured.
Differences in water potential (∆Ψ) are important for the water movement in and out of the cell. These differences are relevant as compared with the environments. Likewise water moves from cell to cell by diffusing down the water potential gradient between the two cells.
The direction of water movement and the force of movement are linked with water potential in each cell and also on the difference between the water potential of the two cells (Fig. 6-5).
In the instance mentioned below we observe that:
V = volume of the solution containing a given amount of the solutes
T = temperature as expressed in degree absolute
R = gas constant (solute molecules freely diffuse as if they were a gas, the constants K 1 and K 2 can be replaced by it).
Water movement as explained on the basis of old approach to osmosis:
For a long time osmosis was explained on the basis of water diffusion from a zone of high concentration to the lower concentration (diffusion pressure deficit: DPD).
However, this is not correct since some of the solutions occupy a volume smaller than the same weight of pure water.
It was also believed that a solution in a cell was as if sucking water into the cell by a force regarded as a negative pressure.
Several terms w ere used to explain these concepts. In recent years several of these terms have been discarded and more acceptable explanations based on thermodynamic concepts have been advanced. Terms used currently and their old equivalent corresponding terms are given in Table 6-1.
Biology , Plant Physiology , Movement of Substances , Water Potential
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Investigating transport across membranes, investigating diffusion.
We can investigate how diffusion occurs in biological cells by using cubes of agar jelly. The basic concept of this experiment is outlined below:
Table of Contents
We can alter different parts of this experiment to model how different factors affect the rate of diffusion.
Osmosis is the movement of water molecules from an area of high water potential to an of low water potential by osmosis. Water potential is determined by the concentration of solutes in the solutions on either side of the cell membrane.
This experiment involves placing plant tissue, e.g. potato cylinders, in varying concentrations of sucrose solutions to determine the water potential of the plant tissues.
Visking tubing is an artificial membrane that is selectively permeable as it has many microscopic pores. This allows smaller molecules such as water and glucose to pass through it, while larger molecules such as starch and sucrose are unable to cross the membrane.
Transport across membranes is the movement of substances such as ions, molecules, and fluids from one side of a biological membrane to the other. This process is crucial for maintaining cellular homeostasis and allowing cells to exchange materials with their environment.
Investigating transport across membranes is important because it helps us understand the mechanisms by which cells regulate the flow of substances in and out of the cell. This is essential for understanding cellular processes such as metabolic reactions, waste removal, and communication between cells.
There are several methods used to investigate transport across membranes, including: Diffusion experiments to study the movement of substances through the lipid bilayer Osmosis experiments to study the movement of water across a semi-permeable membrane Active transport experiments to study the movement of substances against a concentration gradient with the use of energy Electrochemical experiments to study the movement of ions across the membrane
Factors that can affect transport across membranes include the size of the substance being transported, the charge of the substance, the concentration gradient, and the presence of specific transport proteins.
Transport across membranes can be measured in a variety of ways, including measuring changes in substance concentration, changes in electrical potential, and changes in fluid movement.
The limitations of investigating transport across membranes include the difficulty of obtaining pure and intact biological membranes, the potential for damage to the membrane during experimentation, and the limitations of experimental techniques.
In A-Level Biology, knowledge of transport across membranes can be applied to understand cellular processes such as the movement of nutrients and waste, the regulation of cell volume, and the communication between cells. This knowledge is also important for understanding diseases and disorders related to the malfunction of transport processes, such as cystic fibrosis and diabetes.
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Sufficient water availability in the environment is critical for plant survival. Perception of water by plants is necessary to balance water uptake and water loss and to control plant growth. Plant physiology and soil science research have contributed greatly to our understanding of how water moves through soil, is taken up by roots, and moves to leaves where it is lost to the atmosphere by transpiration. Water uptake from the soil is affected by soil texture itself and soil water content. Hydraulic resistances for water flow through soil can be a major limitation for plant water uptake. Changes in water supply and water loss affect water potential gradients inside plants. Likewise, growth creates water potential gradients. It is known that plants respond to changes in these gradients. Water flow and loss are controlled through stomata and regulation of hydraulic conductance via aquaporins. When water availability declines, water loss is limited through stomatal closure and by adjusting hydraulic conductance to maintain cell turgor. Plants also adapt to changes in water supply by growing their roots towards water and through refinements to their root system architecture. Mechanosensitive ion channels, aquaporins, proteins that sense the cell wall and cell membrane environment, and proteins that change conformation in response to osmotic or turgor changes could serve as putative sensors. Future research is required to better understand processes in the rhizosphere during soil drying and how plants respond to spatial differences in water availability. It remains to be investigated how changes in water availability and water loss affect different tissues and cells in plants and how these biophysical signals are translated into chemical signals that feed into signaling pathways like abscisic acid response or organ development.
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Plant aquaporins and abiotic stress.
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The information, data, or work presented herein was funded in part by the Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E), U.S. Department of Energy, under Award Number DE-AR 1565-1555 and in part by a Faculty Scholar grant from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute and the Simons Foundation, both awarded to JRD.
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Johannes Daniel Scharwies & José R. Dinneny
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Scharwies, J.D., Dinneny, J.R. Water transport, perception, and response in plants. J Plant Res 132 , 311–324 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10265-019-01089-8
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Received : 12 December 2018
Accepted : 16 January 2019
Published : 11 February 2019
Issue Date : 07 May 2019
DOI : https://doi.org/10.1007/s10265-019-01089-8
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Kimberly a. novick.
1 O’Neill School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University – Bloomington. Bloomington, IN USA.
2 Department of Geography, Indiana University – Bloomington. Bloomington, IN USA.
3 Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management. University of California, Berkeley. Berkeley, CA, USA
4 Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science and Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA.
5 Life and Environmental Sciences Department, University of California – Merced. Merced, CA, USA.
6 Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University. Stanford, CA, USA.
Nina raoult.
7 Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement. Paris, France.
8 Southwest Watershed Research Center, USDA – Agricultural Research Service. Tucson, AZ, USA.
9 Department of Plant Science. The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA.
10 Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory. Oak Ridge, TN, USA.
11 School of Natural Resources, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, USA
Author Contributions : K.A.N. conceived of the study, with substantial input from D.L.F, A.G.K., K.J.D., T.G., R.S.L, B.N.S., Y.S., and N.M. Data analyses were performed by K.A.N, T.G., D.L.F. and N.R., who also created the resulting figures. D.B., R.L.S., K.A.N. and J.D.W contributed AmeriFlux data used in Figure 4 . All authors wrote the text and provided substantial conceptual input to the manuscript.
The FLUXNET tower data appearing in Fig. 3 are from the FLUXNET 2015 dataset (DOIs 10.18140/FLX/1440186 for SD-Dem, 10.18140/FLX/1440071 for US-HA1, and 10.18140/FLX/1440160 FI-SOD. The AmeriFlux tower data appearing in Fig. 4 are available from the AmeriFlux network with the following DOIs: 10.17190/AMF/1246080 for US-MMS, 10.17190/AMF/1246081 for US-MOz, 10.17190/AMF/1246104 for US-SRM, and DOI: 10.17190/AMF/1245971 for US-TON.
Water potential directly controls the function of leaves, roots, and microbes, and gradients in water potential drive water flows throughout the soil-plant-atmosphere continuum. Notwithstanding its clear relevance for many ecosystem processes, soil water potential is rarely measured in-situ, and plant water potential observations are generally discrete, sparse, and not yet aggregated into accessible databases. These gaps limit our conceptual understanding of biophysical responses to moisture stress and inject large uncertainty into hydrologic and land surface models. Here, we outline the conceptual and predictive gains that could be made with more continuous and discoverable observations of water potential in soils and plants. We discuss improvements to sensor technologies that facilitate in situ characterization of water potential, as well as strategies for building new networks that aggregate water potential data across sites. We end by highlighting novel opportunities for linking more representative site-level observations of water potential to remotely-sensed proxies. Together, these considerations offer a roadmap for clearer links between ecohydrological processes and the water potential gradients that have the ‘potential’ to substantially reduce conceptual and modeling uncertainties.
Gradients in the water potential (Ψ) of soils and plants form the energetic basis for the transport of water, and elements contained therein, through a connected continuum linking the deepest soil layers to the top of plant canopies ( Figure 1 ). Ψ can be a positive or negative pressure, though it is typically negative -- a tension force -- in unsaturated soils and within plant hydraulic systems. Ψ gradients have been recognized as the fundamental driver of water fluxes between soils, streams, and groundwater for more than a century, and they appear in some of the most foundational equations in hydrology 1 (e.g. Darcy’s Law, Richard’s Equation). Likewise, the critical role of Ψ gradients in driving water flows through the soil-plant-atmosphere continuum has been known for decades 2 .
Water flows “downhill” along gradients of water potential in the soils (Ψ S , where water potential is relatively high, often >-1 MPa) through the stems (Ψ x ) to the leaves ( Ψ L , where potential is relatively low) and eventually to the air ( Ψ air , where it can be as low as −100 MPa). Water potential also directly controls key biological processes, including microbial function, mortality risk arising from damaged plant xylem, and plant-atmosphere gas exchange. While observations of environmental drivers, soil moisture content ( θ ) and carbon and water fluxes are broadly accessible from environmental networks and remote sensing, Ψ timeseries are more discrete, sparse, and generally not coordinated or discoverable.
Beyond redistributing water through ecosystems, Ψ is also a direct control of many biophysical processes. Soil water potential (Ψ S ) regulates flow of water into and out of soil microbe cells and determines their metabolism 3 . In plants, leaf water potential (Ψ L ) is a key driver of stomatal conductance and photosynthetic carbon uptake 4 , 5 , and its close connection to branch and stem water potential (Ψ X ) controls the risk of drought-driven xylem embolism and mortality 6 , 7 . Consequently, most ecosystem services, including water storage, food and fiber supply, and water and climate regulation, are fundamentally linked to Ψ.
While undeniably important for soil and plant function, for reasons discussed in more detail below, Ψ S is rarely measured in-situ 8 , 9 , and observations of plant Ψ have historically been limited to destructive and disjunct manual measurements. The objective of this paper is to demonstrate key uncertainties linked to the dearth of soil and plant Ψ data, and to discuss the theoretical and modeling progress that could be enabled with richer and more discoverable information about Ψ. We begin by discussing issues surrounding the measurement, modeling, and synthesis of soil water potential, and then address additional considerations linked to the measurement and prediction of water potential in plants. We then present a road map for creating accessible and open Ψ databases and discuss promising new approaches for detecting Ψ using remote sensing.
Water flows “downhill” energetically, moving from areas of higher-to-lower potential, such that Ψ S gradients are the driving force of subsurface water flows 1 . In most unsaturated soils, Ψ S is dominated by the matric potential, which becomes more negative when soils dry, and the effective radii of water-filled pore spaces in the soil become smaller. This process produces the general shape of the water retention curve (also known as the ‘moisture characteristic’ or ‘water release’ curve), which relates Ψ S to volumetric soil moisture content ( θ ). Critically, variation in soil physical properties can cause Ψ S to differ by an order of magnitude across soil types, even if soil moisture content is the same 10 , 11 ( Figure 2a ).
