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A Case Study Involving Influenza and the Influenza Vaccine

By John S. Bennett

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A Case Study Involving Influenza and the Influenza Vaccine

This interrupted case study presents a discussion about the benefits of the influenza vaccine between Mary, a nursing student, and her coworker, Karen. Karen is not convinced by Mary’s arguments in favor of vaccination, and she counters with several common rationalizations for not getting the vaccine. Students work in small groups to evaluate the arguments for and against vaccination from the perspective of each woman. In addressing the questions in the case, students learn about the general biology of viral infections, treatment of infections, and immunity. The case was designed for use in an entry-level course in microbiology for nursing students or a first-year biology course for majors.

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  • Identify the symptoms associated with influenza.
  • Distinguish influenza from other infectious diseases.
  • Recognize that the influenza vaccine does not protect against all illnesses that might be commonly identified as “flu.”
  • Understand that the flu vaccine is not recommended for all people while others are considered “high risk” individuals.
  • Recognize that antibiotics are for bacterial, not viral infections, and that secondary bacterial infections (which can be treated with antibiotics) sometimes follow a primary viral infection.
  • (For nursing students) Address the misinformation that they will encounter among people who choose not to get vaccinated for influenza.

Influenza; flu; vaccine; vaccination; antibiotics; antigenic drift; antigenic shift; genetic shift; genetic drift; viral infection; bacterial infection; infectious disease

  

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EDUCATIONAL LEVEL

High school, Undergraduate lower division, General public & informal education

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Influenza: A case study

a case study involving influenza and the influenza vaccine quizlet

Introduction

Most people have suffered from influenza (flu) at some time in their lives, so you probably have personal experience or a good idea of the symptoms and progression of the disease. However, influenza is actually one of the world’s most serious diseases. The pandemic of flu that occurred in 1918, immediately following the First World War, is thought to have killed up to 50 million people: many more than died in the war itself. More recently, the 2009 ‘swine flu’ pandemic caused widespread panic across parts of the world, although it resulted in relatively few fatalities.

The following course is a case study of influenza that considers a range of topics such as the nature of the virus itself, its spread, treatment, and diagnosis. There are activities to complete and videos to watch as you work through the text, and a set of self-assessment questions at the end of the course that allow you to judge how well you have understood the course content.

This OpenLearn course is an adapted extract from the Open University course : SK320 Infectious disease and public health .

Learning outcomes

After studying this course, you should be able to:

define and use, or recognise definitions and applications of, each of the glossary terms in the course

describe influenza viruses, their structure, how they are transmitted, how they infect cells and replicate and how they produce their damage in the host

outline the different types of immune defence which are deployed against flu infections, distinguishing those that act against infected cells from those that act against free virus

describe how strains of the virus change over time, and relate this to the flu viruses that occur in birds and other mammals

explain how the epidemic pattern of influenza can be related to the evolution of new strains of virus and to the specificity of the immune response against each strain.

1 Background to the case study

Influenza is a myxovirus belonging to the family of viruses known as Orthomyxoviridae. The virus was originally confined to aquatic birds, but it made the transition to humans 6000–9000 years ago, coinciding with the rise of farming, animal husbandry and urbanisation.

These changes in human behavior and population density provided the ecological niche that enabled influenza, as well as a number of other infectious agents such as the viruses that cause measles and smallpox, to move from animals and adapt to a human host.

Influenza as a disease has been recognised for centuries, even though the viruses which cause it were not correctly identified until the early 1930s, first in the UK and then in the USA. Indeed the name itself is derived from an Italian word meaning ‘influence’, and reflected the widespread belief in medieval times that the disease was caused by an evil climatic influence due to an unfortunate alignment of the stars.

Our current understanding – that infectious diseases are caused by infectious agents – is so ingrained that such mystical causes for an illness now seem absurd. However, even during the Middle Ages, people had a sound idea of infection and realised that some diseases could be passed from one individual to another and others could not. For example, the use of quarantine for a disease such as plague, but not for many other illnesses, shows that people could distinguish infectious diseases from non-infectious diseases even if the causative agent and the method of transmission were obscure.

The idea that influenza is caused by the influence of the stars, though not a satisfactory explanation of how the disease spread, does identify an important feature of flu – that serious epidemics of the disease occur at irregular intervals.

For example, in the twentieth century there were at least five major epidemics of flu that spread around the world (a pandemic), and there were less serious epidemics in most years. In times when people believed in the spontaneous generation of life, the stars would have seemed a reasonable explanation for unpleasant and unexpected epidemics.

1.1 Defining influenza

How would you define ‘influenza’?

You may well have defined influenza as an infection caused by an influenza virus. However, you may have defined it according to its symptoms: an infection that starts in the upper respiratory tract, with coughing and sneezing, spreads to give aching joints and muscles, and produces a fever that makes you feel awful; but usually it has gone in 5–10 days and most people make a full recovery.

The first answer here is the biological definition and, in the Open University course SK320, diseases are defined according to the infectious agent which produces them. This is because different infections can produce the same symptoms, and the same infectious agent can produce quite different symptoms in different people, depending on their age, genetic make-up or the tissue of the body that becomes infected. Here a distinction is made between the infectious disease caused by a particular agent and the disease symptoms.

Unfortunately there is a lot of confusion in common parlance about different diseases. Often, people say that they have ‘a bit of flu’ when they have an infection with some other virus, or a bacterium that produces flu-like symptoms. Such loose terminology is understandable, since most people are firstly concerned with the symptoms of their disease. But to treat and control disease requires accurate identification of the causative agent, so this is the starting point for considering any infectious disease.

Attributing cause to a disease

The difficulties encountered in assigning a particular pathogen to a disease are well-illustrated by influenza.

During the influenza pandemic that occurred in 1890, the microbiologist Pfeiffer isolated a novel bacterium from the lungs of people who had died of flu. The bacterium was named Haemophilus influenzae and since it was the only bacterium that could be regularly cultivated from these individuals at autopsy, it was assumed that H. influenzae was the causative agent of flu.

Again, in the 1918 flu pandemic, the bacterium could be regularly cultivated from people who had died of flu with pneumonia. So it was thought that flu was caused by the bacterium, and H. influenzae came to be called the ‘influenza bacillus’.

The role of H. influenzae was only brought into question in the early 1930s, when Smith, Andrews and Laidlaw showed that it was possible to transfer a flu-like illness from the nasal washings of an infected person to ferrets, using a bacteria-free filtrate. These studies demonstrated that the pathogen was in fact much smaller than any known bacterium and paved the way to the identification of influenza viruses (Figure 1).

Electron microscope image of influenza virus particles.

Electron micrograph picture of influenza viruses. Each viral particle is about 500 nm across and surrounded by a darker-staining lipid bilayer coat derived from the host cell.

Why do you suppose that H. influenzae was incorrectly identified as the causative agent of flu?

The bacterium fulfils two of Koch’s postulates: it is regularly found in serious flu infections and it can be cultured in pure form on artificial media. Moreover, at that time no-one knew what a virus was, and everyone was thinking in terms of bacterial causes for infectious diseases.

Although the precise role of H. influenzae in the 1890 and 1918 flu pandemics is not clear, it is likely that the bacteria were present and acting in concert with the flu virus to produce the pneumonia experienced. Such synergy between virus and bacteria was demonstrated by Shope in 1931. He infected pigs with a bacterial-free filtrate (containing swine influenza virus) with or without the bacteria, and showed that the disease produced by the bacteria and filtrate together was more severe than that produced by either one alone (Van Epps, 2006).

In its role of co-pathogen, H. influenzae is only one of a number of bacteria that can exacerbate the viral infection. This highlights a very important point. In the tidy world of a microbiology or immunology laboratory, scientists typically examine the effect of one infectious agent in producing disease. In the real world, people often become infected with more than one pathogen. Indeed, infection with one agent often lays a person open to infection with another, as immune defences become overwhelmed. For this reason, a particular disease as seen by physicians may be due to a combination of pathogens.

1.2 Influenza infection in humans

Influenza is an acute viral disease that affects the respiratory tract in humans. The virus is spread readily in aerosol droplets produced by coughing and sneezing, which are symptoms of the illness. Other symptoms include fatigue, muscle and joint pains and fever.

Following infection, the influenza virus replicates in the cells lining the host’s upper and lower respiratory tract. Virus production peaks 1–2 days later, and virus particles are shed in secretions over the following 3–4 days. During this period, the patient is infectious and the symptoms are typically at their most severe.

After one week, virus is no longer produced, although it is possible to detect viral antigens for up to 2 weeks. Immune responses are initiated immediately after the virus starts to replicate, and antibodies against the virus start to appear in the blood at 3–4 days post infection. These continue to increase over the following days and persist in the blood for many months.

In a typical flu infection, the virus is completely eliminated from the host’s system within 2 weeks. This is sterile immunity: the virus cannot be obtained from the patient after recovery from the disease. Figure 2 shows the typical time course of an acute flu infection.

Time course of flu infection.

In this figure, the horizontal axis is labelled days and is marked from zero, which is the time of infection, up to 10 days at one-day intervals. There are three horizontal bars, labelled virus, symptoms and antibodies, and the depth of each bar corresponds to the amount of virus or antibody or the severity of symptoms respectively. Antibody production is maximal by day 5 and the virus is reduced to a very low level by day 6. Symptoms of infection disappear by day 9.

For infants, older people, and those with other underlying diseases (e.g. of the heart or respiratory system) an infection with flu may prove fatal. However, the severity of a flu epidemic and the case fatality rate depend on the strain of flu involved and the level of immunity in the host population.

During a severe epidemic, there are typically thousands more deaths than would normally be expected for that time of year, and these can be attributed to the disease. Although older people are usually most at risk from fatal disease, this is not always so. In the 1918 flu pandemic there was a surprisingly high death rate in people aged 20–40 (Figure 3), and this was also the case for the 2009 ‘swine flu’ pandemic.

Graph of mortality by age during in 1917 and 1918.

The figure is a line graph in which the horizontal axis is labelled age and is marked in years from zero to 80 at intervals of 20 years. The vertical axis is labelled death rate per 100 000 population and is marked from zero to 3000 at intervals of 500 units. The 1917 plots for both males and females are almost identical U-shaped curves, and show that death rates were in excess of 1500 in newborns, dropped to 200 by age 2 and were zero in 10-year-olds. Rates remained below 200 for those aged 40 or under, increased to 500 in 65-year-olds, and beyond this age, death rate increased very rapidly to reach levels of 3000 per 100 000 for 80-year-olds. The pattern in death rates in 1918 for the younger and older age groups was similar to that in 1917, although rates in newborns were much higher, at 2500. The minimum rate in 1918, again observed in 10-year-olds, was 200. Beyond this age, death rates rose sharply, to 1200 for 30-year-old males and 750 for 30-year-old females. Death rates in both groups fell rapidly, and for those aged 60 or more, were similar to the rates in the previous year.

Older people are often most severely affected during infectious disease outbreaks because they may have a less effective immune response than younger people, or a reduced capacity to repair and regenerate tissue damaged by the infection. However, there are circumstances where older people may be more resistant to infection than younger people because they may have already encountered the disease (in their youth) and could retain some immunity and so be less susceptible than younger people who have not encountered the disease before.

1.3 Influenza infection in other species

Influenza viruses infect a wide range of species, including pigs, horses, ducks, chickens and seals. In most of these other species the virus produces an acute infection.

For example, in most of the mammals the symptoms are very similar to those in humans: an acute infection of the respiratory tract, which is controlled by the immune response although fatal infections occur in some species. However, in wild ducks and other aquatic birds the virus primarily infects the gut and the birds do not appear to have any physical symptoms.

Despite this, ducks may remain infected for 2–4 weeks and during this time they shed virus in their faeces. Potentially this is a very important reservoir of infection; although flu viruses do not often cross the species barrier, the pool of viruses present in other species is an important genetic reservoir for the generation of new flu viruses that do infect humans.

This reservoir becomes particularly important in certain farming communities or in crowded conditions where animals (especially pigs and ducks) are continuously in close proximity with humans (Branswell, 2010). Although such conditions occur in many agricultural communities throughout the world, they are typically observed in South-East and East Asia thereby contributing to these geographical areas often being the source of radically new ‘hybrid’ strains of influenza that incorporate genes from different species-specific strains. (The genetics of influenza are discussed in Section 2.3.)

When strategies for controlling a disease are considered, awareness of the possible presence of an animal reservoir of infection is very important. For example, an immunisation programme against flu would substantially reduce the incidence of the current strain in humans but, because there is always a reservoir of these viruses in other animals, and these viruses are constantly mutating, another strain would inevitably emerge and be unaffected by immunisation. It is useful to distinguish diseases such as rabies, which primarily affect other vertebrates and occasionally infect humans (zoonoses), from diseases such as flu where different strains of the virus can affect several species including humans.

Identify a fundamental difference between the way that zoonoses (e.g. rabies) are transmitted, and the way in which flu is transmitted.

Flu can be transmitted from one human being to another, whereas most zoonoses, including rabies, are not transmitted between people.

2 Influenza viruses

Viruses have very diverse genomes. Whereas the genomes of bacteria, plants and animals are of double-stranded DNA, the genomes of viruses can be constituted from either DNA or RNA and may be double- or single-stranded molecules.

Usually, DNA is a double-stranded molecule with paired, complementary strands (dsDNA) and RNA is a single stranded molecule (ssRNA). However, some viruses have single-stranded DNA genomes (ssDNA) and some have double-stranded RNA genomes (dsRNA). The type of nucleic acid found in the genome depends on the group of viruses involved.