Across soil types, Ψ S can differ by an order of magnitude for a given soil moisture content (panel a, with curves generated from the van Genutchen model 11 ,, see methods ). Panels b-d illustrate the uncertainty in the water retention curve attributable to PTF parameter uncertainty. The shaded area shows the 90% confidence interval due solely to variation in a single parameter of the van Genuchten model (the ‘n’ shape parameter, which is linked to pore size) within just one standard deviation of its reported distribution for each soil class from a popular PTF 18 . Thick lines in panels b-d are the same as in panel a. The PTF-driven uncertainty in the water retention curve propagates into large uncertainty for modeled fluxes and pools. Specifically, variation in the van Genuchten ‘n’ parameter within again just one standard deviation of its reported range 18 causes the 90% confidence intervals on modeled evapotranspiration (ET), soil moisture content ( θ , and Ψ S (shaded gray areas, panels e-f) to vary by a magnitude comparable to the mean value of each parameter (thick black line). Simulations were run using the HYDRUS 1-D 79 model for a forest site in Indiana, US 80 during a drought event (see methods for details).
Field observations of θ are common 12 , but with a few exceptions 9 , 13 , Ψ S is rarely measured systematically in field research settings 8 , 9 . The reasons why θ became the predominant metric for describing soil water status are not entirely clear 8 , but may reflect the fact that no single instrument captures the entire range of Ψ S (from saturation to the very dry end), and sensors for measuring Ψ S in the field have historically been associated with unique limitations and uncertainty 8 , 14 .
Even if Ψ S data were plentiful, strategies for relating θ to Ψ S would still be necessary in models to connect water balance equations with potential-driven flows. Most hydrologic and land surface models thus rely on water retention curve models 15 , with those proposed by Campbell (1974) 10 or van Genuchten (1980) 11 ranking high in popularity. Pedotransfer functions (PTFs) predict the parameters of water retention curve models using empirical equations driven by a limited set of soil characteristics (typically %sand, %clay, and bulk density 16 – 18 ).
While developing PTFs is an active field 15 , PTF parameter distributions are poorly constrained and prevent confident transformation of θ to Ψ S . For example, even relatively small variations in a single parameter of the van Genuchten model cause Ψ S to vary by an order of magnitude over a wide range of θ ( Figure 2b – 2d ). Soil structure, which differs from soil texture and is governed by biophysical properties, may be a key omission in PTFs 19 explaining some of this uncertainty. For example, growth of roots and mycorrhizae into soil pores, and deposition of root exudates, increase overall water retention 20 , 21 , and macropores can create preferred flow pathways that are challenging to incorporate into PTFs. Moreover, depth into the soil may also affect hydraulic properties by controlling connectivity with root systems and through slowly-evolving changes in soil morphology. Finally, most PTFs assume that the water retention curve is static; but many relevant processes occurring in natural landscapes (including drying-rewetting cycles, fire, and management shifts) may cause time-dependent hysteresis of the water retention curve 22 – 24 .
This uncertainly linked to PTFs propagates through water cycle models in highly consequential ways. 25 – 26 Prior work performed in the Shale Hills Critical Zone Observatory confirms that van Genuchten model parameters are the dominant source of model uncertainty in a coupled 3-D land-surface and hydrological model 27 , and that water retention curve parameters must be measured locally and optimized through data assimilation 28 for watershed hydrologic variables to be predicted with any degree of certainty 29 . Here, using a popular 1-D water balance model, we further demonstrate that uncertainty in a single PTF parameter drives large uncertainty in modeled predictions of evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and Ψ S ( Figure 2e ).
The parameters of the water retention curve are also key sources of uncertainty explaining variability in carbon cycle fluxes from global-scale land surface models. Here, we used a global sensitivity experiment 30 to explore the variability of these parameters along with other key parameters of the ORCHIDEE land surface model 31 , 32 (see methods for details). The parameters of the water retention curve explained between 10–32% of the modelled GPP variance across three diverse sites ( Figure 3 ). Moreover, when considering the wider set of soil hydrology parameters (including the hydraulic conductivity, field capacity, and permanent wilting point of the soil), the percentage of explained GPP variance increased to 22–53% across sites.
A sensitivity analysis of key model parameters of the ORCHIDEE land surface model 31 , 32 was performed to demonstrate the relative importance of each parameter in simulating daily GPP at three contrasting FLUXNET sites: a) a temperate broadleaf forest (Harvard Forest, FLUXNET code US-Ha1 82 ); b) a boreal needleleaf forest (Sodankyla, FI-Sod, 83 ); and c) a semi-arid savanna (Demokeya, SD-Dem 84 ). The Sobol method 30 was used to perform the sensitivity analysis; this method is based on variance decomposition and is able to capture interactions between parameters. More details can be found in the methods .
The dearth of information about Ψ S is not only a problem for models, but also confounds observation-driven work. Because θ is widely measured, and Ψ S is not, it is extremely common to see key response variables like carbon and water fluxes explained as a function of measured θ 33 – 35 . These relationships are usually non-linear and threshold driven 36 – 37 . This is not surprising, as these responses embed site-to-site variability in the water retention curve, which itself is nonlinear and threshold-driven ( Fig. 2a – d ). The shape of these response functions thus depends very much on whether Ψ S or θ is chosen as the driving variable 38 . Indeed, the relationship between gross primary productivity (GPP) and soil water status is more linear and less spatially heterogeneous when Ψ S , as opposed to θ , appears on the x-axis ( Figure 4 ). Likewise, substantial skill in predicting soil respiration can be gained when model functions are driven explicitly by Ψ S 3 . Thus, more abundant and aggregated site-level Ψ S information could reduce conceptual uncertainty about how ecosystem fluxes respond to soil water deficits, and permit other sources of spatio-temporal variability to be more discernable.
Across four AmeriFlux sites for which site-specific water retention curves were measured 38 , 85 – 87 , the relationship between GPP (normalized by its well-watered rate) and Ψ S (bottom row) is more linear than the relationship between GPP and θ (top row). Moreover, cross-site heterogeneity in the response functions is reduced when it is Ψ S , as opposed to θ , on the x-axis (compare panel e to panel j). GPP estimates were obtained from AmeriFlux, with site codes given in parentheses. Error bars indicate one standard error of the mean, which is quite small for some of the binned averages. See methods for more details.
The effective radii of evaporating water surfaces within plant cell walls are extremely small, resulting in tension forces strong enough to pull water upwards from soils, where it is already tightly bound, to the leaves. Thus, the difference between Ψ L and Ψ S is the driving force for transpiration, which is closely coupled with photosynthetic carbon uptake. Moreover, branch and stem water potential (Ψ X ), which are coupled with Ψ L , interact with anatomical features of the plant’s water transport system to determine the risk of xylem embolism that can lead to mortality 6 , 7 , 39 – 41 . Stomatal regulation of gas exchange is also critical for buffering plants from the very low water potential of the atmosphere (see Figure 1 ), which is extremely sensitive to relative humidity.
Historically, observations of plant Ψ have been limited to manually collected “snapshots” (e.g. with a pressure chamber 43 ). These data have proven indispensable for shaping our theoretical understanding of how plants respond to soil water stress 6 , 7 , 40 , 44 . However, because pressure chamber measurements are destructive and labor intensive, they are typically limited to weekly or seasonal temporal resolutions. While the weekly timescale is well matched to soil drying, it is too coarse to capture faster-acting hydrodynamic processes, including stomatal response to vapor pressure deficit (VPD 45 ) and the depletion and refilling of plant water pools over the course of a day 46 . Moreover, with some exceptions 47 , Ψ L and Ψ X are not often monitored over long time periods (e.g. years to decades), and centralized databases and networks for time series of Ψ do not yet exist.
The discrete and undiscoverable nature of plant Ψ observations limit our ability to characterize the distributions of the minimum plant water potentials that are so critical for determining plant mortality risk 41 . The gap also limits understanding of how plant and soil water potential are coordinated and coupled. For example, a fundamental assumption in plant eco-physiology is that Ψ L and Ψ X are equilibrated with Ψ S across the root zone in pre-dawn hours 48 . This assumption has allowed eco-physiologists to circumvent the Ψ S data scarcity problem by relying on pre-dawn Ψ L observations as a proxy for root-zone Ψ S – an approach that treats the plants as an instrument for recording the soil water environment. Yet experiments have shown that nighttime transpiration – while small – can still occur 49 , 50 , lowering pre-dawn Ψ L and decoupling it from Ψ S 51 . Synthetic assessments of pre-dawn equilibrium are hindered by the absence of nocturnal Ψ L observations collected together with data on Ψ S and/or stem water flows (e.g. from sap flux), or at least often enough to determine if stationarity in pre-dawn Ψ L , which should be a hallmark of equilibrium, has been achieved.
Likewise, the water potential information gap limits understanding of how soil and plant water potential are coupled at mid-day. The relationship between mid-day Ψ L and the root-zone Ψ S is frequently used to classify plant water use strategies 44 , 52 , 53 . For example, plants with conservative water use strategies (“isohydric” species) close stomata quickly as Ψ S declines, whereas “anisohydric” plants keep stomata open longer, sustaining gas exchange but with more rapid declines in Ψ L that may increase the risk of xylem embolism. The (an)isohydry framework is popular but controversial, with several studies highlighting critical interactions with other environmental drivers beyond Ψ S 54 – 56 , including VPD 57 . Moreover, coordinated observations of sapflow, enhanced with data on soil and stem water potentials, hold great promise for understanding how the dynamics of hydraulic conductance of different plant organs influence whole-plant hydraulic physiology 58 . Plant hydraulics schemes relying on concepts like isohydry are rapidly being incorporated in hydrologic and Earth system models 59 – 61 . Benchmarking and testing these schemes would benefit from open and spatially representative databases of plant and soil Ψ timeseries, measured together at a temporal frequency (e.g. hourly) over which key drivers like VPD vary.
Coordinated observation of plant and soil Ψ could also offer new perspectives on the critical role of root hydraulic function. Pre-dawn observations of Ψ L and Ψ S from multiple depths could reveal interspecific patterns in functional rooting depth – a trait that is difficult to measure by other means and partially responsible for model difficulty in capturing plant drought responses 62 . When complemented with data on Ψ x and/or root sap flow, profile observations of Ψ S would also illuminate the important but poorly understood consequences of hydraulic redistribution of water from wetter to drier soil layers through plant roots 63 – 64 . While root Ψ x is difficult to measure with pressure chambers, it could be monitored more easily with psychrometers or other techniques for continuous observation of plant Ψ x . Data on root Ψ x , especially when paired with laboratory-derived root xylem vulnerability curves, would also be useful for understanding the dynamics of root hydraulic conductance, noting that roots may be among the most vulnerable components of the plant hydraulic system 65 – 66 . Finally, differences in Ψ S and root Ψ x could also improve our understanding of gradients in Ψ occurring at the root-soil interface 67 .
Recent advances in measurement technology have substantially improved the ease and reliability of Ψ S observations. In the lab, sensor improvement has reduced the time necessary to generate the “wet end” of the water retention curve 68 . A second instrument, typically a dew-point potentiometer, is required to capture the dry end of the curve, but this step proceeds relatively quickly. While the instrumentation and expertise necessary to characterize water retention curves may be siloed within soil science disciplines, this barrier could be easily overcome through cooperative arrangements and/or knowledge transfer. At the same time, technology is improving for more confident observation of Ψ S in-situ 8 . Tensiometers, which are accurate when soil is relatively wet (e.g. Ψ S > −0.1 MPa), are widely used in agricultural settings for the purposes of irrigation scheduling. In the drier range, soil matric potential can be measured using psychrometry or from dielectric measurements, with several commercial sensors available at a relatively low cost (e.g. the Teros 21 product, Meter Group). While the accuracy of sensors like these is greatest when Ψ S is above −2 MPa, this is still lower than the wilting point of many plant species 8 .
With respect to plants, psychrometers permitting continuous and long-term observation of both Ψ L and Ψ X are becoming more widely and commercially available (e.g. the PSY1 products, ICT International), drawing from a long history of psychrometric approaches for measuring plant water potential 69 . Stem psychrometers can now be deployed on branches and boles of some species for weeks to months at a time 55 , and evidence is mounting that high-frequency Ψ L and Ψ x data can indeed improve our understanding of plant water use strategies and dynamics 55 , 70 . Psychrometers are still relatively expensive, best suited for broadleaf and non-resinous species, and sensitive to biases linked to temperature fluctuations and wounding effects. Thus, for now, psychrometer data is best viewed as complimentary to pressure chamber measurements. Nonetheless, for many plants, these instruments allow for the collection of Ψ L and/or Ψ x data at the hourly timescales necessary to be harmonized with observed carbon and water fluxes (e.g. from sap flux and flux towers) and to more rigorously test model frameworks.
Ultimately, addressing environmental questions at policy- and management-relevant scales requires the collection and standardization of observations across many sites. This need has motivated the recent development of many environmental observation networks, including highly-centralized initiatives like NSF’s National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON 71 ), as well as more bottom-up networks like AmeriFlux 72 and FLUXNET 73 and the new international SAPFLUXNET network 74 . Other approaches include “network-of-networks” cyberinfrastructure like the International Soil Moisture Network, 13 which aggregates soil moisture observations from dozens of individual networks.
Both bottom-up and top-down approaches could be useful for building new Ψ networks. On the one hand, centralized and standardized deployment of new Ψ sensors, ideally in locations that are already nodes of other networks, would have the advantage of uniformity in instrumentation and data quality control that facilitates cross-site synthesis. On the other, a community-driven effort to aggregate and redistribute both existing and new Ψ data could follow the highly successful ‘coalition’ model employed by networks like AmeriFlux 72 , increasing the discoverability of data while allowing room for innovation at the site level. Even a concerted effort to generate and/or collect laboratory-based water retention curves from existing network sites could substantially constrain how much of the non-linearity in the response of fluxes to observed soil water content can be explained by soil physics (e.g. see Fig. 4 ). The success of a water potential network would be maximized with: a) a focus on collecting data from sites that also support continuous plant- and/or stand-scale carbon and water fluxes, b) cyberinfrastructure to support the discoverability and distribution of these databases; c) a focus in at least some locations on within-site spatial heterogeneity in Ψ dynamics, to better understand of how many observation points (and at what depths) are necessary to substantially improve model skill; and d) training programs, such as summer short-courses or distributed graduate seminars, to transfer knowledge about how to interpret network observations and to share best practices for sensor deployment.
Even with well-developed observation networks, it is not possible to measure key physiological variables like Ψ everywhere and all the time. Thus, strategies for linking these variables to proxies observable from space are required for regional- and continental-scale work, with microwave remote sensing representing a particularly promising approach. Microwave observations can be used to determine vegetation optical depth (VOD), which is sensitive to plant water content 75 and should be monotonically related to Ψ L 76 , 77 . Comparison of observed Ψ L with either spaceborne 78 or tower-based 70 radiometry confirms that VOD and Ψ L follow similar dynamics, especially after accounting for the effect of changing biomass and leaf area. However, the exact relationship between VOD and Ψ L is influenced by vegetation type 76 , and further study of this relationship is currently hindered by the sparsity of Ψ L data.
Importantly, microwave remote sensing observations can be made at night, which raises the question: can nocturnal microwave remote sensing of Ψ L be used to infer dynamics of root-zone Ψ S ? Answering this question requires a critical understanding of when and where pre-dawn Ψ L is equilibrated with root-zone Ψ S . This knowledge gap can be addressed with network observations of Ψ L from psychrometry, or observations of plant and soil water potential collected in the same site, which could then guide the design and interpretation of both tower- and satellite-mounted microwave remote sensing systems. The approach will also require further refinement of retrieval algorithms for separating the contribution of plant and soil water content, for example by leveraging emerging approaches for the remote sensing of vegetation structure 77 .
In conclusion, we have highlighted how more numerous, discoverable, and continuous observations of soil and plant Ψ can improve not only our conceptual understanding of biophysical processes throughout the soil-plant-atmosphere continuum, but also serve as a much-needed new tool for benchmarking and calibrating hydrologic and land-surface models and remote sensing products. While in-situ and site-specific observations of Ψ S , Ψ L , and Ψ x may not yet be “easy,” recent advancements in sensor technology have certainly made them easier than in decades past. The time is right for a new focus on the collection of these data in the field, and the development of new networks to aggregate observations across sites complemented by new approaches for integrating these observations into Earth system models.
The water retention curves in Figure 2 were created using the van Genuchten water retention curve model 11 relating Ψ S to θ . As described in more detail in the Supplementary Information , most parameters of the model were held constant within each soil type, specified as the mean values reported in the updated ROSETTA pedotransfer function 18 (see Supplementary Table S1 ). The ‘ n ’ parameter was allowed to vary by randomly selecting a value from a uniform distribution bounded by ±1 standard deviation as reported for the ROSETTA PTF 18 . Overall, this was a conservative approach; drawing the values of n from the full distribution reported for each soil type expands the range of predicted Ψ S by orders of magnitude.
Uncertainty in the water retention curve linked to pedo-transfer uncertainty (e.g. as Figure 2a – d ) was propagated through predictions of Ψ S and θ (at depths of 15 cm) and surface evapotranspiration (ET, cm day) using the HYDRUS 1D soil water dynamics model 79 . Fifty simulations were performed for the Bradford Woods deciduous forest site in south-central Indiana, where the HYDRUS 1D model had been previously calibrated 80 . In general, model settings were left unchanged, with a few exceptions as discussed in more detail in the Supplementary Information . The soil at Bradford Woods is characterized by a 40 cm depth AP horizon dominated by sandy loam, and a BW Horizon dominated by silt loam from a depth of 40 cm to 208 cm. The very bottom of the soil layer (depths 208 – 230 cm) was prescribed to be clay loam. The parameters of the van Genuchten model used in the HYDRUS simulations are shown in Supplementary Table S2 , where again most were held constant, but n varied for the sandy and silt loam layers by drawing it from within one standard deviation of its distribution reported in the updated ROSETTA PTF 18 . The shaded areas in Figure 2e – f thus illustrate the resulting variation in ET, Ψ S , and θ due solely to variability in n .
The ORCHIDEE land surface model (CMIP6 version) 31 , 32 , which is the terrestrial part of the IPSL (Institute Pierre-Simon Laplace) Earth system model, was used to explore the sensitivity of modeled GPP to uncertainty in a wide range of parameters. ORCHIDEE relies on the van Genuchten model to calculate Ψ S , as well as the hydraulic conductivity and diffusivity required to solve the Richard’s diffusion equation. ORCHIDEE discretizes the first 2 m of the soil column over 11 layers. For this experiment, we ran ORCHIDEE over three single mesh locations using local half-hourly forcing data to drive the model at each site (see Table Supplementary Table S3 ), and considered modelled GPP at a daily time-step. The sensitivity analysis results shown in Figure 3 were generated using Sobol’s method 30 , using the SALib python package 81 to sample the parameter space and execute the SA algorithms. Briefly, the model was run using different parameter ensembles, with parameters varied within their reported ranges of uncertainty. Then, each modeled GPP timeseries was compared to GPP derived from flux tower observations. The variance of simulated GPP was then decomposed into fractions which can be attributed to each parameter tested. These results shown in Figure 3 capture both independent and interactive contributions of each parameter to the total variance. When interactions are removed, the independent contribution of water retention curve parameters is still significant, and actually increases for the semi-arid site (see details in Supplementary Section 3 ).
Half-hourly or hourly data from the four flux towers referenced in Figure 4 were acquired from the AmeriFlux network ( ameriflux.lbl.gov ) and subjected to a standardized quality control, gapfilling, and partitioning approaches. The sites and quality control procedures are described in more detail in Supplementary Table S5 . The methods used to determine the relationship between GPP and soil moisture are similar to those previously used to explore the relationship between surface conductance and soil moisture 35 . Briefly, analysis was constrained to the peak of the growing season to limit bias linked to phenological variation in LAI. Estimates of Ψ S for each site were determined from site-specific water retention curves 38 , 82 – 84 . The data were then sorted into nine bins representing the 15 th , 30 th , 45 th , 60 th , 70 th , 80 th , 90 th , and 100 th quantiles of the observed values of soil moisture content in each site. Within each bin, data were constrained to relatively high light (net radiation > 300 W/m 2 ) conditions with VPD limited to 1 ≤ VPD ≤ 1.5 Pa in US-MMS, US-TON, and US-MOz, and 1.5 ≤ VPD ≤ 2 kPa in the more arid US-SRM site. The mean GPP, Ψ S , and θ were then calculated for each bin using the filtered data, and normalized by the maximum bin-averaged value observed at each site.
Supplementary information, acknowledgments.
KAN acknowledges support from NSF (DEB, Grant 1552747) and the AmeriFlux Management Project via the US Department of Energy, Office of Science Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. AGK was supported by NASA Terrestrial Ecology (award 80NSSC18K0715). JDW acknowledges support from the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, through Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s Terrestrial Ecosystem Science Focus Area. KJD and YS were supported by National Science Foundation Grant EAR - 1331726 (S. Brantley) for the Susquehanna Shale Hills Critical Zone Observatory.
Competing interests : The authors declare no competing interests.
Code availability Statement : The HYDRUS-1D program used to create the results of Figure 2e – g is available for public download from https://www.pc-progress.com/en/Default.aspx?hydrus-1d . A reference version of the ORCHIDEE land-surface model, used for Figure 3 , is available at https://orchidee.ipsl.fr/ . Details on the parameterizations of these models are presented in the Supplementary Information .
Limitations of conducting osmosis in a lab include different sizes or parts of the substance used (such as potato), external factors such as temperature and evaporation rate, and improper handling.
Explanation:
Osmosis is a process involving the movement of solvent particles from an area where they are highly populated to an area where they are less populated. The movement or translocation makes sure that the solute and solvent concentrations are equal on both sides.