RNA encodes protein in all living things, and the sequence of bases in the RNA determines the sequence of amino acids in the protein. A strand of RNA which has the potential to encode protein is said to be ‘positive sense’ (+). If a strand of RNA is complementary to this, then it is ‘negative sense’ (–). Negative-sense RNA must first be copied to a complementary positive-sense strand of RNA before it can be translated into protein.

The description of the influenza genome as negative-sense ssRNA means that its RNA cannot be translated without copying first. This copying is performed by influenza’s viral RNA polymerase, a small amount of which is packaged with the virus, ready to begin copying the viral genome once it enters a host cell. Viral RNA polymerase consists of three subunits: PB1, PB2, and PA, encoded separately by the first three viral RNA strands.

Understanding the way in which different viruses replicate is important, since it allows the identification of particular points in their life-cycle that may be susceptible to treatment with antiviral drugs.

Classification

Viruses are classified into different families, groups and subgroups in much the same way as are species of animals or plants.

As you have already read, the influenza viruses are (–)ssRNA organisms (Baltimore group V) and belong to a family called the Orthomyxoviruses (see Box 1). They fall into three groups: influenza A, B and C.

Type A viruses are able to infect a wide variety of endothermic (warm-blooded) animals, including mammals and birds, and analysis of their viral genome indicates that all strains of influenza A originated from aquatic birds.

By contrast, types B and C are mostly confined to humans. At any one time, a number of different strains of virus may be circulating in the human population.

Box 1 Families, groups and strains of virus

Viruses were originally classified into different groups according to similarities in their structure, mode of replication and disease symptoms. For example, the Orthomyxoviruses include viruses that cause different types of influenza, while Paramyxoviruses include the viruses that cause measles and mumps.

Such large groupings are often called a family of viruses. The families can be subdivided into smaller groups, such as influenza A, B and C. Even within a single such group of viruses there can be an enormous level of genetic diversity, and this is the basis of the different strains. As an example, two HIV particles from the same individual may be 4% different in their genome; compare this with the 1% difference between the genomes of humans and chimpanzees, which are different species.

2.1 Structure of influenza

The structure of influenza A is shown schematically in Figure 4. The viral genomic RNA, which consists of eight separate strands (see Section 2.3), is enclosed by its associated nucleoproteins to make a ribonucleoprotein complex (RNP), and this is contained in the central core of the virus (the capsid).

The nucleoproteins are required for viral replication and packing of the genome into the new capsid, which is formed by M1-protein (or matrix protein). The M1-protein is the most abundant component of the virus, constituting about 40% of the viral mass; it is essential for the structural integrity of the virus and to control assembly of the virus.

Influenza virus structure.

In this cross-sectional diagram of the spherical virus, the convoluted ribonucleoprotein genome with its replication enzymes is inside the capsid which comprises M-protein subunits. The envelope surrounds the capsid and is studded with molecules of haemagglutinin and neuraminidase.

Orthomyxoviruses have a capsid surrounded by a phospholipid bilayer derived from the plasma membrane of the cell that produced the virus. This layer is shown in Figure 4 as the virus’s envelope.

Two proteins, haemagglutinin and neuraminidase, are found on the viral envelope. These proteins are encoded by the viral HA and NA genes (Section 2.3), respectively and are inserted into the plasma membrane of the infected cell before the newly-produced viruses bud off from the cell surface.

The haemagglutinin can bind to glycophorin, a type of polysaccharide that contains sialic acid residues, and which is present on the surface of a variety of host cells. The virus uses the haemagglutinin to attach to the host cells that it will infect. Antibodies and drugs against haemagglutinin are therefore particularly important in limiting the spread of the virus, since they prevent it from attaching to new host cells.

Neuraminidase is an enzyme that cleaves sialic acid residues from polysaccharides. It has a role in clearing a path to the surface of the target cell before infection, namely, digesting the components of mucus surrounding epithelial cells in the respiratory system. Similarly, neuraminidase also promotes release of the budding virus from the cell surface after infection.

The structures of influenza B and influenza C are broadly similar to that of Type A, although in influenza C the functions of the haemagglutinin and the neuraminidase are combined in a single molecule, haemagglutinin esterase. This molecule binds and cleaves a less common type of sialic acid. Influenza C does not normally cause clinical disease or epidemics, so the following discussion is confined to influenza A and B.

2.2 Designation of strains of influenza

A considerable number of genetically different strains of influenza A have been identified, and these are classified according to where they were first isolated and according to the type of haemagglutinin and neuraminidase they express. For example ‘A/Shandong/9/93(H3N2)’ is an influenza A virus isolated in the Shandong province of China in 1993 – the ninth isolate in that year – and it has haemagglutinin type 3 and neuraminidase type 2.

At the start of the twenty-first century, the major circulating influenza A strains are H1N1 (‘swine flu’) and H3N2. At least 16 major variants of haemagglutinin and 9 variants of neuraminidase have been recognised, but to date most of these have only been found in birds.

The designation for influenza B is similar, but omits the information on the surface molecules, for example: ‘B/Panama/45/90’.

As you will see later, accurate identification of different strains of flu is crucial if we are to control epidemics by vaccination programmes.

2.3 Genomic diversity of influenza

The genome of flu viruses consists of around 14 000 nucleotides of negative-sense single-stranded RNA. Compare this number to the approximately 3 billion nucleotides found in the human genome or the 150 billion nucleotides of the genome of the marbled lungfish (the largest genome known in vertebrates).

The genome of influenza viruses is segmented, into eight distinct fragments of RNA containing 11 genes and encoding approximately 14 proteins (see Table 1 below). This structure has significance for the spread of the virus and the severity of disease symptoms.

Cases of influenza generally arise in two main ways: by provoking seasonal annual outbreaks or epidemics and, less commonly, through global pandemics. As you will see shortly, both of these phenomena occur as consequences of the fact that the virus uses RNA as its genetic template and that this RNA genome is segmented into discrete strands.

The genome of influenza virus. Note that a single RNA segment may encode for more than one protein due to alternative reading frames.
Gene nameRNA strand (segment number)Function(s) of protein encoded by this gene
PB2 (polymerase basic 2)1A subunit of viral RNA polymerase involved in cleaving the cap structure of host cell mRNA and generating primers that are subverted for use in the synthesis of viral RNA.
PB1 (polymerase basic 1)2Core subunit of viral RNA polymerase. Required for polymerase assembly.
PB1-F22Binds to components of the host mitochondria, sensitising the cell to apoptosis and contributing to pathogenicity.
PA (polymerase acidic)3A subunit of viral RNA polymerase which also has protease activity of unknown function.
HA (haemagglutinin)4Antigenic glycoprotein used for binding to (infecting) the host cell.
NP (nucleoprotein)5RNase resistant protein. Binds viral genomic RNA to form stable ribonucleoproteins and targets these for export from the host nucleus into the cytosol. Also involved in viral genome packaging and viral assembly.
NA (neuraminidase)6Cleaves sialic acid. Important for releasing viral particles from host cell.
M1 (matrix 1)7Binds viral genomic RNA and forms a coat inside the viral envelope in virions. Inside the host cell, it starts forming a layer under patches of the membrane rich in viral HA, NA, and M2 and so facilitates viral assembly and budding from the host cell.
M2 (matrix 2)7Transmembrane ion channel protein. Allows protons into the virus capsid, acidifying the interior, destabilising binding of M1 to the viral genomic RNA which leads to uncoating of the viral particle inside the host cell.
NS1 (non-structural 1)8Inhibits nuclear export of the host’s own mRNA, thereby giving preference to viral genomic RNA. Blocks the expression of some host inflammatory mediators (interferons) and interferes with T cell activation*.
NS2/NEP (non-structural 2/ nuclear export protein)8Mediates the export of viral genomic RNA from the host nucleus to the cytoplasm.

Footnotes  

The influenza virus is a successful pathogen because it is constantly changing. How might having a segmented genome promote the evolution of new strains of influenza virus?

If a cell is infected with more than one strain of virus at the same time, then a new strain can be generated simply by mixing RNA strands from different viruses.

2.3.1 Creation of new viral strains

Part of the success of influenza as a pathogen is because segmented genome improves the virus’s potential to evolve into new strains through the combination of different RNA stands. This mixing of the genetic material from different viral strains to produce a new strain is termed genetic reassortment .

For instance, the virus that caused the 2009 H1N1 ‘swine flu’ pandemic comprises a quadruple reassortment of RNA strands from two swine virus, one avian virus, and one human influenza virus:

  • the surface HA and NA proteins derive from two different swine influenzas (H1 from a North American swine influenza and N1 from a European swine influenza)
  • the three components of the RNA polymerase derive from avian and human influenzas (PA and PB2 from the avian source, PB1 from the human 1993 H3N2 strain)
  • the remaining internal proteins derive from the two swine influenzas (MacKenzie, 2009).

This does not necessarily mean that all four viruses infected the same animal at once. The new strain was likely the result of a reassortment of two swine influenza viruses, one from North America and one from Europe. The North American virus may itself have been the product of previous reassortments, containing a human PB1 gene since 1993 and an avian PA and PB2 genes since 2001. The presence of avian influenza RNA polymerase genes in this virus was especially worrying, since the avian polymerase is thought to be more efficient than human or swine versions, allowing the virus to replicate faster and thus making it more virulent. Similar avian RNA polymerase genes are what make H5N1 bird flu extremely virulent in mammals and what made the 1918 human pandemic virus so lethal in people.

This mixing of genes from two or more viruses (whether from the same host species or from different species) can cause major changes in the antigenic surface proteins of a virus, such that it is no longer recognised by the host’s immune system. This antigenic shift is described in more detail in Section 3 (specifically, Box 2).

In contrast to the major genetic changes caused by reassortment, influenza viruses also undergo constant, gradual, genetic changes due to errors made by their RNA polymerases.

2.4 Infection and replication

Influenza RNA polymerase lacks the ability to recognise and repair any errors that occur during genome duplication, resulting in mistakes in copying its viral RNA about once in every 10 000 nucleotides. Because the influenza genome only contains approximately 14 000 nucleotides, this means that, on average, each new virus produced differs by 1 or 2 nucleotides from its ‘parent’.

The slow accumulation of random genetic changes, especially in the antigenic surface proteins, explains why antibodies that were effective against the virus one year may be less effective against it in subsequent years. This gradual change in the nature of viral antigens is known as antigenic drift .

The replication cycle of influenza is illustrated in Figure 5.

Influenza replication cycle.

Complicated diagram showing a series of events from the replication cycle of a flu virus, from the virus entering a cell, releasing its contents, replicating, and these new virus particles budding and exiting the infected cell. Anti-clockwise, from the top left corner: (1) virus attaches to cell and is endocytosed; (2) cellular lysosomes fuse with endocytosed virus and viral RNA, and proteins are released into cell; (3) viral RNA moves to nucleus of the infected cell and is transcribed into viral mRNA, which is exported into cytosol to make new viral proteins; (4) viral proteins and viral RNA self-combine to make new viral particles that bud off the cell and are released to infect more host cells.

Influenza is spread in aerosol droplets that contain virus particles (or by desiccated viral nuclei droplets), and infection may occur if these come into contact with the respiratory tract. Viral neuraminidase cleaves polysaccharides in the protective mucus coating the tract, which allows the virus to reach the surface of the respiratory epithelium.

The haemagglutinin now attaches to glycophorins (sialic-acid-containing glycoproteins) on the surface of the host cell, and the virus is taken up by endocytosis into a phagosome. Acidic lysosomes fuse with the phagosome to form a phagolysosome and the pH inside the phagolysosome falls. This promotes fusion of the viral envelope with the membrane of the phagolysosome, triggering uncoating of the viral capsid and release of viral RNA and nucleoproteins into the cytosol.

The viral genomic RNA then migrates to the nucleus where replication of the viral genome and transcription of viral mRNA occur. These processes require both host and viral enzymes. The viral negative-stranded RNA is replicated by the viral RNA-dependent RNA polymerase, into a positive-sense complementary RNA (cRNA), and these positive and negative RNA strands associate to form double-stranded RNA (dsRNA). The cRNA strand is subsequently replicated again to produce new viral genomic negative-stranded RNA. Some of the cRNA is also processed into mRNA for translation of viral proteins. The infection cycle is rapid and viral molecules can be detected inside the host cell within an hour of the initial infection.

The envelope glycoproteins (haemagglutinin and neuraminidase) are translated in the endoplasmic reticulum, processed and transported to the cell’s plasma membrane. The viral capsid is assembled within the nucleus of the infected cell. The capsid moves to the plasma membrane, where it buds off, taking a segment of membrane containing the haemagglutinin and neuraminidase, and this forms the new viral envelope.

Influenza virus budding from the surface of an infected cell is shown in Figure 6.

Flu virus leaving host cell.

In this false-colour electron micrograph, the budding virus particles appear orange and their surrounding envelopes appear green. One of the buds has a short stalk which indicates that virus particle is about to pinch off from the host cell membrane. Each virus is about 100 nanometres in diameter.

From the description above, identify a process or element in the replication cycle which is characteristic of the virus, and which would not normally occur in a mammalian cell.

The replication of RNA on an RNA template with the production of double-stranded RNA would never normally occur in a mammalian cell. Double stranded RNA is therefore a signature of a viral infection. Significantly, cells have a way of detecting the presence of dsRNA, and this activates interferons: molecules involved in limiting viral replication.

2.5 Cellular pathology of influenza infection

Flu viruses can infect a number of different cell types from different species. This phenomenon is partly because the cellular glycoproteins which are recognised by viral haemagglutinin are widely distributed in the infectious agent.

What is the term for the property of viruses that allows them to only replicate in particular cell types?

This property is viral tropism. Hence we can say that flu viruses have a broad tropism.

A second reason why the virus can infect a variety of cell types is that the replication strategy of flu is relatively simple: ‘infect the cell, replicate as quickly as possible and then get out again’. This is the cytopathic effect of the virus. Cell death caused directly by the virus can be distinguished from cell death caused by the actions of the immune system as it eliminates infected cells.

The effects of cell death

Cell death impairs the function of an infected organ and often induces inflammation , a process that brings white cells (leukocytes) and molecules of the immune system to the site of infection. In the first instance, the leukocytes are involved in limiting the spread of infection; later they become involved in combating the infection, and in the final phase they clear cellular debris so that the tissue can repair or regenerate.

The symptoms of flu experienced by an infected person are partly due to the cytopathic effect of the virus, partly due to inflammation and partly a result of the innate immune response against the virus. The severity of the disease largely depends on the rate at which these processes occur.

  • In most instances, the immune response develops sufficiently quickly to control the infection and patients recover.
  • If viral replication and damage outstrip the development of the immune response then a fatal infection can occur.

In severe flu infections, the lungs may fill with fluid as the epithelium lining the alveoli (air sacs) is damaged by the virus. The fluid is ideal for the growth of bacteria, and this can lead to a bacterial pneumonia, in which the lungs become infected with one or more types of bacteria such as Haemophilus influenzae . Damage to cells lining blood vessels can cause local bleeding into the tissues, and this form of ‘fulminating disease’ was regularly seen in post-mortem lung tissues of people who died in the 1918 pandemic.

3 Patterns of disease

In humans, pigs and horses, flu viruses circulate through populations at regular intervals. The disease is endemic in tropical regions for all of these host groups (i.e. it is continually present in the community). In temperate latitudes, infections are usually seasonal or epidemic, with the greatest numbers occurring in the winter months (Figure 7). Epidemics also occur sporadically in sea mammals and poultry, and in these species high mortality is typical.

Graph showing epidemic patterns of flu in the USA.

In this graph, the horizontal axis is marked in years from 1994 to 1997. The vertical axis is labelled number of isolates per week and is marked from zero to 900 at intervals of 100. The data show that there were three separate epidemics, which occurred over the three successive winters, and in increasing order of severity. The peak numbers of isolates were as follows: in 1994/5, there were 370; in 1995/6, there were 630; and in 1996/9, there were nearly 900.

In most years, flu in humans affects a minority of the population, the disease course is not very severe and the level of mortality is not great. In such years the influenza virus is slightly different from the previous year due to antigenic drift, which results in the accumulation of genetic mutations that cause the molecules present on the surface of the virus change progressively. In this scenario, the virus is not significantly different from the previous year so that the host’s immune system can more easily mount an effective response than it could to a completely new strain.

However, at irregular intervals the virus undergoes an antigenic shift. This process only occurs in influenza A viruses, typically every 10–30 years, and it is associated with severe pandemics, serious disease and high mortality (see Box 2).

In Section 2.3 you read that strains of influenza are differentiated and designated using a simple system of numbers and letters that depend on their surface antigens. More commonly, however, strains responsible for pandemics are often given a common name according to the area in the world from which they were thought to originate, or the species they mainly affected before becoming transferred to humans (see Table 2). Evidence suggests, however, that in the twentieth century the major flu pandemics all originated in China, with the exception of the 1918 pandemic, which first occurred in the USA.

Major flu pandemic strains of the twentieth century.
YearDesignationCommon name
1900H3N8(none)
1918H1N1Spanish flu
1957H2N2Asian flu
1968H3N2Hong Kong flu
1977H1N1Russian flu
1997H5N1Avian flu

Box 2 The rise of H5N1 – an example of antigenic shift

In 1997, a new strain of influenza A, H5N1, was identified in Hong Kong. The strain was rife in chickens and a few hundred people had become infected. Mortality in these individuals was very high, (6 of 18 died), and so there was serious concern that it marked the beginning of a new pandemic. The authorities in Hong Kong responded by a mass cull of poultry in the region and about 1.5 million chickens were slaughtered. H5N1 did not spread easily from person to person and no further cases were reported in people following the slaughter.

Whether the H5N1 outbreak was an isolated incident of a strain spreading from chicken to humans, or whether it was the start of a major pandemic which was nipped in the bud, cannot be known. Subsequent analysis showed that the high virulence of the new strain could partly be related to the new variant of haemagglutinin (H5), and partly to a more efficient viral polymerase. This outbreak clearly demonstrates the way in which bird influenza can act as a source of new viral strains, and shows that such new strains may be very dangerous to humans.

Since the discovery of the influenza virus in the 1930s it has been possible to isolate and accurately identify each of the epidemic strains, but, as earlier strains of virus have now died out, it has been necessary to infer their identity by examining the antibodies in the serum of affected people.

Antibodies and the ability of the immune system to respond to a strain of flu are much more persistent than the virus itself. It is thus possible to analyse antibodies to determine which types of haemagglutinin and neuraminidase they recognise long after the virus itself has gone. One can then deduce which type of influenza virus that person contracted earlier in their life (as explained in Section 5.2).

3.1 Tracking the emergence of new strains

Influenza is one of several diseases monitored by the WHO Global Alert and Response (GAR) network (WHO, 2011a), comprising 110 ‘sentinel’ laboratories in 82 countries. The organisation’s surveillance and monitoring of the disease then forms part of their Global Influenza Programme (GIP), and they use data gathered from participating countries to:

  • provide countries, areas and territories with information about influenza transmission in other parts of the world to allow national policy makers to better prepare for upcoming seasons
  • provide data for decision making regarding recommendations for vaccination and treatment
  • describe critical features of influenza epidemiology including risk groups, transmission characteristics, and impact
  • monitor global trends in influenza transmission
  • inform the selection of influenza strains for vaccine production (WHO, 2011b).

The influenza data from the sentinel laboratories is fed into a global surveillance programme, started by the WHO in 1996, called FluNet (WHO, 2011c), which is one of the tools that facilitates the actions described above.

Activity 1 Using FluNet

Use the link below to visit the WHO’s FluNet web page and locate and view the chart showing the global circulation of flu (in the section marked ‘View charts’) to find out which flu subtypes are currently the major ones in circulation in the human population.

Link to WHO FluNet web page

At the time of writing (2011), Influenza A (H5N1) and influenza B (unknown lineage) are the two main types globally. FluNet also breaks this information down into geographic areas and countries so, if you wish, you can see what subtypes are circulating where you live.

Typically a flu vaccine contains material from the main influenza A strains and an influenza B strain, so that an immune response is induced against the most likely infections. Usually the scientists predict correctly and immunised people are effectively protected against the current strains (>90% protection). However, the prediction is occasionally incorrect, or a new strain develops during the time that the vaccine is being manufactured. In this case the vaccine generally provides poor protection.

What can you deduce about immunity against flu infection from the observations on vaccination above?

The immune response is strain-specific. If you are immunised against the wrong strain of flu, then the response is much less effective and you are more likely to contract the disease.

3.2 Immune responses to influenza

The immune system uses different types of immune defence against different types of pathogen. The responses against flu are typical of those which are mounted against an acute viral infection, but different from the responses against infection by bacteria, worms, fungi or protist parasites.

When confronted with an acute viral infection, the immune system has two major challenges:

  • The virus replicates very rapidly, killing the cells it infects. Since a specific immune response takes several days to develop, the body must limit the spread of the virus until the immune defences can come into play.
  • Viruses replicate inside cells of the body, but they spread throughout the host in the blood and tissue fluids. Therefore, the immune defences must recognise infected cells (intracellular virus) and destroy them. But the immune system must also recognise and eradicate free virus in the tissue fluids (extracellular virus) in order to prevent the virus from infecting new cells.

The kinds of immune defence that the body deploys against flu are briefly considered in the next section.

3.2.1 Summary of the response

How does the body act quickly to limit viral spread?

When a virus infects a cell of the body, the molecular machinery for protein synthesis within the cell is usurped as the virus starts to produce its own nucleic acids and proteins. The cell detects the flu dsRNA and other viral molecules and releases interferons, which bind to receptors on neighbouring cells and cause them to synthesise antiviral proteins. If a virus infects such cells they resist viral replication, so fewer viruses are produced and viral spread is delayed.

Also, in the earliest stages of a virus infection the molecules on the cell surface change. Cells lose molecules that identify them as normal ‘self’ cells. At the same time they acquire new molecules encoded by the virus. A group of large, granular lymphocytes recognise these changes and are able to kill the infected cell. This function is called ‘natural killer’ cell action and the lymphocytes that carry it out are termed NK cells.

Non-adaptive and adaptive responses

The actions of both interferons and NK cells in combating infection by influenza occur early in an immune response, and are not specific for the flu virus. These defences occur in response to many different kinds of viral infection, and they are part of our natural, or non-adaptive, immune responses.

Note that immunologists use the term non-adaptive to indicate a type of response that does not improve or adapt with each subsequent infection. This is quite different to its use in evolutionary biology, where it means ‘not advantageous’. Such non-adaptive immune responses slow the spread of an infection so that specific, or adaptive, immune defences can come into play.

The key features of an adaptive immune response are specificity and memory. The immune response is specific to a particular pathogen, and the immune system appears to ‘remember’ the infection, so that if it occurs again the immune response is much more powerful and rapid. Because an immune response is highly specific to a particular pathogen it often means that a response against one strain of virus is ineffective against another – if a virus mutates then the lymphocytes that mediate adaptive immunity are unable to recognise the new strain.

There are two principal arms of the adaptive immune system, mediated by different populations of lymphocytes. One group, called T-lymphocytes, or T cells (which develop in the thymus gland, overlying the heart), recognises antigen fragments associated with cells of the body, including cells which have become infected. A set of cytotoxic T cells (Tc) specifically recognises cells which have become infected and will go on to kill them. In this sense they act in a similar way to NK cells. However they differ from NK cells in that Tc cells are specific for one antigen or infectious agent, whereas NK cells are non-specific.

The second group of lymphocytes are B cells (that differentiate in the bone marrow), which synthesise antibodies that recognise intact antigens, either in body fluids or on the surface of other cells. Activated B cells progress to produce a secreted form of their own surface antibody. Antibodies that recognise the free virus act to target it for uptake and destruction by phagocytic cells.

Therefore the T cells and NK cells deal with the intracellular phase of the viral infection, while the B cells and antibodies recognise and deal with the extracellular virus.

The two reactions described above are illustrated in Figure 8.

Immune defences against flu.

The first part of the diagram shows an antibody molecule binding to the virus and preventing it from entering the cell. The next part shows a virus entering and multiplying within a cell, causing the cell to release interferon. When the interferon reaches a neighbouring uninfected cell, it makes that cell resistant to infection. Also shown are a natural killer cell and a cytotoxic T cell. Either of these can bind to an infected cell via specific receptors on the cell surface, and kill that cell.

You might ask why it takes the adaptive immune response so long to get going. The answer is that the number of T cells and B cells that recognise any specific pathogen is relatively small, so first the lymphocytes which specifically recognise the virus must divide so that there are sufficient to mount an effective immune response. This mechanism is fundamental to all adaptive immune responses.

Activity 2 Influenza mini-lecture

Some of the themes that we have discussed up to now are presented in Video 1: a mini-lecture on influenza by David Male of The Open University. Watch the videos and then attempt the questions below

Copy this transcript to the clipboard

Transcript: Video 1 Influenza mini-lecture.

Influenza is a viral disease which generally starts with an infection of the upper respiratory tract and develops with systemic symptoms including fever and lassitude over the course of 1–2 weeks. Although it is debilitating, most people make a full recovery. However it may be fatal for older people and those with weaker immune systems, particularly if the virus disposes them to concurrent bacterial infections such as pneumonia.

The disease is caused by a group of myxoviruses, influenza A, B and C, although the most serious infections are caused by influenza A, and the following discussion refers to influenza A. The virus is seen in this transmission electron micrograph with proteins projecting from the viral envelope. Very many different variants of influenza have been identified since the virus was first discovered in 1935, and the variants are responsible for the different infections which occur in successive years. This is the reason that we can suffer from flu several times during our lives – in effect we become infected on each occasion with a different strain of virus, which our immune system has not encountered before and to which we are not immune.

Look at the overall structure of influenza A. The myxoviruses are all enveloped, that is to say that they have an outer membrane or envelope, which has been derived from the plasma membrane of an infected host cell. Two major viral proteins are present in the envelope, namely the haemagglutinin and the neuraminidase. Neuraminidase is an enzyme which cleaves sialic acid residues on glycoproteins and this protein performs an important function, in allowing the virus to bud off from the infected cell and spread through the body. The haemagglutinin is also essential for viral infection. It binds to carbohydrate groups present on glycophorins, molecules which occur on the surface of cells of the body. Binding of haemagglutinin to the surface of host cells is the first step in infection. Since the glycophorins are widely distributed on different cell types, influenza is able to cause widespread infection. As we shall see later, the antibody response against the haemagglutinin of the virus is critical in protecting us against on-going infection, although antibodies to the neuraminidase can also contribute to immunity. Within the viral envelope, the viral capsid is formed from the ‘M-protein’, which contains the virus’ genetic material, RNA, nucleoproteins, and a number of enzymes needed for replication.

The viral genome consists of 8 separate strands of RNA. Because the genome is fragmented in this way, it means that the different strains of virus can re-assort their genes relatively easily, and this is an important source of new viral strains.

Look now at the epidemic pattern of influenza over a number of years. The graph shows the number of isolates of different strains of influenza, in laboratories in the USA between 1995 and 1997. You can see that in temperate latitudes the infection rates follow a seasonal pattern, with more people developing the disease in the winter months. Examination of the structure of the haemagglutinin in successive years shows that minor mutations occur in the primary structure between the virus strains prevalent in each year. Although these do not affect the ability of the haemagglutinin to bind to host cells, the change is sufficient to prevent antibodies specific for a previous strain from binding to the new strain’s haemagglutinin. In effect, last year’s antibodies are unable to protect us from this year’s strain of flu.