Osmosis can be easily performed. This is the reason it is usually included in high school laboratories experiments. But while performing this process in the lab, some obstacles are faced . These are :
There were several limitations to this experiment, which may have hindered or altered its accuracy and end results: We did not measure the exact amount of liquid put into each test tube: we did not exclude the factor of liquid amount having an effect over the potato strip.
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Scientific Reports volume 14 , Article number: 21682 ( 2024 ) Cite this article
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Tropical cyclones become increasingly nonlinear and dynamically unstable in high-resolution models. The initial conditions are typically sub-optimal, leaving scope to improve the accuracy of forecasts with improved data assimilation. Simultaneously, the lack of real ground-based GNSS observations over the ocean poses significant challenges when evaluating the assimilation results in oceanic regions. In this study, an Observation System Simulation Experiment is carried out based on a tropical cyclone case. Assimilation experiments using the WRF-PDAF framework are conducted. Conventional and GNSS observation operators are implemented. A diverse array of synthetic observations, encompassing temperature (T), wind components (U and V), precipitable water (PW), and zenith total delay (ZTD), are assimilated utilizing the Local Error-Subspace Transform Kalman filter (LESTKF). The findings highlight the improvement in forecast accuracy achieved through the assimilation process over the ocean. Multiple observation types further improve the forecast accuracy. The study underscores the crucial role of GNSS data assimilation techniques. The assimilation of GNSS data presents potential for advancing weather forecasting capabilities. Thus, the construction of ground-based GNSS observation stations over the ocean is promising.
Data assimilation (DA) plays a crucial role in improving the accuracy and reliability of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. DA helps to bridge the gap between model simulations and real-world observations. It enhances the accuracy, skill, and reliability of the atmosphere simulations, providing valuable information for a range of applications, including weather forecasting, climate studies, and environmental assessments 1 , 2 . Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) data, such as those provided by the Global Positioning System (GPS), Galileo navigation satellite system (Galileo), global navigation satellite system (GLONASS), and BeiDou navigation satellite system (BDS), have gained significant attention in recent years due to their potential for improving atmospheric models and weather forecasting. Assimilating GNSS data into atmospheric models using techniques like Ensemble Kalman Filtering (EnKF) has shown significant impact on improving the accuracy and performance of the models 3 in different applications as outlined below.
Improved Initial Conditions: Assimilating GNSS data helps in refining the initial conditions of atmospheric models by incorporating real-time and high-resolution (e.g., 5-min series in the Nevada Geodetic Laboratory (NGL) 4 product ( http://geodesy.unr.edu , last accessed: 27 July 2024) information about atmospheric parameters such as water vapor content. This leads to a better representation of the current state of the atmosphere and reduces the uncertainties associated with the initial conditions 5 . Positive impacts on weather forecasting, particularly for short-term (up to 6 h) 6 and short-range (48 h) 7 forecasts have been shown. The assimilation helps in capturing mesoscale weather phenomena such as convective systems, thunderstorms, and localized rainfall patterns 8 . It contributes to the better representation of atmospheric processes and improves the skill of weather forecasts, especially in regions where traditional observations are sparse or limited.
Enhanced Moisture Analysis: GNSS data assimilation plays a crucial role in improving moisture analysis in atmospheric models. It provides high-temporal and spatial resolution observations of precipitable water vapor and zenith total delay, which are vital for understanding the moisture distribution in the atmosphere. Assimilating GNSS data leads to a more accurate representation of moisture fields, enabling improved forecasts of precipitation and humidity patterns 9 .
Vertical Profiling: GNSS data assimilation enables improved vertical profiling of atmospheric parameters, which is crucial for understanding the vertical structure of the atmosphere. By assimilating GNSS data, the vertical distribution of water vapor and other variables can be accurately estimated, aiding in the analysis of atmospheric stability, moisture transport, and cloud formation processes 10 .
Real-time Assimilation: One of the key advantages of GNSS data is its availability in real-time. Assimilating GNSS data in real-time allows for timely updates of atmospheric models, leading to improved nowcasting and short-term/range forecasts. Data of zenith total delay (ZTD) and precipitable water (PW) are available within 1 h from the moment the original satellite signal is received by the ground-based station. This latency period encompasses both data processing and transmission times. Real-time assimilation enables the models to capture rapidly changing atmospheric conditions, providing valuable information for severe weather events and rapid weather developments 11 .
Some of the most important challenges for the assimilation of GNSS data include the required greater sophistication of forward models to allow using the indirect observations PW and ZTD, the need to analyze a range of hydrometeors, the need to account for the flow-dependent multivariate “balance” between atmospheric water and both dynamical and mass fields, and the inherent non-Gaussian nature of atmospheric water variables 12 , 13 , 14 . Furthermore, GNSS observations over the ocean have gained significant attention in recent years, as reported by Ji et al. 15 and He et al. 16 . Nevertheless, establishing real ground-based GNSS stations on the sea remains challenging, leading to insufficient GNSS data availability. Consequently, the employment of idealized cases serves as an alternative approach to assess the influence of this observation type.
The objective of this study is to assess the impact of assimilating ground-based GNSS data within an idealized tropical cyclone scenario using an ensemble-based Kalman filter. This is achieved by integrating the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) 17 with the Parallel Data Assimilation Framework (PDAF; http://pdaf.awi.de , last access: August 1, 2024) 18 and performing and analyzing idealized assimilation experiments. Our goal is to gain insights into the potential benefits of utilizing ground-based GNSS data over the sea to enhance the accuracy and reliability of tropical cyclone predictions. For GNSS observations we focus on the online assimilation of PW and ZTD data, which are critical for improving tropical cyclone predictions. Compared to previous studies, we assimilate multiple observations, including temperature (T), horizontal wind components (U and V), and the additional variables PW and ZTD, using the localized error subspace transform ensemble Kalman filter (LESTKF) 19 . To implement this approach, we develop ground-based GNSS observation operators within the WRF-PDAF framework. These operators enable the seamless integration of GNSS data into the assimilation process. We then conduct a twin experiment over the ocean, based on a mesoscale idealized case of a tropical cyclone. By analyzing the assimilation results, we expect to gain valuable insights into the impact of ground-based GNSS data on tropical cyclone predictions. This study contributes to the ongoing efforts to improve the accuracy and reliability of tropical cyclone forecasting systems, ultimately leading to better decision-making and mitigation strategies for communities at risk.
The remainder of the study is structured as follows. “Methodology” introduces ensemble filters and the observation operators for the DA. The setup and configuration of the DA system are outlined in “Setup of data assimilation program”. “Experimental design” discusses details of the experimental design for the idealized case studies. “Results and analysis” examines the parallel performance of the DA system build by coupling WRF and PDAF, the assimilation behavior of an example application with WRF. Finally, conclusions are drawn in “Discussion and conclusions”.
Ensemble Kalman filters (EnKFs, see e.g., Vetra-Carvalho et al. 20 ) are data assimilation methods that combine the information from an ensemble of model states with observations to update the model state variables. In EnKFs, ensemble members are generated by perturbing the model initial conditions, and the assimilation is performed by computing analysis increments based on the ensemble spread and the observation-model misfit. Here, ensemble spread is the ensemble standard deviation (STD), which provides a measure of the distribution of the ensemble members around the ensemble mean. The analysis increments are subsequently added to the ensemble members to obtain the updated state variables. EnKF variants are particularly suitable for assimilating GNSS data due to their ability to handle non-linear dynamics of atmospheric models, like the LETKF 21 and the LESTKF [28, and also non-Gaussian distributions, like the NETF 22 and the LKNETF 23 .
In this section, we introduce the WRF-PDAF model, the GNSS data for DA, the LESTKF assimilation scheme, and the observation operators.
The WRF model is a widely used numerical weather prediction system, providing a versatile platform for simulating a broad spectrum of atmospheric processes suitable for both regional and global weather simulations. Developed by Shao and Nerger 24 , WRF-PDAF integrates WRF-ARW version 4.4.1 with PDAF version 2.0 to facilitate robust data assimilation. This integration enables the incorporation of profile data into WRF, enhancing its initial conditions and contributing to improved forecast accuracy. The online coupling strategy of WRF-PDAF, in which PDAF is directly coupled to WRF, utilizes a fully parallel structure for data assimilation. Here, the data assimilation program integrates all model states concurrently utilizing a sufficient number of processes and the data assimilation is performed without the need of restarting the model. This approach guarantees the model’s consistent temporal advancement, resulting in highly efficient data assimilation.
In this study, the model setup is the three-dimensional equivalent of case considered by Rotunno and Emanuel 25 . The domain size is 3000 km × 3000 km × 25 km, containing 200 × 200 × 20 grid points with a horizontal grid spacing of 15 km and a vertical grid spacing of 1.25 km. The Kessler microphysics scheme and the YSU boundary-layer physics are employed, while radiation schemes are not utilized. A capped Newtonian relaxation scheme is used on potential temperature 25 which is a crude approximation for longwave radiation. This scheme is useful for idealized studies of maximum tropical cyclone intensity. The simulation spans a period of six days, starting from September 1, at 00:00 UTC (010000) and ending on September 7, at 00:00 UTC (070,000). The model time step is set to 60 s.
To initialize the simulation, both initial and boundary conditions are required. For our idealized tropical cyclone case the initial horizontally homogeneous environment is specified via a sounding data. The initial state is motionless ( \(u=v=0\) ) and horizontally homogeneous, except an analytic axisymmetric vortex in hydrostatic and gradient-wind balance is added. The lateral boundary conditions are periodic to facilitate the simulation process. The default setup may not be optimal for complicated diagnosis of precipitation. These parameters of the default setup are adjustable to accommodate various requirements and preferences. Shao and Nerger 26 applied WRF-PDAF to conduct assimilation experiments of temperature profiles at different densities. The main difference in this study is the additional assimilation of PW and ZTD data. Additionally, we have supplemented the experiments with single-point experiments.
GNSS data, such as PW and ZTD observations, provide information about atmospheric moisture and can be assimilated using EnKFs to improve the representation of moisture fields in the model 27 , 28 . GNSS signals are bent, attenuated and delayed both by the ionosphere and troposphere. The ionospheric delay can be mostly reduced by linear combination of double-frequency observations. The water vapor content is responsible for the “wet” delay in the troposphere. A prevalent approach involves mapping the GNSS signal in the zenith direction and integrating it over a specified time period to derive a vertical column of tropospheric delay above each station, commonly referred to as the ZTD 29 . GNSS signals transmit through the troposphere and the signal delays are caused. The observed ZTD can be split into two parts: Zenith Hydrostatic Delay (ZHD) and Zenith Wet Delay (ZWD). The ZHD is estimated with the Saastamoinen 30 formula. In real cases, Precipitable Water vapor (PW) is retrieved from the ZWD as follows:
Here Q is the proportionality factor. \({T}_{m}\) denotes the vertical weighted mean temperature (in K) of the atmosphere. \({e}_{l}\) , \({T}_{l}\) and \(\Delta {h}_{l}\) denote the average vapor pressure (in hPa), average temperature (in K) and the thickness of the atmosphere at the \(l-\) th layer, respectively. \(l\) is the layer index, ranging from the bottom layer \(lts\) to the top layer \(lte\) , specifically depending on the datasets used, such as ERA5 29 , 31 . \(P\) , \(\varphi\) and \(h\) are pressure, latitude and height of the station, respectively.