The structure of the viral haemagglutinin can be seen in this model, which shows the backbone of the chain of amino acids. We will look at the way in which a neutralising antibody binds to an epitope on the haemagglutinin. The epitope is formed by amino acid residues in the loops at the exposed part of the molecule. Three loops which contribute residues to the epitope are highlighted here by space-filling the residues. Two domains of the heavy chain of the neutralising antibody are shown in yellow. The constant and variable domains are clearly visible, and the three hypervariable loops which contribute to the binding site are picked out in colour. You can see how the epitope and the heavy chain are complementary in shape. To complete the picture, we will add the light chain to the model. In this case, it is clear that the light chain contributes very little to the antibody combining site. When the space-filling model is completed, you can see that the residues forming the epitope are buried in the centre of the binding site and it is precisely these residues which are most likely to mutate between one viral strain and another. This progressive but limited change in the structure of the haemagglutinin is called genetic drift. Occasionally, perhaps once every 10–20 years, a major new strain of influenza appears which is radically different from those of previous years. Such a change is called genetic shift. The appearance of such new strains is associated with a worldwide serious epidemic of flu, called a pandemic. For example the pandemic strain of ‘Spanish flu’ which developed in 1918, had a different haemagglutinin and neuraminidase from the previously dominant strain, and this outbreak is thought to have caused the deaths of 20 million people world-wide. The picture shows a ward at the time. This epidemic particularly affected young fit people. One doctor wrote ‘it is only a matter of hours until death comes. It is horrible.’

The origin of new pandemic strains has been much debated, but it appears most likely that a human strain of flu exchanges genetic material with an animal strain of flu for example from ducks, or pigs. Such a reassortment of genes could occur if two different flu viruses simultaneously infect the same cell, and produce new viruses containing some gene segments from each type – remember that the flu virus has a segmented genome which allows this to occur.

The major pandemic strains are distinguished according to which haemagglutinin they have and which neuraminidase. So, for example in 1957 the dominant strain H1, N1 changed both its haemagglutinin and neuraminidase, and the new dominant strain H2N2 persisted until 1968. At present, (that is, in 2001) there are two dominant strains of influenza A in circulation H1N1 and H3N2.

One of the problems of producing vaccine for flu is that we do not know what next year’s major strain will be, and there is only a limited amount of time available before an epidemic spreads. The map shows the way in which the epidemic of Asian flu spread in 1957 from its origin in China in February, through South-East Asia by April and from there to all parts of the world by the end of the year. The figures on the map indicate the months in which the virus was isolated in different areas.

Nowadays, laboratories throughout the world track the appearance of new variants, and aim to identify the current circulating strains and any potentially new pandemic strains. Having decided the composition of the vaccine, there are just a few months to prepare it for the next flu season. Have a look at the current vaccine, it contains examples of the two major strains of influenza A H1N1 and H3N2 which are circulating and vaccine for the main current strain of influenza B. As there is insufficient time and resource to produce vaccine for everyone, the vaccine is usually recommended for older people and high risk groups, such as health professionals.

In addition to the antibody response, cytotoxic T cells are important in clearing virally-infected cells. The cytotoxic T cells recognise peptide fragments of several of the viral proteins, including the internal proteins such as the M-protein nucleoproteins and polymerases which are genetically stable. The bar chart shows the ability of lymphocytes from a single donor to kill cells which have been transfected with a single flu antigen. This is a measure of the prevalence of cytotoxic T cells for each of the proteins. Most of the cytotoxicity is directed against internal proteins shown on the green bars. Clones of cytotoxic cells against internal proteins usually recognise several of the major strains of flu. In contrast, those which recognise the external proteins are often, but not always strain-specific.

Even when a cytotoxic T cell recognises the same antigen as an antibody, it usually recognises a different portion. For example cytotoxic T cells specific for the haemagglutinin often recognise internal fragments of the antigen rather than the external epitopes recognised by antibodies. Moreover, since cytotoxic T cells recognise antigen presented by MHC molecules, and since MHC molecules are different in each individual, the T cells in each individual recognise different parts of the antigen. These bar charts show the response of two individuals against peptides from the haemagglutinin. T cells from the first person respond to four different regions of the molecule, with highly antigenic peptides centred on residues 100, 180, 300 and 400. T cells from the second individual recognise different regions of the haemagglutinin.

There is some evidence that individuals with specific MHC haplotypes may be more efficient than others at recognising and destroying influenza-infected cells.

In summary, influenza A gives us an example of extreme genetic variability, where successive dominant strains of flu emerge. The new strains are not susceptible to control by antibodies in the host population, and so individuals may suffer from repeated infections. Indeed the general immunity in the host population provides the selective pressure for the emergence of the new strains.

  • Draw a labelled diagram of the structure of influenza A.
  • How do pandemic strains of influenza A come about?

Your diagram should look like Figure 4 .

Pandemic strains of influenza A normally arise by simultaneous infection of a non-human host (typically poultry or pigs) with two or more strains of influenza A. Reassortment of the eight viral segments from each virus allows the generation of a new hybrid virus type, with a completely novel surface structure that has never been seen before by a host immune system (antigenic shift).

4 Antiviral treatments

Two classes of antiviral drugs are used to combat influenza: neuraminidase inhibitors and M2 protein inhibitors.

Why are antibiotics not used to combat influenza?

Influenza is a virus. Antibiotics only work against bacteria.

Neuraminidase inhibitors

Recall from Section 2.1 that neuraminidase is an enzyme that is present on the virus envelope and cleaves sialic acid groups found in the polysaccharide coating of many cells (especially the mucus coating of the respiratory tract). Neuraminidase is used to clear a path for the virus to a host cell and facilitates the shedding of virions from an infected cell. Inhibition of neuraminidase therefore helps prevent the spread of virus within a host and its shedding to infect other hosts.

The two main neuraminidase inhibitors currently in clinical use are zanamivir (trade name Relenza) and oseltamivir (trade name Tamiflu). These are effective against influenza A and B, but not influenza C which exhibits a different type of neuraminidase activity that only cleaves 9-O-acetylated sialic acid.

M2 inhibitors

Recall from Table 1 that the influenza M2 protein forms a pore that allows protons into the capsid, acidifying the interior and facilitating uncoating.

Drugs such as amantadine (trade name Symmetrel) and rimantadine (trade name Flumadine) block this pore, preventing uncoating and infection. However, their indiscriminate use in ‘over-the-counter’ cold remedies and farmed poultry has allowed many strains of influenza to develop resistance. Influenza B has a different type of M2 protein which is largely unaffected by these drugs.

5 Diagnosis of influenza

Many diseases produce symptoms similar to those of influenza; in fact, ‘flu-like’ is a term that is frequently used to describe several different illnesses. Since influenza spreads rapidly by airborne transmission and is a life-threatening condition in certain vulnerable groups, it is important that cases of the disease are identified as quickly as possible, so that preventative measures may be taken.

Most viral infections are not treated, although antiviral drugs such as zanamivir are used for potentially life-threatening cases or where the risk of transmission is high (as occurs during a pandemic).

Which sites in the body should be sampled for diagnosis?

The influenza virus infects the respiratory tract and is spread by coughing and sneezing, so specimens should be taken from the nose, throat or trachea.

In practice, the best specimens are nasal aspirates or washes, but swabs of the nose or throat may be used if they are taken vigorously enough to obtain cells. Ideally, samples should be taken within three days of the onset of illness, and all specimens need to be preserved in a transport medium and kept chilled until they reach the clinical microbiology laboratory.

5.1 Initial identification of influenza infection

Oral swabs or nasal aspirates are initially screened for the presence of a variety of respiratory viruses. This is done by extracting RNA from the sample and subjecting it to a reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) as described below:

  • Initially the RNA sample is reverse transcribed into complementary DNA (cDNA), using a commercially-available reverse transcriptase enzyme.
  • The cDNA is then used in a standard PCR reaction to detect and amplify a short sequence of nucleotides specific to the virus. Multiple DNA sequences, each specific for a different type of virus, can be amplified in the same reaction, provided that these sequences are of different lengths.
  • Each of the different amplified sequences is separated from the others when the entire sample is subjected to gel electrophoresis (an analytical technique in which molecules of different sizes move at various rates through a gel support in an applied electric field, thus making it possible to identify specific molecules.)

The polymerase chain reaction (PCR) technique is illustrated in Video 2.

Transcript: Video 2 PCR technique.

Polymerase chain reaction, or PCR, uses repeated cycles of heating and cooling to make many copies of a specific region of DNA. First, the temperature is raised to near boiling, causing the double-stranded DNA to separate, or denature, into single strands. When the temperature is decreased, short DNA sequences known as primers bind, or anneal, to complementary matches on the target DNA sequence. The primers bracket the target sequence to be copied. At a slightly higher temperature, the enzyme Taq polymerase, shown here in blue, binds to the primed sequences and adds nucleotides to extend the second strand. This completes the first cycle.

In subsequent cycles, the process of denaturing, annealing and extending are repeated to make additional DNA copies.

After three cycles, the target sequence defined by the primers begins to accumulate.

After 30 cycles, as many as a billion copies of the target sequence are produced from a single starting molecule.

Typically, nucleotide sequences specific to five types of virus are searched for in each sample: influenza A, influenza B, respiratory syncytial virus (Baltimore group V, (–)ssRNA virus, and a major cause of respiratory illness in young children), adenoviruses and enteroviruses. Those samples that test positive for influenza in the RT-PCR reaction are inoculated into cells in culture. Sufficient virus for a limited number of tests can be produced from such cultures within 24 hours, but they are often maintained for up to a week.

5.2 Determining the subtype of influenza

Immunofluorescence.

Confirmation of a case of influenza is usually achieved by performing tests on some of the inoculated cultured cells using reference fluorescent-labelled antisera provided by the WHO. A reference antiserum is a sample serum known to contain antibodies specific for the molecule to be assayed (in this case, haemagglutinin or neuraminidase). These antisera are prepared using purified haemagglutinin and neuraminidase and are monospecific, each antibody reacting only with one epitope e.g. H1 or H3.

For the test, an antibody is added to a sample of inoculated cells. Following a wash step, if the antibody remains bound to the cells then they fluoresce under appropriate illumination, indicating the presence of viral antigen on the cell surface. This diagnostic technique can identify influenza virus on infected cells in as little as 15 minutes. A positive result not only confirms the RT-PCR data, but gives additional information on the subtype of the virus.

Further PCR analyses

Standardised RT-PCR protocols exist to look for the presence of different haemagglutinin and neuraminidase subtypes, chiefly H1, H3, H5, N1 and N2. (Poddar, 2002). If the PCR analysis indicates a dangerous strain of influenza A e.g. H5N1, then it is instantly sent to a WHO reference laboratory for further tests.

Haemagglutination assays

Influenza has haemagglutinins protruding from its viral envelope, which it uses to attach to host cells prior to entry. These substances form the basis of a haemagglutination assay, in which viral haemagglutinins bind and cross-link (agglutinate) red blood cells added to a test well, causing them to sink to the bottom of the solution as a mat of cells. If agglutination does not occur, then the red blood cells are instead free to roll down the curved sides of the tube to form a tight pellet.

A related test called a haemagglutination-inhibition assay (HAI), incorporates antibodies against different subtypes of viral haemagglutinin. The antibodies bind and mask the viral haemagglutinin, preventing it from attaching to and cross-linking red blood cells.

A HAI assay can be set up in one of two ways: either a known reference antibody is added to an unknown virus sample, or known reference viral haemagglutinin is added to a sample of patient serum containing antibodies against influenza. This second version of the HAI assay can therefore be used long after the infection has passed, when virions are no longer present.

Haemagglutination and HAI assays have the advantage that they are simple to perform and require relatively cheap equipment and reagents. However, they can be prone to false positive or false negative results, if the sample contains non-specific inhibitors of haemagglutination (preventing agglutination) or naturally occurring agglutinins of red blood cells (causing agglutination).

If a confirmed influenza A isolate reacts weakly or not at all in HAI then this indicates an unknown variant of influenza A and the sample is immediately sent to a WHO reference laboratory for further tests.

Neuraminidase inhibition assay

Typing influenza isolates in terms of their neuraminidase makes use of the enzyme activity of this glycoprotein. The neuraminidase inhibition assay is performed in two parts. The first part determines the amount of neuraminidase activity in a patient influenza sample, as outlined in Figure 9a. A substrate (called fetuin) that is rich in sialic acid residues is added to a sample of the influenza virus, and the viral neuraminidase enzyme cleaves the substrate to produce free sialic acid.

Addition of a substance that inactivates the neuraminidase stops the reaction, and a chromogen (a colourless compound that reacts to produce a coloured end-product) that turns pink in the presence of free sialic acid is added. The intensity of the pink colour is proportional to the amount of free sialic acid and can be measured using a spectrophotometer.

This assay of neuraminidase activity allows the appropriate amount of virus sample to be determined, and this quantity is then used in the second part of the assay. If too much or too little virus is used, the resulting changes, and therefore the neuraminidase, may be undetectable.

In the second part of the assay (Figure 9b), viral samples from the patient are incubated with anti-neuraminidase reference antisera. Each of the reference antisera used for this test has antibodies that bind one particular neuraminidase variant, e.g. N1 or N2.

How can these antisera be used to type the neuraminidase variant?

If the antibodies bind the neuraminidase in the patient’s sample they inhibit its activity. This means that the patient’s neuraminidase cannot cleave the sialic acid from its test substrate fetuin, so no colour change will occur when the chromogen is added. Conversely, if the antibodies in the reference antiserum do not bind the neuraminidase in the patient’s sample, then the enzyme will remain uninhibited and the pink colour will be produced as before.