The GNSS data originates from ground-based stations, with real-time ZTD and PW data available on an hourly basis from these stations. Both the station’s geographical location and the temporal resolution of the ZTD and PW data have to taking into account. For the data assimilation, the synthetic PW and ZTD observations are calculated hourly by the observation operators for PW and ZTD, respectively, acting on different model fields, as described in " PW and ZTD Observation operators ". The two-dimensional ZTD/PW observations are positioned on all of the horizontal grid points. Synthetic U, V, and T observations represent sounding profile observations. In terms of profile data, the operators for T, U, and V directly operator on the model grid locations without any interpolations. Each profile consists of a vertical column of observations of T, U, and V located on grid points. It is usually impossible in the real scenario, even on land. However, this is precisely the purpose of our implementation of OSSE. We want to understand how data assimilation performs under this assumption.
The LESTKF has been applied in different studies to assimilate satellite data into atmosphere models 32 , ocean models 33 , atmosphere–ocean coupled models 34 , 35 and hydrological models 36 . The LESTKF is an efficient formulation of the EnKF, reviewed here to be able to discuss the particularities of the DA with respect to the ensemble filter. The analysis Eqs. ( 6 )–( 13 ) transform the forecast ensemble \({X}^{f}\) of \({N}_{e}\) model states into the analysis ensemble \({X}^{a}\) :
Here, \({\widetilde{x}}^{f}\) is the forecast ensemble mean state and \({1}_{{N}_{e}}^{T}\) is the transpose of a vector of size \({N}_{e}\) holding the value one in all elements. \(w\) is a vector of size \({N}_{e}\) , which transforms the ensemble mean and \(\widetilde{W}\) is a matrix of size \({N}_{e}\times {N}_{e}\) , which transforms the ensemble perturbations. \(T\) is a projection matrix into the error subspace with \(j={N}_{e}\) rows and \(i={N}_{e}-1\) columns. \(H\) is the observation operator. \(R\) is the observation error covariance matrix. \(A\) is a transform matrix in the error subspace. \(\alpha\) with \(0<\alpha \le 1\) is the forgetting factor 37 . \(U\) and \(S\) are the matrices of eigenvectors and eigenvalues, computed from the eigenvalue decomposition of \({A}^{-1}\) .
A local analysis is performed by updating the model fields at each grid point of the model independently. Only observations within horizontal and vertical localization radii are considered when updating a grid point. Consequently, the observation operator is local and computes an observation vector within the influence radius based on the global model state. Additionally, each observation is weighted according to its distance from the grid point 21 . The localization weight for the observations is computed using a fifth-order polynomial with a shape resembling a Gaussian function 38 . The weighting is applied to the matrix \({R}^{-1}\) in Eqs. ( 7 ) and ( 9 ). So, the localization process results in individual transformation weights \(w\) and \(\widetilde{W}\) for each local analysis domain.
Observation operators are used to transform model variables into observation space, thus computing the model equivalent to the actual observation. Specifically related to GNSS data the operator for PW is
where \(i,j\) are horizontal model node indices. \(k\) is the index of the model layer, and \(kts\) =1 and \(kte\) =20 are the bottom layer and the top layer index as defined in " WRF-PDAF ", respectively. \(\rho\) is air density (kg/m3), \(q\) is specific humidity (1), and \(\Delta h\) is the height difference between two consecutive model layers (m).
The observation operator for ZTD is
Here, \({h}_{sfc}\) is the height of the model surface (m), \(p\) is pressure (Pa) and \(t\) is temperature (K). \(q\) , \(t\) and \(\Delta h\) are calculated from the model fields of WRF as follows:
The model fields used in these functions are the perturbation geopotential ( \(ph\) , m2/s), perturbation potential temperature ( \(th\) , K), water vapor mixing ratio ( \(qv\) , kg/kg), perturbation pressure ( \(p\) , Pa), and base-state geopotential ( \(phb\) , m2/s).
The observation operators of PW and ZTD are constructed based on the traditional approach. Our contribution lies in more explicitly formulating the equations within the WRF-PDAF system, thereby enabling accurate implementation. In one hand, since the operators of ZTD and PW are different, the results of the data assimilation should not be the same. Comparing the two different results is meaningful. In another hand, assimilating PW and ZTD should yield similar performance, which can be used to demonstrate the correctness of the construction of the observation operator and the assimilation process, making the results convincing.
To enable the data assimilation, PDAF is coupled into the existing WRF framework. This coupling allows for the assimilation of GNSS data into WRF to improve its initial conditions and subsequently enhance its forecasts.
PDAF is a freely available open-source software developed to facilitate the implementation and application of ensemble and variational DA methods. It offers a generic framework that includes fully implemented and parallelized ensemble filter algorithms such as the LETKF, LESTKF, NETF, and LKNETF, along with related smoothers. PDAF provides functionality for adapting the model parallelization for parallel ensemble forecasts and includes routines for parallel communication between the model and filters. Like many large-scale geoscientific simulation models, PDAF is implemented in Fortran and parallelized using the Message Passing Interface (MPI) standard 39 and OpenMP 40 , ensuring optimal compatibility with such models. It can also be used with models implemented in other programming languages such as C and Python.
The online coupling strategy for DA is selected here utilizing the fully parallel structure. For this implementation, the time stepping for all ensemble states are is computed concurrently utilizing a sufficient number of processes on a compute cluster. With this, each model task integrates only one model state and the model is always going forward in time.
In this study, all of the variables needed by PDAF are inserted from WRF into the state vector. There are the x-wind component ( \(u\) , m/s), y-wind component ( \(v\) , m/s), z-wind component ( \(w\) , m/s), perturbation geopotential ( \(ph\) , m2/s), perturbation potential temperature ( \(th\) , K), Water vapor mixing ratio ( \(qv\) , kg/kg), Cloud water mixing ratio ( \(qc\) , kg/kg), Rain water mixing ratio ( \(qr\) , kg/kg), Ice mixing ratio ( \(qi\) , kg/kg), Snow mixing ratio ( \(qs\) , kg/kg), Graupel mixing ratio ( \(qg\) , kg/kg), perturbation pressure ( \(p\) , Pa), density ( \(\rho\) , kg/m3) and base-state geopotential ( \(phb\) , m2/s). Note that the variables \(p\) , \(\rho\) and \(phb\) are only used by the observation operators, but will not be updated by PDAF. So, only the rest of the variables will be updated and returned to WRF.
In the ideal cases, synthetic observations are used and generated from the model variables via observation operators. In this study, all synthetic observations were generated by adding Gaussian errors directly at the grid points without any interpolations. The standard deviations of the Gaussian errors were set to 1.2 K, 1.4 m/s, 1.4 m/s, 1 cm, and 4 cm for T, U, V, PW, and ZTD, respectively, following Bao and Zhang 41 , 32.Pawel et al. 42 and Li et al. 43 . Therefore, the conventional observation operators, including U, V, and T, are just acting on the location of the model grid. For PW and ZTD, the model state variables are transformed into the observation space using the appropriate GNSS observation operators introduced in " PW and ZTD Observation operators ". The PW and ZTD observations are then assimilated into the WRF model using the LESTKF.
In this section, the details of the ideal tropical cyclone case, the design of a single point experiment, and the experimental design of GNSS DA are described.
Tropical cyclones, also known as hurricanes or typhoons depending on the region, are powerful and destructive weather phenomena that form over warm ocean waters near the equator. These intense storms derive their energy from the latent heat released when moist air rises and condenses into clouds and precipitation. The Coriolis effect causes the storm to spin, with the direction of rotation determined by the hemisphere in which the cyclone forms. Tropical cyclones can have devastating impacts on coastal communities and infrastructure. Forecasting and monitoring tropical cyclones are essential for mitigating their impacts.
The test case used here is the idealized tropical cyclone case provided by WRF, which serves as a simplified representation of real-world atmospheric conditions. It provides a controlled environment for evaluating the performance of data assimilation methods utilizing identical twin experiments. This test case here we use is the same with Shao and Nerger 24 , where one can find more details about the idealized tropical cyclone.
The atmospheric state variables, such as temperature, humidity, and wind fields from a forward run of the model create the known true state for comparison with assimilation results. This truth is used to generate synthetic observations. A control state is generated separately for the period September 3, at 12:00 UTC (031,200) to September 7, at 00:00 UTC (070,000) using the same initial fields as the truth. Therefore, the control state and true state are identical in all aspects except for their respective start times. The control simulation provides initial state estimate for the data assimilation. The flowchart of the cases is shown as Fig. 1 .
The flowchart of the twin experiments. The black line represents the true state, and the blue line represents the control state.
Synthetic observations were generated hourly from the true state starting from 040,800 and ending at 051,400. The observations were generated for both single-point experiments and cycled DA experiments assimilating multiple variables. For the single-point experiments, only one set of observations of U, V, and T was generated at 040,800. These observations were located at the horizontal center of the model domain and vertical level 5, corresponding to a height of 10 km. In the cycled DA experiments assimilating multiple variables, a total of 30 hourly observations of U, V, T, PW, and ZTD were generated. The U, V, and T observations were generated at all grid points in the model domain. On the other hand, PW and ZTD observations were generated from each vertical column of the model using the observation operators. In addition, Gaussian noise with standard deviation as described on " Experimental design ". The generated observations are free of bias.
For the twin experiments, an initial perturbation is added to the control state at 031,200 to generate 40 ensemble members. The ensemble is spun up for 20 h. Subsequently, in the cycled DA, the observations are assimilated hourly into the ensemble during the analysis period from 040,800 to 051,400. Finally, an ensemble forecast is run without further assimilation from 051,400 until 070,000.
The single point experiments focus on assimilating observations at a specific location within the model domain. The design involves selecting a grid point of interest and assimilating observations at that point. These experiments allow for a detailed assessment of the assimilation impact on the model state variables at a specific location. Here, T is used to denote potential temperature th. As depicted in Table 1 , the assimilation of a single observation of T, U and V located at the specific location was carried out in three separate experiments, namely exp.1, exp.2 and exp.3. The observations T, U, and V have offsets of 1 k, 1 m/s, and 1 m/s, respectively, relative to the control fields. These observations were assimilated to compute a multivariate update of U, V and T. To determine the optimal localization distance, the different horizontal distances 800 km, 150 km, and 50 km are tested in each experiment. Localization distances of 200 km and 100 km were also tested for tuning, but not shown here. The vertical localization radius is identical in all cases matching the height of the model top. The purpose of these tests was to select the localization distance that yielded the best results. To facilitate analysis and verification, there is no radius for PW or ZTD.
In this study, a forgetting factor of α = 0.97 was used in Eq. ( 9 ). The forgetting factor is a scaling parameter applied to the ensemble spread in order to avoid underestimation of the forecast uncertainty. The ensemble variance is inflated by \(1/\alpha\) . The forgetting factor was determined based on the ensemble spread, which reflects the variability or uncertainty within the ensemble members. By appropriately adjusting the forgetting factor and setting observation errors, the assimilation process can effectively incorporate the available information from observations and ensemble members, resulting in improved forecast accuracy and reliability.