Neuraminidase inhibition assay.

Part (a) of the diagram shows the sequence of obtaining a positive reaction in the neuraminidase inhibition assay. A patient sample containing influenza virus is added to the reaction well of a microtitre plate. Fetuin substrate is added, which is cleaved by viral neuraminidase into free sialic acid. A reagent is added that changes colour, dependent upon the amount of sialic acid present in the solution. Part (b) of the diagram shows how two different antibodies against neuraminidase can give two possible test outcomes for the patient sample from part (a). The diagram on the left shows what happens when the antibody binds to the neuraminidase and inactivates it (left side), while the right side diagram shows what happens when the antibody does not bind that type of neuraminidase. Fetuin and then the colour-change reagent are then added to both test wells. When the antibody fails to recognise the neuraminidase (right side) fetuin is cleaved by neuraminidase and gives a colour reaction. When the antibody recognises the neuraminidase (left side) its activity is blocked, fetuin is not cleaved and no colour reaction occurs.

6 Conclusion

As you reach the end of this free course you should consider some of the important points that the study of flu raises.

  • A single pathogen can produce different types of disease in different people. Genetic variation in a pathogen can also affect the type of disease it produces. To understand this we need to know something of the genetic and social differences in the host population, and of the diversity of the pathogen.
  • The symptoms of a particular disease may be produced by different pathogens or by a combination of pathogens. To understand this requires some knowledge of pathology and cell biology.
  • Some diseases, such as flu, affect humans and several other animal species, whereas others are more selective in their host range. The basic biology of different pathogens underlies these differences.
  • Flu is a disease that can be contracted several times during a lifetime, but many other infectious diseases are only ever contracted once. To understand this we need to look at how the immune system reacts to different pathogens, and how responses vary depending on the pathogen.
  • Outbreaks of flu occur regularly, but some epidemics are much more serious than others. This requires an understanding of aspects of virology, immunology, evolutionary biology and epidemiology.

7 Questions for the course

The following questions allow you to assess your understanding of the content of this course. Each one relates to one or more of the intended learning outcomes of the study.

If you are unable to answer a question, or do not understand the answer given, then reread the relevant section(s) of the course and try the question again.

(This question relates to case study learning outcome (LO) 2.)

Why would Robert Koch have been unable to demonstrate that influenza viruses cause the disease influenza, according to his own postulates?

Koch’s second postulate states that the pathogen can be isolated in pure culture on artificial media. Viruses can only multiply within host cells, so Koch would have been unable to isolate the virus using artificial media. (Much later, eggs and live cells in tissue culture came to be used for growing flu virus, but this was long after Koch’s death, and they do not strictly conform to the original postulate.)

(This question relates to LO2.)

List the various structural components of an influenza A virus and note where each of these elements is synthesised within an infected cell.

Viral RNA is synthesised in the nucleus of the infected cell. The M-protein and other internal proteins are synthesised on ribosomes in the cytoplasm. The capsid is then assembled in the nucleus. The haemagglutinin and neuraminidase are synthesised on ribosomes on the endoplasmic reticulum. The envelope is derived from the host cell’s own plasma membrane.

(This question relates to LO2 and LO4.)

It is very uncommon for a strain of influenza that infects other animals to infect people; nevertheless such strains are very important for human disease. Why is this?

Animal strains of influenza act as a reservoir of genes that may recombine with human influenza viruses to produce new strains that can spread rapidly in humans. Such pandemic strains frequently produce serious diseases with high mortality.

(This question relates to LO2 and LO3.)

Which immune defences are able to recognise and destroy virally-infected host cells?

Cytotoxic T cells and NK cells are able to recognise and destroy virally-infected host cells.

(This question relates to LO4 and LO5.)

Why do most people suffer from influenza several times in their lives?

The virus mutates regularly (antigenic drift); also new strains are occasionally generated by recombination (antigenic shift). Since the immune response is generally specific for a particular strain of virus, new strains are not susceptible to immune defences which have developed against earlier strains.

Further reading

Acknowledgements.

This course was written by Jon Golding and Hilary MacQueen.

Except for third party materials and otherwise stated (see terms and conditions ), this content is made available under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 Licence .

Course image: thierry ehrmann in Flickr made available under Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 Licence .

The material acknowledged below is Proprietary and used under licence (not subject to Creative Commons Licence). Grateful acknowledgement is made to the following sources for permission to reproduce material in this course:

Figure 1: Prescott, L., Harley, J., and Klein, D. (1999) Microbiology, 4th ed. Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies

Figure 3: Noymer, A., and Garenne, M. (2000) ‘The 1918 influenza epidemic’s effects on sex differentials in mortality in the United States’, Population and Development Review , Vol 26 (3) 2000, The Population Council

Figure 6: CNRI/Science Photo Library;

Figure 7: Bammer, T. L. et al. (April 28, 2000) ‘Influenza virus isolates’ reported from WHO, Surveillance for Influenza – United States , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Video 1: Immunology Interactive (Male, Brostoff and Roitt) copyright the authors, reproduced by permission of David Male

Video 2: with kind permission from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute.

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A Case–Control Study of the 2019 Influenza Vaccine and Incidence of COVID-19 Among Healthcare Workers

  • Original Article
  • Published: 26 November 2020
  • Volume 41 , pages 324–334, ( 2021 )

Cite this article

a case study involving influenza and the influenza vaccine quizlet

  • Nilofar Massoudi 1 &
  • Babak Mohit   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-6059-6681 2  

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The influenza vaccine is essential in reducing the influenza burden, especially among healthcare workers (HCW). Experimental studies suggest both coronaviruses and influenza viruses engage with the angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE 2) and tetraspanin antibodies, and that ACE 2 tetraspanin antibodies in turn may inhibit both coronavirus and low-pathogenicity influenza A viruses (LP IAV) infections. This study aims to investigate the potential clinical association between receiving the 2019 influenza vaccine and the incidence of COVID-19 among HCW.

We designed a case–control study within a hospital setting in Iran when it became a center for treating COVID-19 patients. We collected data and calculated relevant incidence and associative measures among HCW who had received the 2019 influenza vaccine as compared to HCW who had not received the vaccine.

Our total sample size was 261 HCW. Of 80 COVID-19 incident cases, three cases had received the influenza vaccine, while 87 of 181 controls had received the vaccine. The odds ratio (OR) and confidence interval (CI) of being vaccinated were 0.04 (95% CI: 0.01 to 0.14) among COVID-19 cases as compared to controls.

Conclusions

Significant findings suggest that the 2019 influenza vaccine may have a protective association against COVID-19 among HCW.

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Introduction

The influenza vaccine is both an effective and cost effective way of reducing the burden of influenza, especially among healthcare workers [ 1 , 2 , 3 ]. Besides the pathogen specific immunity inducing impact of vaccines, historical precedent hints towards other positive side effects that vaccines may induce. For example, in a randomized controlled trial (RCT) in low-income countries, measles vaccines administered at 4.5 or 9 months of age resulted in reduced mortality in the 4.5 to 36 month age group by 30%, while measles death–related events could only account for a 4% reduction of deaths [ 4 ]. In another RCT, the Bacillus Calmette–Guerin (BCG) vaccine reduced neonatal mortality by more than 40% although tuberculosis (TB), as a cause of death in neonates, is very rare [ 5 ]. Clarke and Benn (2015) recommend the study of vaccine’s beneficial effect on non-related illnesses, and encourage the reporting of such benefits [ 6 ].

Prior in vitro and animal studies suggest that an indirect etiological immunity induction pathway may exist between the influenza vaccine and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Animal models have suggested that some subtypes of influenza may lead to a downregulation of angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE 2), which has protective properties against influenza-induced acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) [ 7 ]. ACE 2 has also been suggested as a receptor for viruses from the coronavirus family [ 8 ], including severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the pathogenic agent of COVID-19 [ 9 ]. Furthermore, lab studies report of tetraspanin antibodies that inhibit both coronavirus and low-pathogenicity influenza A viruses (LP IAV) infections [ 10 ]. This dual inhibition is suggested to be mediated transmembrane proteases such as transmembrane protease serine 2 (TMPRSS2) [ 10 , 11 , 12 ], and is reported to interfere with viral proteolytic priming of both LP IAVs and coronaviruses [ 10 ].

As of the date of writing this article (on 25 June 2020), global case counts of COVID-19, exceeding 9.5 million confirmed cases, and 488,000 fatalities in 188 countries [ 13 ], have affected billions of livelihoods with widespread social and economic ramifications in every continent around the globe. Recent modeling and hypotheses development studies have suggested a potential link between influenza vaccine and COVID-19 [ 14 , 15 , 16 , 17 ]. Furthermore, case reports have documented the possibility of coinfection with both COVID-19 and influenza [ 18 , 19 ]. However, to the best of our knowledge, no previous studies have investigated the potential positive clinical side effects between the influenza vaccine and COVID-19 incidence among healthcare workers. Given the large role that HCW have played globally on the frontlines of treating COVID-19 patients, this study aimed to investigate the potential impact of the 2019 influenza vaccine on the incidence of COVID-19 among a cohort of HCW in a hospital setting during the time when the hospital became a center for treating COVID-19 patients.

Study Design

In order to investigate the potential impact of the 2019 influenza vaccine on the incidence of COVID-19 among HCW in a hospital setting, we designed a single-center, observational case–control study. For this purpose, we submitted the study protocol to the Research Ethics Committee of Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences (Approval ID: IR.SBMU.RETECH.REC.1399 .080 dated 3 May 2020), and sought to collect data on parameters related to the frequency of the 2019 influenza vaccine and the incidence of COVID-19, among HCW.

Shahid Modarres Specialty Hospital is a 270-bed tertiary care research and teaching facility affiliated with Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, in Tehran, Iran. It is the only public sector health services facility in northwestern Tehran, and under normal operations, it is home to specialty training fellowships.

The first two cases of COVID-19 were officially reported from Iran on 19 February 2020 [ 20 ]. Health authorities informed the hospital of the COVID-19 epidemic on 2 March 2020. This initiated emergency protocol operations of the hospital, including a step-wise increase of COVID-19 inpatient bed allocation to 45, 60, 90, and 150 beds on 9, 11, 13, and 16 March 2020 respectively. By 20 March 2020, the hospital was serving an average of 140 inpatients with pulmonologist- or test-confirmed COVID-19 per night, and nearly all patients with conditions other than COVID-19 had been transferred. At the end of the data collection of this study, the hospital maintained emergency operations status and was serving an average of 45 inpatients with pulmonologist- or test-confirmed COVID-19 per night.

Study Population and Sample

The population of this study were the hospital staff composed of 154 medical and 762 nursing, paramedical, and support staff. Emergency operation protocols mandated the presence of all staff members, with the exception of a medically confirmed sick leave.

We used an open source calculator [ 21 ] to calculate the minimal required sample size based on the probability of a type I error of alpha = 5%, type II error of beta = 20% (power = 80%), a sample size ratio of 2, and a hypothesized 20% difference in proportion of cases with exposed to the vaccine and controls exposed to the vaccine (hypothetical proportion of controls with exposure 30%; hypothetical proportion of cases with exposure: 10%). This calculation yielded a sample consisting of at least 56 cases and 111 controls. We included all hospital HCW cases with pulmonologist-confirmed COVID-19 in our sample. We applied stratified sampling to select our sample of controls from the hospital staff. We used demographic factors of age, gender, and education as stratification factors to insure that our sample of controls was inclusive. In doing so, trying to assure that our controls were similar to our cases, the first factor we considered was age. Knowing the mean age of our cases, we divided our control in two subsamples (above mean age and below mean age) and sorted each of the two subsamples based on Persian alphabetical order of family name (our randomization factor) and took the first 180 names from each list. After assuring the mean age of this 360-person sample was similar to the mean age of the cases, we used this 360-person sample and repeated the same procedure for gender, and education, to obtain the final control list.

Besides demographic factors (age, gender, education, and job type), we sought information on whether the employee had received the 2019 influenza vaccine and the status of their testing for COVID-19, or whether they had been clinically evaluated by a pulmonologist as suspicious for COVID-19 infection between 10 March 2020 and 10 April 2020 (past 30 days).

Measure of the Influenza Vaccine Intervention

The 2019 influenza vaccine is described in the Medical Letter on Drugs and Therapeutics [ 22 ], and the version used in the hospital was the Influvac sub-unit Tetra, suspension for injection in pre-filled syringe (surface antigen, inactivated) for the 2019/2020 season manufactured by Abbot Labs (UK) [ 23 ]. All study participants who received the vaccine were inoculated between September and December 2019 as part of the routine hospital immunization protocol, under which the influenza vaccine is encouraged among hospital staff, but not mandatory. We verified the vaccination status of study participant through employee health records.

Measure of Pulmonologist- or Test-Confirmed COVID-19 Outcome

We primarily assessed cases of COVID-19 based on whether they had pulmonologist-confirmed symptoms of fever and dry cough associated with COVID-19 [ 24 ]. Due to worldwide shortages of medical supplies, and testing equipment [ 25 ], the administration of the SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test [ 26 ] was limited by pulmonologist to only patients that presented clinical symptoms of fever and dry coughing, or HCW who reported workplace unprotected exposure. The sensitivity of the RT-PCR test is reported 93% while its specificity was 100% [ 27 ]. However, since our samples were collected from nasal swabs, the sensitivity of the test is reported to decrease to 63% [ 28 ].

In order to distinguish between pulmonologist-confirmed and test-confirmed samples, we compiled two datasets. The sample of our first dataset was all study participants based on presentation of clinical symptoms of pulmonologist-confirmed COVID-19 (which were primarily fever and dry cough) [ 24 ]. The sample of our second dataset was a subset of study participants who had taken the RT-PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 [ 24 , 26 ].