The experimental design for DA with multiple observations involves assimilating synthetic conventional and GNSS observations into the WRF model. The GNSS DA experiment aims to enhance the representation of moisture fields through the integration of GNSS observations. This assimilation process aims to utilize the precision PW and ZTD data to refine and correct the model predictions of humidity and other related atmospheric variables. The ultimate objective is to achieve a more accurate representation of moisture fields, thereby enhancing the overall accuracy and reliability of weather predictions. The impact of assimilating these observations on the model representation of atmospheric moisture is evaluated through a comparison between the assimilated and true states. By conducting these experiments on an idealized case, the performance and effectiveness of WRF-PDAF in assimilating observations and improving the model representation of atmospheric variables can be evaluated.
Table 2 provides an overview of the experiments performed here. Two single runs were used to generate the true state (Exp. 4, ‘True’) and control state (Exp. 5, ‘CTRL’), as described in " The tropical cyclone case ". These distinct states served as the basis for further analysis and experimentation in the study. To generate the initial ensemble, perturbations were generated using second-order exact sampling 37 from the model variability of hourly snapshots from 010000 to 031,200. These perturbations were added to the control state at 031,200 to generate an ensemble of 40 states. Subsequently, a free ensemble run of the 40 members (Exp. 6, ‘ENS’) was conducted. The purpose of this ensemble run was to generate a collection of model states that encompassed a range of possible variations and uncertainties. The same initial ensemble members were utilized in the assimilation experiments. Starting from the initial ensemble, assimilation experiments were conducted over 30 analysis cycles. Different experiments assimilating the conventional observations U, V, T, or separately the GNSS observations PW or ZTD, as listed in Table 2 , were performed. In addition, the experiments 10 and 11 assimilated a combination of direct observations alongside with GNSS observations. PW and ZTD are assimilated separately to assess how far these observations have different effects. This integration leverages the complementary nature of the two datasets. These different assimilation experiments were carried out to evaluate the impact of assimilating specific types of observations on the model state.
Figure 2 shows the increments resulting from the single-point assimilation experiments detailed in Table 1 . Note that each assimilation of T, U, and V observations can affect all of the U, V, and T model fields through the multivariate DA update. In contrast to the isotropic increments of 3DVAR and 4DVAR, the increments used in LESTKF are anisotropic due to the flow-dependent features of the background error covariance.
The spatial distribution of the T, U and V increments of the single-point experiments at 031,200 with different localization distances 800 km, 150 km, and 50 km (( a – c : results of exp. 1 assimilating T; ( d – f ): results of exp. 2 assimilating U; ( g – i )): results of exp. 3 assimilating V). The shade represents the T increments (K), while the arrows represent the wind velocity (combined U and V) increments (m/s).
If there is no localization, the increments will be distributed throughout the entire simulation region. However, increments far from the observation are generally unreliable, and the correlations between the observation point and distant grid points were considered spurious. To address this concern, selecting an appropriate localization distance becomes crucial. Past research often made such choices or even developed adaptive schemes based on the root mean square error (RMSE). However, in our study, since the dynamics are known in the ideal case, we aim to determine the localization distance from the dynamic perspective. A well-suited localization distance should accurately reflect the relationships between temperature and wind while also avoiding spurious correlations. When the localization distance was set to 800 km, the region with spurious correlations reduced compared to using no localization, but some areas with spurious increments remained (Fig. 2 , column (1). When the localization distance was further reduced to 150 km, the increments were only distributed closely around the single observation point (Fig. 2 , column (2). The fifth-order polynomial mentioned in " LESTK F" resulted in decreasing increments as the distance from the observation point increases. Moreover, positive T increments caused cyclonic-type wind increments, while negative T increments caused anticyclonic-type wind increments, consistent with the gradient-wind balance. The localization distance of 50 km led to even smaller areas of increments around the single observation point (Fig. 2 , column (3). However, the area of increments was too limited to clearly observe the relationship of the gradient-wind balance, especially in Fig. 2 f,i. Despite the reduced spurious correlations, the extremely localized increments hindered the ability to capture the meso-scale flow patterns and relationships. Based on the results and observations provided, a localization distance of 150 km was chosen as the most suitable for the assimilation experiments in this study.
In Fig. 3 a, the RMSE of specific humidity (Qv) from the different experiments listed in Table 2 is displayed. The RMSE of the ensemble forecast (ENS) is lower than that of the control run from the true state (True). This means that the ensemble members generated using second-order exact sampling represent the range of possible atmospheric states and the ensemble mean properly represents the most likely forecast. The RMSE when assimilating U, V, T data (UVT) is lower than that of ENS, indicating that the assimilation process improves the accuracy of the model prediction. The RMSEs from the experiments daPW and daZTD appear to be similar, with the RMSE of daZTD is slightly lower than daPW. The RMSEs from the experiments daUVT, daUVTPW, and daUVTZTD are similar. However, the RMSEs from daUVTPW and daUVTZTD are lower than that of daUVT. Among all the experiments, the lowest RMSE is observed in daUVTZTD.
Upper row: Time series of RMSE ( a ) and STD ( b ) of Qv from 031,200 to 070,000. Lower row: Vertical profile of time-average of Qv RMSE ( c ) and STD ( d ). The blue dotted lines in ( a ) and ( b ) show the start time of the DA process, while the red dotted lines represent the its endpoint).
In Fig. 3 b, the STD of the ensemble of Qv is shown for the different experiments. The STD provides an estimate of the uncertainty in the state estimate. The STD of the experiment daPW is slightly lower than that of ENS. The STD of experiment daZTD is lower than that of daPW. This suggests that the assimilation of either PW or ZTD data has helped to reduce the uncertainty among the ensemble members, leading to a more consistent forecast. The experiments daUVT, daUVTPW and daUVTZTD have almost the same STD, which is lower than the others. This suggests that the assimilation of conventional data and of multiple observations (U, V, T, PW/ZTD) in these experiments have led to a similar reduction in the spread of specific humidity among the ensemble members, contributing to a more constrained forecast. The pattern of the STDs is similar to the RMSEs during the analysis period, indicating, as expected, that the ensemble STD is influenced by the assimilation process. Lower RMSEs correspond to lower STDs. An approach to evaluate the capability of an ensemble system in quantifying prediction uncertainty is by examining the relationship between the spread among the forecasts of individual ensemble members and the skill of their mean forecast, known as the spread-skill relationship 44 . Several methods exist to quantify this relationship. Talagrand 45 argued that a statistically consistent ensemble should have an average STD matching the RMSE of its mean forecast. We observe that, indeed, the STD and RMSE generally correspond quite well. However, all of the STDs become closer during forecast period, especially at the later time of the experiment. In Fig. 3 c,d, it can be observed that the decreases in RMSEs and STDs of Qv are primarily seen at the middle and low levels (below level 12). This suggests that the assimilation process has a more significant impact on improving the accuracy and reducing the variability of Qv at these levels. However, the results of T, U, and V show the decreases in RMSEs and STDs of these variables at all levels (figures omitted). Figure 3 provides insights into the performance of different data assimilation experiments in improving the accuracy and reducing the STD of Qv, T, U, and V variables during the specified time period (from 031,200 to 070,000).
With the aid of flow-dependent cross-variable background error covariances, the assimilation of U, V, and T yields Qv corrections, resulting in an improved state compared to assimilating PW or ZTD alone. This could be attributed to the nature of the observations themselves. The U, V, and T observations are direct measurements and represent three-dimensional variables, providing a comprehensive and detailed information about the atmospheric conditions. On the other hand, the PW and ZTD observations are indirect two-dimensional data, which may have some limitations in capturing the complete atmospheric state. The direct and three-dimensional nature of U, V, and T observations likely contributes to their larger impact on the assimilation process and the resulting improvements in the state. Furthermore, the assimilation of GNSS data generates slight wind and temperature corrections through the same flow-dependent mechanism (figures omitted). Additionally, the assimilation of multiple data types (U, V, T, PW/ZTD) contributes to an enhanced initial cyclone circulation. This improvement can be credited to the assimilation of diverse data types, which effectively corrects the temperature, wind, and Qv fields. This indicates that despite the significant improvements achieved through conventional observations, the inclusion of GNSS observations can offer additional valuable information, leading to further enhancements in cyclone simulation.
In the idealized case, the primary distinction between PW and ZTD stems from the different observation operators outlined in Eqs. ( 14 – 15 ). Simultaneously, due to varying observational errors, the RMSE exhibits different performances. This discrepancy is also reflected in the lower RMSEs and STDs of U, V, and T from daUVTZTD compared to daUVTPW. In previous real case studies 14 , 46 , opinions vary on whether assimilating PW or ZTD yields better results. From our perspective, the superiority of either depends on the quality of the data itself. In real cases, ZTD is derived first, followed by the derivation of PW from ZTD. It is crucial to note that the value of PW does not solely depend on the ZTD but is also influenced by the additional variables (p, t) in Eqs. ( 1 – 5 ). If the quality of ZTD surpasses that of p and t, the quality of PW may be inferior to that of ZTD, and vice versa.
To assess the estimate model fields, we show the ensemble means for the ensemble experiments as it is common practice in ensemble DA. The spatial distribution of T, U, and V at the 850mb level at the initial time (031,200) are shown in Fig. 4 . Figure 4 a represents the true state, showing the actual distribution of T, U, and V. Figure 4 b represents the control run, which is similar to the ensemble run (Fig. 4 c), but both differ significantly from the true state. Figure 4 d displays the difference obtained by subtracting the true state from the ensemble mean. The differences of T are positive in the outer areas but negative in the central region, while most wind velocities exhibit an anticyclonic pattern. As a result of the distinct start times, the cyclone in the true state has progressed for 60 h, whereas the control state’s cyclone remains at its earlier stage. During the development of the cyclone, the temperature in the central region increases, while it decreases in the outer areas. Concurrently, the wind field intensifies over time. This phenomenon can be attributed to the interplay between thermodynamics and dynamics within the cyclonic system.
Spatial distribution of T, U, and V at the 850 mb level at initial time 031,200 of the control run (single state for True and Ctr; ensemble mean for the ensemble experiment). The shade represents the temperature (K) distribution, while the arrows represent the wind velocity (m/s). 4 ( a ): True; 4 ( b ): CTRL; 4 ( c ): ENS; 4 ( d ): difference between ENS and True.
Given its lowest RMSE, the daUVTZTD experiment is selected for further comparative analysis in this study. At this first analysis step of the DA process the analysis state gets closer to the true state compared to CTRL and ENS. The misfit between daUVTZTD and True is smaller than that between ENS and True at the initial time (figures omitted). However, the difference is larger compared to the final assimilation time. The larger error after the first analysis is mainly due to the substantial magnitude of the prescribed observation errors. Thus, the impact of the observations may not be immediately evident or prominent. However, by incorporating model observational information over time, the state estimate is gradually improved.
Figure 5 represents the 30th DA cycle and final assimilation time, which is 50 h after the start time of control run. In the control run (Fig. 5 b), T is lower, and the cyclone is weaker than in the true state (Fig. 5 a). In ENS (Fig. 5 c), T is higher than in the true state, whereas the cyclonic circulation remains weaker. An evident underestimation of temperature is observed at the cyclone center, whereas the temperature is overestimated in the areas outside the cyclone edge. The analysis state (Fig. 5 d) is closest to the true state. The overall DA-induced change in the model state, depicted in Fig. 5 e, demonstrate the impact of DA. The improvements of T are predominantly concentrated at the center of the cyclone and the surrounding area outside the edge of the cyclone. The differences between the analysis and the true state (Fig. 5 f) are very small across the model domain.
T, U and V at level 850mb at 30th DA time 051,400. The shade represents the temperature (K) distribution, while the arrows represent the wind velocity (m/s). 5 ( a ): True state; 5 ( b ): CTRL; 5 ( c ): ENS; 5 ( d ): daUVTZTD; 5 ( e ): difference between daUVTZTD and ENS; 5 ( f ): difference between daUVTZTD and True.
Next to the effect on the temperature and velocity fields, we assess the effect of the DA on Qv in Fig. 6 . At 051,400, Qv in the control run (Fig. 6 b) appears to be higher than that in the true state (Fig. 6 a) across the entire region. In contrast, the ensemble run (Fig. 6 c) shows a lower Qv compared to the control run, yet it lacks accuracy in simulating the cyclone pattern around its center. Similar to the temperature, the Qv distribution of the analysis state (Fig. 6 d) is the closest to the true state. The DA-induced change, depicted in Fig. 6 e, illustrates the impact of the DA on the Qv field, with adjustments evident throughout the domain but predominantly concentrated at the cyclone’s center. The resulting misfits between the analysis state and the true state (Fig. 6 f) are generally very small across the entire simulation region.
The spatial distribution of Qv at level 850mb at 30th analysis time 051,400. The shade represents the distribution of Qv (g/kg), while the contours delineate the differences in Qv with an interval of 1 g/kg. Specifically, Fig. 6 ( a ) depicts the true state, 6 ( b ) shows CTRL, 6 ( c ) represents ENS, 6 ( d ) displays the results of daUVTZTD, 6 ( e ) illustrates the increments between the daUVTZTD and the ENS simulations, and 6 (f). depicts the misfits between the daUVTZTD and the true state.
As the assimilation cycles progress, an increasing amount of information is assimilated into the background field. With more observations being incorporated, the analysis field progressively approaches the true field. At the 30 th assimilation cycle, all available observations have been assimilated, resulting in the analysis field being the closest approximation to the true field (see Fig. 5 ). After a subsequent 20 h forecast without DA, the T and Qv patterns of the control run are significantly different from the true state, and the cyclone is still weaker than in the true state. T of the ensemble run near the center is lower than the true state, and the cyclone remains weaker than that in the true state. The analysis state is still closer to the true state than CTRL and ENS, but the misfits between daUVTZTD and the true state are larger than those at the time of final assimilation (figures omitted). In the absence of observation constraints, the simulated values in the assimilation experiments gradually deviate from the real values. However, despite this deviation, the assimilation experiments consistently outperformed the control state over time. For the limited spread of analysis ensemble, the 40 ensemble realizations for the daUVTZTD show similar behavior. It is worth noting that at 051,400, several isolated points emerge in both the T (Fig. 5 f) and the Qv (Fig. 6 f) fields, particularly in the surrounding area outside the cyclone edge.
In addition, we assess the impact of the DA on rainfall, focusing on the 24-h accumulated precipitation. At 051,400, the maximum precipitation in the control run (Fig. 7 b) is less than that of the true state (Fig. 7 a). The patterns of their distribution are notably distinct. The ensemble run (Fig. 7 c) exhibits an even lower rainfall level than the control run, and it continues to miss the cyclonic pattern centered around its core. In line with the findings for other variables, the distribution of rainfall in the analysis state (Fig. 7 d), aligns most closely with the true state.
The spatial distribution of 24h cumulative precipitation (in mm) at the 30th analysis time 051,400. Shown are the ( a ) true state, ( b ) CTRL, (c) ENS, ( d ) daUVTZTD.
Table 3 shows that the mean RMSEs of Qv, T, U, and V in all vertical levels, as well as 24 h rainfall for the ensemble forecast (ENS) are similar to those of the single control run (CTRL) at the initial time. At the 1st DA cycle, RMSEs for the ensemble forecast are smaller than those of the control run, and the RMSEs for the analysis are smaller than those for the ensemble run. At the 30st DA cycle—the final assimilation time—the RMSEs for daUVTZTD are the smallest among all experiments and assimilation times. After 20-h free forecast, the RMSEs for the ensemble forecast are still smaller than those for the control run. The RMSEs for assimilation run daUVTZTD are smaller than those for ENS, but larger than those for the analysis at the 30st DA cycle. In contrast to the results from previous studies 47 , 48 , the RMSEs in our study show significant reductions by the DA, primarily attributed to the inclusion of additional conventional data and a higher assimilation rate of GNSS data. These enhancements have collectively contributed to reducing the forecast errors and increasing the accuracy of our simulations.
In this study, a tropical cyclone twin experiment was conducted to evaluate the effect of assimilating conventional and GNSS data in different configurations. The assimilation results provide valuable insights into the performance of the ensemble Kalman filter LESTKF applied in WRF-PDAF, the developed GNSS operator, the impact of GNSS DA on the model forecast accuracy, and the behavior of the analyzed fields. A suitable localization distance needs to be selected to balance the assimilation impact with the preservation of meso-scale flow patterns. Specifically, the localization distance chosen for this study was determined based on the model dynamics, rather than solely relying on numerical values of the RMSE. This decision was made due to the evident correlation between temperature and wind in the idealized scenario, which provides a more physically meaningful basis for selecting the localization distance. However, the localization distance is case-dependent and not a general value. In practical applications, a typical localization radius of 1000 km is commonly used for global modeling and data assimilation systems 49 . However, for convective weather systems utilizing high-resolution models and observations, a much shorter radius of 10 km has been found to be more appropriate 50 . Nonetheless, experiments with real data conducted by Dong et al. (2011) suggest that a smaller localization radius is necessary to achieve better analysis accuracy with denser observing networks. Periáñez et al. 51 determined an optimal localization radius through heuristic arguments, assuming a uniform observing network, and also recommend using a smaller localization radius for denser observations. Kirchgessner et al. 52 proposed a scheme for adaptive localization without tuning. These studies indicate a potentially complex relationship between observing networks and localization radii. However, in real-world applications, the localization radius may be influenced by other factors. For instance, it is known that localization affects the balance in the model state, and a longer localization radius will have a smaller impact on the balance. Consequently, one might prefer a longer localization radius in multivariate assimilation applications. Additionally, when assimilating real observations, biases can occur, and the observation error covariance matrix might be inaccurately estimated. It remains unclear to what extent these factors necessitate adapting the localization radius to achieve overall optimal assimilation results. Therefore, tuning is still necessary. Perhaps, the effective spatial resolution 53 of the model 54 could be applied to determine the localization. Corresponding to " PW and ZTD Observation operators ", assimilating PW and ZTD yields similar results. This proves that the construction of the assimilation operator and the implementation of the assimilation process are reliable. From another perspective, different operators of PW and ZTD caused differences in the DA performance. The DA results are influenced by the magnitude of the observation errors. In real cases, the superiority of either also depends on the data quality as described in " Cycled GNSS DA ".
This study outperforms previous research 55 , 56 , 57 , 58 , 59 , 60 by achieving the most accurate assimilation results, evidenced by the lowest RMSEs and the most similar distributions with the true state. This superior performance can be attributed to the utilization of high-fidelity synthetic observations, which are not only precise but also have a high spatial resolution, characterized by a full 100% density on model grids. However, assimilating observations at lower density can still have a significant effect, at least for conventional observations as was shown by Shao and Nerger 26 . The analysis step significantly improves the accuracy of the model forecast compared to the control run or ensemble forecast. Assimilating the conventional observations U, V, and T, leads to increments that align with expected atmospheric features, such as cyclone patterns in this ideal case. Compared with previous studies, multiple observations, such as T, U, V, as well as PW and ZTD, which are derived from GNSS data, were assimilated using the LESTKF. This generally improved the forecast accuracy, compared to assimilating either conventional or GNSS data. The lower RMSEs compared to previous studies show the effectiveness of the applied assimilation method and the selected observed variables.
The key findings are significant as they contribute to the understanding of the impact of assimilating ground-based GNSS data on the forecast accuracy of tropical cyclone. They highlight the effectiveness of the assimilation process in improving the accuracy of the forecast and provide insights into the behavior of analyzed fields in a tropical cyclone. Additionally, the study identifies the benefits of assimilating multiple observation types. Assimilating ground-based GNSS data, such as PW and ZTD, offers several benefits in the tropical cyclone simulation. Ground-based GNSS data provide valuable information about atmospheric water vapor and can improve the representation of moisture fields in numerical weather prediction models. Assimilating ground-based GNSS data can hence improve the initialization of water vapor fields, and help capture mesoscale features related to atmospheric moisture. The findings of this study highlight the potential applications of assimilating ground-based GNSS data in improving weather forecasts in marine areas and demonstrate that it is essential to establish real ground-based GNSS observation stations over the ocean. By understanding the behavior of analyzed fields and the impact of assimilation, researchers and meteorologists can enhance forecast accuracy.
In conclusion, this research demonstrates the effectiveness of ground-based GNSS data assimilation using the ensemble Kalman filter LESTKF in improving tropical cyclone simulation accuracy. The findings emphasize the benefits of assimilating multiple observation types, and the potential applications of assimilating ground-based GNSS data. The construction of ground-based GNSS observation stations over the ocean is highly promising and essential. The utilization of the flow-dependent, cross-variable background error covariances in the LESTKF enables us to fully leverage the advantages of this data. By further advancing the LESTKF and incorporating GNSS operators in the data assimilation process, we can enhance simulation capabilities for tropical cyclones and have the opportunity to provide more accurate and reliable predictions for various applications, including network design, weather monitoring, disaster management, and climate studies. However, the study should acknowledge potential limitations, such as the use of an idealized twin experiment with synthetic observations. Representation and model errors are not present here. The inherent non-Gaussian nature of atmospheric water variables are also not considered. Future research directions may involve investigating alternative data assimilation methods, in particular nonlinear methods, to address the limitations and challenges encountered. Investigating advanced techniques, such as adaptive localization or ensemble-based adaptive observation strategies, can potentially enhance the assimilation process.
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The calculations for this research were conducted on the high-performance computer of the Alfred Wagner Institute.
Changliang Shao (No. 202105330044) is supported by the China Scholarship Council for one-year research at AWI, the Joint Open Project of KLME & CIC-FEMD, NUIST (KLME202407) and Key Laboratory of Space Ocean Remote Sensing and Application, Ministry of Natural Resources (202402001).
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Changliang Shao and Lars Nerger planned the campaign; Changliang Shao performed the experiments, analysed the data and wrote the manuscript draft; Lars Nerger reviewed and edited the manuscript.