Data Collection

The primary investigator (PI–NM) collected the data on 11 April 2020, and 12 April 2020 using short interviews verified through employee health records. Besides demographic factors (age, gender, education), the PI inquired whether the HCW had received the 2019 influenza vaccine. In addition, the PI sought the status of the HCW testing for COVID-19 using the RT-PCR test, and whether between 10 March 2020 and 10 April 2020 (past 30 days) they had symptoms of fever and dry cough associated with COVID-19 as confirmed by the hospital pulmonologist.

For the total dataset and the confirmed by testing dataset, we calculated the total number the median age, and the mean age of HCW. To create relevant subgroups, we dichotomized exposure to the 2019 influenza vaccine (vaccinated/not vaccinated), as well as each of the demographic variables of age (above/below mean age of sample), gender (male/female), clinical job (yes/no), and each of the three levels of education (high school or below, 2 year or 4 year college degree, graduate degree–yes/no). In order to examine the distribution of the exposure variable (influenza vaccination) among the various demographic groups, we computed the number of HCW who were vaccinated and not vaccinated, related odds ratio (OR), and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for each stratum.

To examine the main hypothesized relation between influenza vaccination and COVID-19, after obtaining the number of HCW in each stratum, we computed the incidence of HCW who had pulmonologist-confirmed COVID-19 (for the total dataset), or had test-confirmed COVID-19 (for the tested dataset), as well as number of controls for each stratum of each dataset.

For the assessment of the point estimate, the 95% CI, and the p values of the OR, we employed the epiR package in R version 4.0.0 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). After calculating the OR and 95% CI, we tested the null hypothesis of OR = 1 for the main exposure variable and each of the demographic variables. Under our null hypothesis, there would be no significant difference in the incidence of COVID-19 among HCW who had been exposed to the exposure factor (such as the 2019 influenza vaccine) as compared to the incidence of COVID-19 among HCW who had not been exposed. An OR < 1 would indicate a protective association, and the entire range of the 95% CI would need to be less than 1.00 to produce a significant p value ( p  < 0.05), which would indicate a statistically significant association. We used MS-Excel 2016 (Microsoft Corporation, Seattle, WA, USA) for data gathering, primary analysis, and producing the forest plot of the variables.

All n  = 261 HCW selected for this study volunteered their information. This sample represented 28% of the population of the hospital staff who presented during the data collection period. We found that of the 261 HCW, 90 HCW had received the 2019–2020 influenza vaccine. Being female, in a non-clinical job, with a high school or graduate education was associated with a slightly higher odds of being vaccinated, but none of these relations was statistically significant (Table 1 ).

Table 2 presents the demographic characteristics of our sample. The total number of pulmonologist-confirmed COVID-19 cases was n  = 80 HCW (30.65% of the HCW sample). In our total sample, being older, male, having a non-clinical job, and having a high school education or less were each independently associated with a higher incidence of COVID-19 symptoms; however, only being in the lowest education stratum (having a high school education or less) was significantly associated with developing COVID-19 symptoms (OR = 2.03, p  = 0.03).

A sum of n  = 83 HCW (31.8% of the study sample, and 9.0% of the population of the hospital staff) were tested for SARS-CoV-2 based on either symptoms or workplace unprotected exposure. The total number of COVID-19 cases based on a positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test was n  = 78 HCW (93.98% of the tested HCW sample). In our tested subsample, being older, female, having a non-clinical job, and having college education were each independently associated with a higher incidence of having a positive RT-PCR test; however, none of these associations was statistically significant. Table 3 displays the characteristics of the subsample tested for SARS-CoV-2.

Vaccination and Symptoms Associated with COVID-19 Among All HCW Surveyed

Table 4 displays the breakdown of the total 261 HCW based on exposure to the 2019 influenza vaccine and the incidence of pulmonologist-confirmed COVID-19 symptoms. Based on the figures in Table 4 , the OR of being vaccinated was 0.04 (95% CI: 0.01 to 0.14) among the case HCW who developed pulmonologist-confirmed COVID-19 symptoms as compared to control HCW who did not develop COVID-19 symptoms. The upper panel of the Fig.  1 depicts this significant association.

figure 1

Forest plot depicting the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of the association between the incidence of COVID-19 and parameters considered. The horizontal line separates factors in the study. The upper panel is the factors related to the entire sample of healthcare workers (HCW) as enumerated in Table 2 and Table 4 , while the lower panel depicts factors related to the subsample of tested HCW enumerated in Table 3 and Table 5 . The horizontal axis is a measure of odds ratio (OR) and is on a logarithmic scale. The dotted vertical line is a depiction of OR = 1. Points in the middle of the colored lines (each representing the odds ratio associated with one factor) depict the point estimate of the OR (quantified before the parentheses in the legend), while points at the left and right ends depict the extremes of the 95% confidence interval (quantified within the parentheses in the legend). The colored lines that do not cut through the dotted line indicate statistical significance. The OR reveals a significant association between the incidence of COVID-19 and the 2019 influenza vaccine both among the upper panel ( n  = 261 enrolled HCW), and the lower panel ( n  = 83 HCW)

Vaccination and Symptoms Associated with COVID-19 Among Tested HCW

The break-down of the total subsample of 83 HCW tested for SARS-CoV-2 based on exposure to the 2019 influenza vaccine and SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test is displayed in Table 5 . Based on the figures in Table 5 , the OR of being vaccinated was 0.01 (95% CI: 0.001 to 0.151) among the case HCW who had a confirmed positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test as compared to control HCW who tested negative. The lower panel of Fig. 1 depicts this significant association.

Our results reveal that compared to their control peers, HCW who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 or developed clinically confirmed COVID-19 symptoms were significantly less likely to have received the 2019 influenza vaccine. Subgroup analysis, based on socio-demographic characteristics, also confirms this result. For example, within the subgroup, none of 11 non-clinical healthcare workers who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 received the 2019 influenza vaccine.

There was a single case, who revealed a positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test after the personal-protective equipment of the HCW malfunctioned during the intubation of a COVID-19 patient. While the hospital prescribed the HCW to self-isolate after the positive test, the HCW never reported any symptoms during the 14-day self-isolation period. In reporting this case, since the HCW did not develop symptoms, we counted him as asymptomatic in Table 4 , but as test positive in Table 5 . In post hoc sensitivity analysis, the significance and the directionality of the OR presented in both Table 4 and Table 5 were robust to changes induced by this one case.

In this hospital (Modarres Hospital), the period for influenza vaccination is between September and December. During this time, staff receive encouraging notices and reminders through billboards, and electronic messaging to receive the vaccine, which is provided free of out of pocket cost. Unlike some healthcare settings in Europe and the USA, however, there is no penalty or restrictions for staff that choose not to receive the vaccine. In our study this may introduce the bias that staff that are better educated or more health conscious may be more likely to receive the vaccine and more likely to have practiced health recommendations that could have prevented their exposure to COVID-19 (such as handwashing). Our controlling for education status was aimed towards managing this potential bias. However, as demonstrated in Table 1 , we did not find significant association between the controlled confounders and vaccination status. Furthermore, because of overall increased societal awareness of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the hospital’s emergency status, we believe that potential barriers to reporting symptoms were reduced, which reduced the potential for reporting bias.

Since the time this study was conducted, several other studies have also hinted towards a protective association between the influenza vaccine and COVID-19. In a US-based study, Zanetti and colleagues report that influenza vaccination coverage in the elderly population is negatively associated with mortality from COVID-19 and for every 10% increase in influenza vaccination coverage, there is a 28% decrease in the rate of mortality from COVID-19 (mortality reduction ratio (MRR) = 0.72, 95% CI = 0.58–0.89) [ 29 ]. These results were repeated in Italy where Marin-Hernandez and colleagues report a moderate to strong negative correlation ( r  = − 0.5874, n  = 21, p  = 0.0051) meaning that where there were higher influenza vaccination rates, less deaths from COVID-19 occurred, and at the regional level each region’s percentage of COVID-19 deaths decreased by 0.345 for each unit of percentage of adults > 65 years old vaccinated against influenza [ 30 ]. Also from Italy, Noale et al. report that influenza vaccinations were associated with a decreased probability of a SARS-CoV-2 positive test in the younger participants (OR = 0.85, 95% CI 0.74–0.98). In yet another study of US firefighters, Caban-Martinez and colleagues report that none of the firefighters/paramedics who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies reported receipt of the annual influenza vaccine compared with firefighters/paramedics who tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies (0.0% vs 21.0%; p  = 0.027) [ 31 ]. In a risk model of developing COVID-19 symptoms based on various health risks from the USA, Jehi and colleagues report that influenza vaccination was associated with a lower risk of COVID-19 infection and influenza vaccination rate was 93.9% among 5940 of non-COVID-19 controls vs 6.1% among 384 COVID-19 positive cases ( p  < 0.001) [ 32 ].

Several studies have hinted to possible mechanisms in which the influenza vaccine may interfere with the pathogenicity of SARS-CoV-2. Earnest et al. [ 10 ] have argued that both coronaviruses and low-pathogenicity influenza A viruses (LP IAVs) depend on target cell proteases to cleave their viral glycoproteins and prime them for virus-cell membrane fusion. Several proteases cluster into tetraspanin-enriched microdomains (TEMs), suggesting that TEMs are preferred virus entry portals. Their work reveals that tetraspanin antibodies inhibited CoV and LP IAV infections. Their findings suggest that TEMs are exploited by coronaviruses and LP IAVs for appropriate coengagement with cell receptors and proteases. On the other hand, Chakraborty et al. [ 33 ], while explaining the role of convalescent serum therapy antibodies in the pathogenesis of COVID-19, have demonstrated that adults with PCR-diagnosed COVID-19 produce IgG antibodies with a specific molecular structure that is characterized by reduced sugars (fucosylation), in the structure of IgG antibody. They reveal that the antibodies of these adults had less fucosylation as compared with SARS-CoV-2-seropositive children and relative to adults with symptomatic influenza virus infections. The authors posit that it is unclear whether IgG fucosylation is reduced prior to infection in individuals who are susceptible to COVID-19 disease or whether this modification is triggered by infection itself, and argue that if fucosylation is reduced prior to infection, this could be a marker of susceptibility to COVID-19. Finally, they note that influenza infection does not trigger fucosylation of IgG. Data collected by Ziegler et al. [ 34 ] suggests that SARS-CoV-2 could exploit interferon-driven upregulation of ACE2, a tissue-protective mediator during lung injury, to enhance infection and the authors argue that influenza infection also induces broader expression of ACE2 in upper airway epithelial cells. Finally, in a short overview of possible mechanisms, Eldanasory and colleagues [ 35 ] note that influenza vaccination could act as a non-specific immune stimulator in patients with COVID-19, leading to early activation of the immune system to attack SARS-CoV-2 before invading cells, and stimulation of the immune system by influenza vaccines could occur through early activation of the immune system by influenza vaccine which facilitate early detection of SARS-CoV-2. They highlight evidence that influenza vaccine keeps the immune system active through Toll-Like Receptor 7 [ 32 ]. Toll-Like Receptor 7 is an important binding of single-stranded RNA respiratory viruses, including SARS-CoV-2 [ 36 ]. On the other hand, an actual influenza A infection may upregulate pulmonaryACE2 receptors and leading to increased SARS-CoV-2 infection [ 37 ].

In controlling for other bio-immunological factors, we did consider and gather data on factors that may have been immunological confounders. However, the incidence of each of the individual confounders was negligible. A total nine cases had potential immunological confounders. This included one smoker, one with a history of splenectomy, two with a history of asthma, one with obesity (BMI > 40), three diabetics, and one immunosuppressed person who was receiving IV-Ig therapy. On the other hand, 11 controls had potential immunological confounders. This included two persons with a history of pneumonia in the past 3 months, one person with active COPD, one pregnant woman, three smokers, two diabetics, and two persons who were receiving corticosteroids of which one of them was a victim of chemical warfare from the Iran–Iraq war in the 1980s. We concluded that a total of nine cases and 11 controls with such a diversity of factors is too small of a sample size and therefore underpowered to be able draw any significant conclusions.

Our study has several limitations. The most important limitation is that, due to limited testing availability, our ability to detect asymptomatic cases of COVID-19 among HCW was limited. We managed this limitation by reporting and analyzing pulmonologist-and test-confirmed cases separately. However, given the inherent insufficient sample size and lack of power of the results of Table 5 , we posit that the results of Table 4 are likely to be better illustrative of the association between influenza vaccination and COVID-19 than Table 5 .

The sample of our study is limited to HCW from one hospital in one country setting. Therefore, the protective benefits our results suggest may not be generalizable to HCW in the same country, or HCW in other health systems, and the general population. Indeed, countries with far higher influenza vaccination rates [ 38 ] have reported higher incidences of COVID-19 cases and mortality [ 13 ]. On the other hand, however, countries with higher BCG vaccination rates have also seen lower incidences of COVID-19 infection and mortality [ 39 ]. Given that the entire population of our study was also vaccinated with the BCG vaccine, the results of our study may suggest the necessity of the synergistic effect of both the BCG and the influenza vaccines in order to achieve the protective association against COVID-19.

Our study is the first study to focus on the potential side-benefits of the influenza 2019 vaccine, and COVID-19 among HCW. Future prospective studies may benefit from our results in observing whether these results are repeatable in observational and experimental studies in other locales, among both HCW and the general population. Furthermore, improvement of our understanding of the etiological pathways of the pathogenicity of both SARS-CoV-2 and influenza may lead to future vaccine development and improvement. In conclusion, our significant results lead us to conclude that the 2019 influenza vaccine may have a protective association against COVID-19 among HCW.

Data availability

Study protocol, statistical code, and the datasets used and analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author ([email protected]) on reasonable request.

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Acknowledgments

We dedicate this article to the committed healthcare workers around the globe, who through their personal sacrifices reduced the burden of COVID-19. We are especially thankful of the staff of Shahid Modarres Specialty Hospital whose sacrifices we witnessed firsthand, and who trusted us with their data, which made this article possible.

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Anesthesiology Research Center, Department of Anesthesiology, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran

Nilofar Massoudi

Sleep Disorders Center, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Maryland School of Medicine, 100 N. Greene St, 2nd Floor, Baltimore, MD, 21201, USA

Babak Mohit

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NM developed the study concept, collected the data, supervised the study, and critically revised the manuscript, and read and approved the final manuscript.

BM developed the study protocol, performed statistical analysis, analyzed and interpreted the data, drafted the original manuscript, and read and approved the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Babak Mohit .

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Massoudi, N., Mohit, B. A Case–Control Study of the 2019 Influenza Vaccine and Incidence of COVID-19 Among Healthcare Workers. J Clin Immunol 41 , 324–334 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10875-020-00925-0

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DOI : https://doi.org/10.1007/s10875-020-00925-0

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A Retrospective Test-Negative Case-Control Study to Evaluate Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness in Preventing Hospitalizations in Children

Affiliations.

  • 1 Department of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine and Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
  • 2 Department of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
  • 3 Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
  • 4 Department of Pediatrics, University of San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.
  • 5 The Emmes Company, Rockville, Maryland, USA.
  • 6 Department of Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
  • PMID: 34410341
  • PMCID: PMC8599178
  • DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciab709

Background: Vaccination is the primary strategy to reduce influenza burden. Influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) can vary annually depending on circulating strains.

Methods: We used a test-negative case-control study design to estimate influenza VE against laboratory-confirmed influenza-related hospitalizations among children (aged 6 months-17 years) across 5 influenza seasons in Atlanta, Georgia, from 2012-2013 to 2016-2017. Influenza-positive cases were randomly matched to test-negative controls based on age and influenza season in a 1:1 ratio. We used logistic regression models to compare odds ratios (ORs) of vaccination in cases to controls. We calculated VE as [100% × (1 - adjusted OR)] and computed 95% confidence intervals (CIs) around the estimates.

Results: We identified 14 596 hospitalizations of children who were tested for influenza using the multiplex respiratory molecular panel; influenza infection was detected in 1017 (7.0%). After exclusions, we included 512 influenza-positive cases and 512 influenza-negative controls. The median age was 5.9 years (interquartile range, 2.7-10.3), 497 (48.5%) were female, 567 (55.4%) were non-Hispanic Black, and 654 (63.9%) children were unvaccinated. Influenza A accounted for 370 (72.3%) of 512 cases and predominated during all 5 seasons. The adjusted VE against influenza-related hospitalizations during 2012-2013 to 2016-2017 was 51.3% (95% CI, 34.8% to 63.6%) and varied by season. Influenza VE was 54.7% (95% CI, 37.4% to 67.3%) for influenza A and 37.1% (95% CI, 2.3% to 59.5%) for influenza B.

Conclusions: Influenza vaccination decreased the risk of influenza-related pediatric hospitalizations by >50% across 5 influenza seasons.

Keywords: adolescent; immunization; influenza vaccine effectiveness; pediatric.

© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: [email protected].

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Consort diagram for study enrollment…

Consort diagram for study enrollment (see Supplementary Materials for additional details). ARI defined…

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Influenza Vaccine

Influenza vaccine during the 2019–2020 season and covid-19 risk: a case-control study in québec, jacques pépin.

1 Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, QC

Philippe De Wals

2 Université Laval, Québec, QC

Annie-Claude Labbé

3 CIUSSS de l’Est-de-l’Ile-de-Montréal, Montréal, QC

4 Université de Montréal, Montréal, QC

Alex Carignan

Marie-elise parent.

5 Institut national de la recherche scientifique, Laval, QC

Jennifer Yu

Louis valiquette, marie-claude rousseau.

Authors’ statement: ACL, JP, PDW, MCR, MEP — Conceived the study, analyzed and interpreted the data, drafted and edited the manuscript

AC, LV — Contributed to data interpretation and writing the manuscript

All authors approved the final version of the manuscript.

The content and view expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Government of Canada.

We carried out a case-control study that examined whether receipt of the inactivated influenza vaccine during the 2019–2020 season impacted on the risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), as there was a concern that the vaccine could be detrimental through viral interference.

A total of 920 cases with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection (diagnosed between March and October 2020) and 2,123 uninfected controls were recruited from those who were born in Québec between 1956 and 1976 and who had received diagnostic services at two hospitals (Montréal and Sherbrooke, Québec). After obtaining consent, a questionnaire was administered by phone. Data were analyzed by logistic regression.

Among healthcare workers, inactivated influenza vaccine received during the previous influenza season was not associated with increased COVID-19 risk (AOR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.69–1.41). Among participants who were not healthcare workers, influenza vaccination was associated with lower odds of COVID-19 (AOR: 0.73, 95% CI 0.56–0.96).

We found no evidence that seasonal influenza vaccine increased the risk of developing COVID-19.

Introduction

During the early stage of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, a hypothesis was raised that inactivated influenza vaccine could paradoxically enhance the risk of developing COVID-19, and this suggestion was picked up by some anti-vaccine advocates on the internet. Such viral interference has been described between the influenza vaccine and coronaviruses (other than severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; SARS-CoV-2) although the validity of these findings has been questioned ( 1 , 2 ). This interference was reported more frequently among persons who had received the influenza vaccine during the 2017–2018 season. A further concern was that one sentinel surveillance and three other observational studies showed that receipt of the trivalent influenza vaccine during the 2008–2009 season increased the risk of medically attended pandemic H1N1 illness 1.4-fold to 2.5-fold during the spring-summer 2009. The authors offered several potential mechanisms for their findings ( 3 ).

The objective of the present study was to determine whether there was any detrimental viral interference between influenza vaccine and SARS-CoV-2 infection such that the former increased the risk of the latter. If so, this would need to be taken into consideration in the planning of upcoming seasonal influenza vaccine campaigns.

In mid and late 2020, we carried out a large case-control study to determine whether the Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccine (against tuberculosis) administered during infancy or childhood, through its non-specific effect on innate immunity, provided long-term protection against infection with SARS-CoV-2 (the results of this study will be published elsewhere). We also included in our questionnaire an exploratory question regarding influenza vaccination in the 2019–2020 season. Such self-reports are thought to be reliable for the most recent season ( 4 ). A total of 920 cases with polymerase chain reaction-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection (diagnosed between March and October 2020) and 2,123 uninfected controls (individuals who never had a SARS-CoV-2 polymerase chain reaction assay, either positive or negative) were recruited among persons born in Québec between 1956 and 1976. Identification of potential participants was made through the databases of the microbiology laboratories of the Hôpital Maisonneuve-Rosemont (HMR) in Montréal and the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Sherbrooke (CHUS). The institutional review boards of these two hospitals authorized this study.

For controls only, exclusion criteria were used to ensure that they were relatively representative of the overall catchment population of the two hospitals rather than its sickest fraction. For this, we excluded as potential controls individuals who had been hospitalized (for any reason) or had attended the emergency room during the study period, as well as those who were attending clinics where immunocompromised patients are often seen (hematology, oncology, rheumatology, HIV, renal transplants, dialysis, etc.). Persons living in long-term care facilities were also excluded as cases or controls, as most would have been unable to give an informed consent. We used frequency matching on sex and year of birth, aiming for two controls per case at HMR and three at CHUS.

Consenting individuals were administered a questionnaire over the phone which, after verifying eligibility, gathered sociodemographic data and information about occupation—healthcare worker (HCW) or not. We also verified the six-digit postal code that was used to obtain a census-based material deprivation index as per an application developed by the Institut national de santé publique du Québec ( 5 ). Other collected variables were not germane to the current paper (e.g. self-reported BCG/smallpox scar, age at BCG, etc).

Univariable and multivariable analyses were carried out by unconditional logistic regression, using R version 4.0.2 ( 6 ). Potential confounders, which could have been linked to both SARS-CoV-2 and influenza vaccination, included age (as a continuous variable), sex, recruitment hospital, census-based material deprivation quintile and HCW status. We elected to adjust for all these a priori confounders regardless of their contribution to the fit of the models. Effect modification by HCW status, sex and age was evaluated by including an interaction term in three separate regression models including all potential confounders (HCW status*influenza vaccination, sex*influenza vaccination, age group*influenza vaccination) to obtain a p -value for each interaction term. Stratified analyses according the HCW status, sex and age group were also conducted to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals for the association between influenza vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 in these subgroups.

Data on influenza vaccination was missing for 42 cases and 16 controls. The analytical sample thus consisted in 878 cases and 2,107 controls for whom this information was available.

There were some missing data for the deprivation index (unavailable for recent residential developments and postal codes where more than 15% of the population lived in an institution) for 6.3% of the participants (56 cases and 132 controls). To address this issue and to avoid excluding subjects with known influenza vaccination status, multiple imputation by chained equations was performed for this variable (20 imputed datasets).

Characteristics of cases and controls are shown in Table 1 . As expected, given that the study was carried out before the availability of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, there were more HCW among cases than controls.

CharacteristicsCases
n=878
Controls
n=2,107
n%n%
Sex
Men33337.981438.6
Women54562.11,29361.4
Age (years)
44–4921324.352524.9
50–5421324.346522.1
55–5925028.557927.5
60–6420223.053825.5
Hospital
Maisonneuve-Rosemont59167.31,22658.2
CHUS28732.788141.8
Material deprivation
Lowest14917.029213.9
Low15918.138618.3
Middle16318.644221.0
High20223.046021.8
Highest14917.039518.7
Missing566.41326.3
Work
Healthcare settings42548.423111.0
All others45351.61,87689.0

Abbreviation: CHUS, Centre hospitalier universitaire de Sherbrooke

One third of healthcare workers and one fifth of other workers had been vaccinated against influenza. Results of univariable and multivariable logistic regression are shown in Table 2 . Inactivated influenza vaccine during the 2019–2020 season was not associated with COVID-19 among HCW. Among participants who were not HCW, it was associated with lower odds of COVID-19. However, there was no indication of interaction when considering the interaction term. The association between influenza vaccination and COVID-19 did not differ by sex or age group based on the estimates of association or the p -values or interaction terms ( Table 2 ).

CharacteristicsCases
n=878
Controls
n=2,107
CrudeAdjusted value for interaction
N%N%OR95% CIOR95% CI
All participants
Not vaccinated64973.91,62677.21.00N/A1.00N/AN/A
Vaccinated22926.148122.81.190.99–1.430.810.66–1.00
Healthcare workers
Not vaccinated27364.214964.51.00N/A1.00N/A0.14
Vaccinated15235.88235.51.010.72–1.420.990.69–1.41
Not healthcare workers
Not vaccinated37683.01,47778.71.00N/A1.00N/A0.14
Vaccinated7717.039921.30.76 0.58–0.99 0.730.56–0.96
Men
Not vaccinated25275.764579.21.00N/A1.00N/A0.73
Vaccinated8124.316920.81.230.90–1.660.870.62–1.23
Women
Not vaccinated39772.898175.91.00N/A1.00N/A0.73
Vaccinated14827.231224.11.170.93–1.470.780.60–1.01
Age 44–54 years
Not vaccinated32175.481282.01.00N/A1.00N/A0.86
Vaccinated10524.617818.01.49 1.13–1.96 0.850.62–1.17
Age 55–64 year
Not vaccinated32872.681472.91.00N/A1.00N/A0.86
Vaccinated12427.430327.11.020.79–1.300.820.62–1.08

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; N/A, not applicable; OR, odds ratio

a p -value for the interaction term between influenza vaccination status and each of the three stratification variable (healthcare worker status, sex or age group) obtained from models including the stratification variable, influenza vaccination status, the interaction term and potential confounders

b Adjusted for age as a continuous variable, sex, recruitment hospital, census-based material deprivation quintile and healthcare worker status

c p <0.05

d Adjusted for age as a continuous variable, sex, recruitment hospital and census-based material deprivation quintile

e Adjusted for age as a continuous variable, recruitment hospital, census-based material deprivation quintile and healthcare worker status

f Adjusted for sex, recruitment hospital, census-based material deprivation quintile and healthcare worker status

We found that in non-HCW, seasonal influenza vaccine was associated with lower odds of SARS-CoV-2 infection and not with an enhanced risk as initially hypothesized. No effect of seasonal influenza vaccine on odds of SARS-CoV-2 infection was seen among HCW. There is no reason to believe that influenza vaccine could offer cross-protection against SARS-CoV-2 through adaptive immune mechanisms, given the dissimilarity in the surface proteins of these two viruses. A possible hypothesis to explain this apparent protective effect in non-HCW is that vaccine-derived protection against influenza during the 2020 spring (its efficacy in Canada was estimated at 58%) ( 7 ) may have lowered the chances of consulting for influenza-related upper respiratory tract symptoms when a concomitant SARS-CoV-2 infection could be diagnosed or may have reduced the risk of a more severe (thus better detected) SARS-CoV-2 episode in the presence of a dual infection. Such co-infections are, however, quite uncommon. In the United Kingdom during the first wave of COVID-19 (January–April 2020), out of 19,256 individuals tested, only 58 had a dual infection, while 992 had only an influenza and 4,442 had only a SARS-CoV-2 infection ( 8 ). Similar finding were reported from California ( 9 ). Furthermore, in Canada, circulation of the influenza virus came to an end in March 2020, and the overwhelming majority of our COVID-19 cases were reported after this date ( 10 ).