Correspondence to Changliang Shao .
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Shao, C., Nerger, L. Assimilation of ground-based GNSS data using a local ensemble Kalman filter. Sci Rep 14 , 21682 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-72915-w
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Winter season outdoor cultivation of an autochthonous chlorella -strain in a pilot-scale prototype for urban wastewater treatment.
2. materials and methods, 2.1. microalgae, 2.2. wastewater, 2.3. experimental design, 2.4. environmental parameters, 2.5. growth rate of algae and ph of culture substrates, 2.6. psii maximum quantum yield of algae, 2.7. photosynthetic pigments of algae, 2.8. characteristics of the cultivation substrate, 2.9. light microscopy of algae samples for exopolysaccharides detection (eps), 2.10. data analysis, 3.1. environmental parameters, 3.2. algal growth aspects, 3.3. psii maximum quantum yield and photosynthetic pigments content of algae, 3.4. nutrients removal from the cultivation substrate and e. coli load, 3.5. morphological aspects of algae, 4. discussion, 5. conclusions, supplementary materials, author contributions, data availability statement, acknowledgments, conflicts of interest.
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Parameter | Unit | December | February |
---|---|---|---|
Chemical oxygen demand (COD) | mg L O | 80 | 26 |
Biochemical oxygen demand (BOD ) | mg L O | 19 | 12 |
Total suspended solids | mg L | 48 | 10 |
Escherichia coli | UFC/100 mL | 61,000 | 1700 |
Total nitrogen (TN) | mg L | 25.2 | 6.1 |
Nitric nitrogen (N-NO ) | mg L | 24.4 | 4.1 |
Nitrous nitrogen (N-NO ) Ammonia nitrogen (N-NH ) | mg L | 0.16 | 0.30 |
Total phosphorous (TP) | mg L | 1.4 | 1.7 |
Total chromium | mg L | 22.1 | 5.3 |
Chromium VI | mg L | <0.02 | <0.02 |
Lead | mg L | <0.02 | <0.02 |
Zinc | mg L | <0.005 | <0.005 |
Selenium | mg L | 0.06 | 0.12 |
Mercury | mg L | <0.01 | <0.01 |
Nichel | mg L | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Copper | mg L | <0.01 | <0.01 |
Cadmium | mg L | 0.021 | <0.005 |
Aluminium | mg L | <0.005 | <0.005 |
Daphnia magna acute toxicity assay | % mortality | 1.33 | 0.15 |
Chlorella-like | UWW | |
---|---|---|
December 2021 | 85 L | 450 L |
February 2022 | 55 L | 540 L |
Min T° | Max T° | Average T° | |
---|---|---|---|
December 2021 | −0.56 °C | 10.61 °C | 4.86 °C |
February 2022 | 0.93 °C | 14.44 °C | 6.28 °C |
Day of Experimentation | December 2021 | February 2022 |
---|---|---|
0 | 36,000 | 210 |
3 | 2600 | 220 |
21 | 72 | 2 |
Final RE, % | 99.8 | 99.04 |
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Benà, E.; Giacò, P.; Demaria, S.; Marchesini, R.; Melis, M.; Zanotti, G.; Baldisserotto, C.; Pancaldi, S. Winter Season Outdoor Cultivation of an Autochthonous Chlorella -Strain in a Pilot-Scale Prototype for Urban Wastewater Treatment. Water 2024 , 16 , 2635. https://doi.org/10.3390/w16182635
Benà E, Giacò P, Demaria S, Marchesini R, Melis M, Zanotti G, Baldisserotto C, Pancaldi S. Winter Season Outdoor Cultivation of an Autochthonous Chlorella -Strain in a Pilot-Scale Prototype for Urban Wastewater Treatment. Water . 2024; 16(18):2635. https://doi.org/10.3390/w16182635
Benà, Elisa, Pierluigi Giacò, Sara Demaria, Roberta Marchesini, Michele Melis, Giulia Zanotti, Costanza Baldisserotto, and Simonetta Pancaldi. 2024. "Winter Season Outdoor Cultivation of an Autochthonous Chlorella -Strain in a Pilot-Scale Prototype for Urban Wastewater Treatment" Water 16, no. 18: 2635. https://doi.org/10.3390/w16182635
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Revision Notes. BiologyFirst Exams 2025HL. Topic Questions. Revision Notes. Chemistry. ChemistryLast Exams 2024SL. Topic Questions. Revision Notes. Revision notes on 2.5.9 Practical: Investigating Water Potential for the OCR A Level Biology syllabus, written by the Biology experts at Save My Exams.
1. Water movement. Water will always flow from high potential to low potential. This is the second law of thermodynamics—energy flows along the gradient of the intensive variable. Water will move from a higher energy location to a lower energy location until the locations reach equilibrium, as illustrated in Figure 3.
Solute Potential. Solute potential (Ψ s), also called osmotic potential, is negative in a plant cell and zero in distilled water.Typical values for cell cytoplasm are -0.5 to -1.0 MPa. Solutes reduce water potential (resulting in a negative Ψ w) by consuming some of the potential energy available in the water.Solute molecules can dissolve in water because water molecules can bind to them ...
In a general sense, the water potential is the tendency of water to diffuse from one area to another. Water potential is expressed in bars, a metric unit of pressure equal to about 1 atmosphere and measured with a barometer. Consider a potato cell is placed in pure water. Initially the water potential outside the cell is 0 and is higher than ...
Water potential equivalents for KCl and NaCl can be found throughout the literature including Lang (1967), Brown & Bartos (1982), Bulut & Leong (2008). Water potential can also be calculated based on van't Hoff's equation and empirical measurements of the activity coefficients of the respective solution (e.g. Amado & Blanco, 2004).
An investigation into the water potential of potato. an investigation into the water potential of potato fatima ali. Skip to document ... We could've also achieved this by repeating our experiment 3 times and calculating a mean and the standard deviation, however, we didn't. Limitations and Improvements are how we can make our experiment ...
Question: What is the water potential of potato tissue? Hypothesis: Water potentials (Ψ w) will be negative and should range from -0.1 to -1.0 MPa (Bland and Tanner, 1985). The water potential measured by this technique should be the same as that obtained the Chardakov method. Protocol: Dispense 10 mL of water or sucrose (0.1 - 0.8 molal) into ...
Here we present two methods of determining osmotic potential of plant tissues using potatoes. Method one, the standard protocol for measuring weight change of tissues in varying osmotic solutions, is reliable but does not demonstrate the changing solute potentials. The second method, the Chardakov method, is slightly more challenging, but far ...
Abstract. Drought stress is an increasing concern because of climate change and increasing demands on water for agriculture. There are still many unknowns about how plants sense and respond to water limitation, including which genes and cellular mechanisms are impactful for ecology and crop improvement in drought-prone environments.
This is because there is a greater concentration gradient between the potato cells which have a higher water potential, and the sucrose solution which has a lower water potential. ... A limitation of this experiment could be that there are slight differences in the size of the potato cylinders. Therefore, for each sucrose concentration, the ...
Water potential is the tendency of water to diffuse from one area to another. Water molecules move from areas of high water potential to areas of low water potential by osmosis. The water potential is determined by the concentration of solutes. The movement of water in and out of cells is related to the relative concentration of solutes either ...
Understanding plants' responses to water stress is essential to achieving optimal plant growth and yield. Leaf water potential can be an indicator of plant water stress as a function of soil water availability. Leaf water potential measurements have been used to develop plant-based irrigation scheduling methods (Fulton et al. 2001).
Materials and Methods In this experiment, the potato Solanum tuberosum was used to observe the effects of osmosis. 7 large beakers were also obtained and each had a different solution in DI water, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, and 0 M sucrose solutions. ... Using this data, the water potential of the potato cells was determined to be Ψw Pure water is the ...
Incubate the cores for at least 1.5 h, preferably longer. Periodically swirl the containers. Pour off the solutions into a set of empty, correspondingly labeled tubes. Mix the tubes thoroughly with a vortex mixer. Record the temperature of the solutions (Table 1) Using a Pasteur pipet, remove a small amount of water dyed with methylene blue (to ...
When the water decreases in the soil the water potential tends to become more negative than —8 bars. It may be added that if the water potential falls beyond —15 bars, most plant tissues stop growing. The response of herbaceous and desert-growing plant leaves vary when the water potential falls below —20 to —30 bars.
The following experiment investigates the effect of different concentrations of sucrose close sucrose A disaccharide made from glucose and fructose. It is used as table sugar. on potato tissue.
Osmosis limitations. Fefee. I recently did the osmosis potato experiment, where you cut strips of potato and leave them in different concentrations of sucrose solution overnight. Then you work out the change in mass, and the percentage change in mass. I need three limitations, and ways to overcome them, the one I already have is the the strip ...
Water potential directly controls the function of leaves, roots and microbes, and gradients in water potential drive water flows throughout the soil-plant-atmosphere continuum. Notwithstanding ...
This experiment involves placing plant tissue, e.g. potato cylinders, in varying concentrations of sucrose solutions to determine the water potential of the plant tissues. Prepare the different concentrations of sucrose solutions. Using distilled water and 1M sucrose solution, prepare a series of dilutions such that you now have 0.0, 0.2, 0.4 ...
Hydraulic resistances for water flow through soil can be a major limitation for plant water uptake. Changes in water supply and water loss affect water potential gradients inside plants. Likewise, growth creates water potential gradients. ... water deficit experiments may lead to different progressions in plant responses depending on the soil ...
Gradients in the water potential (Ψ) of soils and plants form the energetic basis for the transport of water, and elements contained therein, through a connected continuum linking the deepest soil layers to the top of plant canopies (Figure 1).Ψ can be a positive or negative pressure, though it is typically negative -- a tension force -- in unsaturated soils and within plant hydraulic systems.
Global warming is increasing the frequency and intensity of heat waves and droughts. One important phase in the life cycle of plants is seed germination. To date, the association of the temperature and water potential thresholds of germination with seed traits has not been explored in much detail. Therefore, we set up different temperature gradients (5-35 °C), water potential gradients (− ...
question. Answer: Limitations of conducting osmosis in a lab include different sizes or parts of the substance used (such as potato), external factors such as temperature and evaporation rate, and improper handling. Explanation: Osmosis is a process involving the movement of solvent particles from an area where they are highly populated to an ...
Materials and methods. The WA+ approach is reported to inform three stages of the IWRM planning process: issue assessment, strategy evaluation, and monitoring and evaluation (Mul et al., Citation 2023).To assess its potential to support IWRM, we conducted two systematic literature reviews to (i) capture how water resources assessments are conventionally implemented in the MENA region and (ii ...
However, the study should acknowledge potential limitations, such as the use of an idealized twin experiment with synthetic observations. Representation and model errors are not present here.
The global population increase during the last century has significantly amplified freshwater demand, leading to higher wastewater (WW) production. European regulations necessitate treating WW before environmental. Microalgae have gained attention for wastewater treatment (WWT) due to their efficiency in remediating nutrients and pollutants, alongside producing valuable biomass. This study ...