It is more plausible that non-HCW individuals who get the seasonal influenza vaccine, some of whom have chronic diseases, were more concerned with their health in general such that they may have been more compliant with social distancing and the use of masks, or reduced their potential exposures by staying at home. These public health measures would have reduced their risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection; a variation of the phenomenon known as the healthy vaccinee bias ( 11 ). This may not have been the case in HCW, who knew they were at high-risk for occupational COVID-19, and thus may have been consistently very prudent in decreasing exposure to SARS-CoV2.

In a systematic review dating back to October 2020, Del Riccio identified seven methodologically sound studies that had examined this association, and individuals vaccinated against influenza were less likely to have COVID-19 in five ( 12 ). More recent publications have also shown influenza vaccine associated with lower odds of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the United States ( 13 – 15 ) and Israel ( 16 ), while a smaller American study failed to document any effect ( 17 ). The largest study, comprising 137,037 individuals from the Mayo Clinic electronic health record database, showed a lower likelihood of developing COVID-19 not only among individuals vaccinated against influenza, but also in those who had received polio, Haemophilus influenzae type B, measles-mumps-rubella, varicella, hepatitis B, hepatitis A or pneumococcal conjugate vaccines ( 15 ). Such associations with multiple and unrelated vaccine products suggests a ”healthy user” or ”healthy vaccinee” effect.

A study limitation was that we did not collect data on co-morbidities since this could not confound the association between BCG and COVID-19, the primary objective of this study (this would have required these diseases to be associated with the administration of BCG four to six decades earlier—a very unlikely scenario). However, among participants who were not HCW, indications for the influenza vaccine include some conditions (diabetes, obesity, cardiac or pulmonary diseases, etc.) that are themselves associated with severe forms of COVID-19, and thus with the likelihood of getting tested. Adjustment for these unmeasured confounders could have slightly altered the measure of association between influenza vaccine and COVID-19 towards the null value if risk mitigation among vaccinees was more marked in patients with co-morbidities.

Another limitation of our study is that we studied individuals aged 44–64 years, whilst the main target of seasonal influenza vaccination is the age group 65 years or older. It seems unlikely, however, that a viral interference between SARS-CoV-2 and the seasonal influenza vaccine would vary with age.

Finally, compared to the controls, a much higher proportion of cases (48%) were HCWs. This reflected the overall epidemiological portrait of COVID-19 in Québec during the first wave, when HCW were at great risk of occupational infection and represented 41% of cases among persons aged 18–59 ( 18 ). In this context, a selection bias seems unlikely, but we cannot rule out the possibility that HCWs differed from the other participants in their recollection of influenza vaccination during the previous season due to a social desirability bias. However, such a bias seems unlikely given that only 36% of HCW alleged to have been vaccinated, which is comparable to routine surveillance data of influenza vaccination in healthcare institutions of Québec.

We found no evidence that seasonal influenza vaccine increased the risk of developing COVID-19 and the usual vaccination strategy does not need to be altered for the 2021–2022 season.

Acknowledgements

The following persons contributed to data collection (alphabetical order): KA Baki, D Ag Bazet, M-A Binette, J Boisvert, M-P Boisvert, J Bourget, V Choinière, A Delimi, A Deneault, V Dumont, L Duquette-Laplante, R Escobar Careaga, K Farag, L Foudil, S Gélin, K Gendron, L-A Gervais, O Grimard, R Harti, R Lachance, A Marcil-Héguy, N Métayer, S Payeur, J-C Pellerin, C Simard, R Thibeault, A-S Thiffault, and K Vettese. We are also grateful to M Malachy, J-H Lee, and N Frappier for their assistance with hospital databases, to N Gagnon for his help in setting up the data entry interface, and to G Deceuninck for helpful suggestions.

Competing interests: None.

Funding: This work was supported by the Centre de recherche du centre hospitalier universitaire de Sherbrooke through a special COVID-19 emergency funding provided by the Fondation du centre hospitalier universitaire de Sherbrooke. The funder had no role in study design, in collection, analysis and interpretation of data, in the writing of the report nor in the decision to submit.

Quick takes: Mpox vaccine contract, Oropouche travel alert, Oregon measles outbreak

  • Bavarian Nordic announced yesterday that it has received a new contract worth $156.8 million from the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA) to replenish the US supply of bulk product to make the Jynneos vaccine against mpox and smallpox. BARDA is part of the US Department of Health and Human Services. The bulk product will be made in 2024 and will partly be used to restock inventory that was used to make vaccine for the 2022 mpox outbreak. Replenishing bulk inventory is also needed to fulfil the company's existing contract to make next-generation freeze-dried vaccine for smallpox preparedness in the United States. The contract amount also covers storage of the vaccine from 2025 to 2027.
  • In a threat assessment today, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) alerted travelers and clinicians about the risk of Oropouche virus infection in certain parts of the Americas, following 19 imported cases reported in June and July, the first for the European region. The ECDC said the risk is moderate for people traveling to or living in epidemic areas in South America, Central America, and the Caribbean. It noted, however, that the risk is higher for those visiting heavily affected areas, including Brazil's northern states and the Amazon region, and for those who don't take adequate protective measures. The agency said the disease is mainly spread by a midge species not found in Europe, though several types of mosquitoes are potential vectors. The virus typically causes an acute febrile illness, but recent data from the Americas suggest that infections in pregnant women can lead to severe fetal outcomes, including death and microcephaly (small brain and head size).
  • The Oregon Health Authority recently sent an alert to health providers to be on the lookout for measles cases amid ongoing community transmission. In its latest update , the OHA said 26 cases have been confirmed, all involving unvaccinated people. Two patients were hospitalized, and no deaths have been reported. Ten cases are in kids younger than 10 years old, and 11 involve young people ages 10 to 19 years old. Seventeen cases have been reported in Marion County, with eight in Clackamas and one in Multnomah. In the United States this year, measles activity is at its highest level since 2019, which was a record-setting year. So far this year, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has reported 211 cases.

US COVID activity continues to pick up

US COVID indicators show no sign of slowing down, with most areas of the country seeing consistent rises, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said today in its latest data updates .

SARS-CoV-2 aqua

Emergency department encounters for COVID make up 2.3% of all visits, up 4.1% from the previous week. Levels are highest—in the moderate range—across the South and Southeast. 

Wastewater levels jump to 'very high' level

Wastewater detections continue to rise steadily and are now at the very high level. Levels continue to trend upward in all US regions and are highest in the West, followed by the South and Midwest. Test positivity for COVID is still rising and is at 17.6% nationally, up 1.2% compared to the previous week. Test positivity is highest in the region that includes Texas and surrounding states. 

Hospitalization rates are still elevated and are highest in people ages 65 and older. Deaths from the virus continue to trend upward, with a 7.1% rise from the previous week. COVID deaths still make up a small proportion of US fatalities, just 1.5%. 

Childhood vaccines have prevented a half billion illnesses, saved the US $2.7 trillion in 3 decades, study estimates

Girl getting vaccine in arm

Among US children born in the past 30 years, childhood vaccines have prevented an estimated 508 million cases of illness, 32 million hospitalizations, and 1.1 million deaths, resulting in direct savings of $540 billion and societal savings of $2.7 trillion, according to a study yesterday in Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report .

Researchers from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) analyzed data since 1994, when the US Vaccines for Children (VFC) program was launched to cover the cost of vaccines for children whose families might not be able to afford them. They assessed the impact of routine childhood immunizations among both VFC-eligible and non–VFC-eligible children born from 1994 to 2023 for nine vaccines: diphtheria and tetanus toxoids and acellular pertussis vaccine; Haemophilus influenzae type b conjugate vaccine; poliovirus vaccines; measles, mumps, and rubella vaccine; hepatitis B vaccine; varicella vaccine; pneumococcal conjugate vaccine; hepatitis A vaccine; and rotavirus vaccine.

"Although influenza and COVID-19 vaccines are recommended for routine immunization," the authors wrote, "they were not included in this analysis, because the methods for assessing their costs and effects differ from those for other vaccines." They also did not include recently approved respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccines.

More than 1 million deaths, 32 million hospital cases averted

The researchers calculated averted illnesses and deaths and associated costs over the lifetimes of 30 annual cohorts of children born during the study period using established economic models. They also estimated net savings for the healthcare system and for society as a whole.

Routine childhood immunizations remain a highly cost-effective public health intervention.

The investigators found that, among about 117 million children, routine childhood vaccinations prevented approximately 508 million lifetime cases of illness, 32 million hospitalizations, and 1,129,000 deaths, at a net savings of $540 billion in direct costs and $2.7 trillion in societal costs.

They conclude, "Routine childhood immunizations remain a highly cost-effective public health intervention ... Based on the 2022 CDC Market Share Report, VFC made a substantial contribution to these reductions by purchasing approximately one half of childhood vaccines at discounted prices."

Colorado, Michigan report H3N2v flu infections

The Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment has reported a variant H3N2 (H3N2v) flu case, which involves a person younger than 18 who attended an agricultural event before symptoms began, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said today in its weekly flu update .

fair pigs

The patient sought medical care the week of July 13 and was not hospitalized. No related illnesses have been found among the patient's contacts, and the investigation is ongoing.

Exposure in Michigan case still under investigation

Separately, the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services today said tests have confirmed H3N2v flu in a resident of Ingham County whose samples tested positive in late July. The results were confirmed by the CDC. 

The source of the patient's exposure is still under investigation, and so far there is no known exposure to swine or other animals.

The two cases raise the number of variant flu cases this year to five. The three others involved variant H1N2 (H1N2v) and occurred in patients in Pennsylvania. Most variant flu cases are linked to contact with pigs, and the United States typically experiences a summer rise that comes with exposure at agricultural fairs. 

Poll: Americans' knowledge, concern about mpox has dropped

mpox

As a large mpox outbreak in Africa has set off alarm bells in the global health community, Americans' knowledge of the virus and risk factors surrounding transmission has dropped compared to just 2 years ago, according to new survey from researchers at the Annenberg Public Policy Center of the University of Pennsylvania.

The survey of 1,496 US adults conducted last month shows only 5% of Americans are worried about contracting mpox in the next 3 months, compared to 21% in August 2022, when a global outbreak primarily among men who have sex with men was infecting thousands of Americans and Europeans. Only 9% of those polled last month are worried that they or their family members will contract mpox.

The 2022 outbreak was fueled by infections caused by clade 2 of the virus, which is significantly less deadly than the clade 1 strain currently fueling the outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and surrounding countries.  

Awareness of vaccine also decreased  

Though no clade 1 cases have been described in the United States, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention earlier this week said US clinicians should be on alert for any symptoms of mpox in patients who had recently been to the DRC or bordering countries.  

"The speed with which the public learned needed information about mpox in the summer of 2022 was a tribute to effective communication by the public health community," said Kathleen Hall Jamieson, PhD, director of the Annenberg Public Policy Center and director of the survey, in a press release . "That same expertise should now be deployed to ensure that those at risk remember mpox's symptoms, modes of transmission, and the protective power of vaccination."

The speed with which the public learned needed information about mpox in the summer of 2022 was a tribute to effective communication by the public health community.

Only 45% of those polled said they knew a vaccine for mpox exists, down from 61% in August 2022.

Six countries confirm more polio cases as WHO readies Gaza vaccination campaign

Six countries reported more polio cases this week, including Afghanistan and Pakistan with more wild poliovirus type 1 (WPV1) cases, according to the latest weekly update from the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI).

polio vaccination

Afghanistan reported 2 new WPV1 cases, 1 in Kandahar and the other in Hilmand, putting its total at 11 for the year. Pakistan reported 3 more cases, 2 in Balochistan and 1 in Punjab, boosting its number to 12 for 2024. Both countries have already doubled the number of cases they reported in 2023.

Elsewhere, four African countries reported cases involving circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 (cVDPV2). The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) reported 2 cases, both in Maindombe. Ethiopia reported a case in Gambella, boosting its total to 12 for the year. Nigeria also reported 1 more case, in Jigawa, lifting its total to 38. South Sudan reported 1 case in Upper Nile, making 7 infections for 2024. 

WHO preparing polio vaccine campaign for Gaza

At a World Health Organization (WHO) briefing this week, Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, PhD, said that, following the detection of polio in wastewater samples from Gaza, the WHO is preparing polio vaccination campaigns and is sending more than 1 million doses to be administer in the weeks ahead.

He said the group is mourning the sudden death of Aidan O'Leary, who was director of the WHO's Polio Eradication Program. Tedros said that, before O'Leary died while on vacation with his family, he was working on a plan for two rounds of polio vaccination in Gaza targeting 600,000 children younger than 8 years old.

"We need absolute freedom of movement for health workers and medical equipment to carry out these complex operations safely and effectively," Tedros said. "A ceasefire, or at least 'days of tranquility' during preparation and delivery of the vaccination campaigns are required to protect children in Gaza from polio."

In case you missed it

This week's top reads, us covid markers continue steady rise.

In the latest variant update, the CDC said the proportion of KP.3.1.1 jumped from 14.4% to 27.8% over the last 2 weeks.

virtual visit

Wastewater detections have now jumped to the "very high" level.

CDC updates mpox alert amid expansion in African outbreaks

Though the risk remains very low, the CDC and state partners continue to look for the clade, including in wastewater samples.

WHO considers public health emergency as mpox cases mount in Africa

Over the weekend South Africa said it now has 22 cases of the virus.

mpox

USDA confirms more H5N1 in dairy cows, wild birds, and small mammals

The latest confirmations also include more wild birds and small mammals from Weld County, a Colorado hit hard by dairy cow and poultry outbreaks.

Clinicians detail H5N1 infections in 2 Michigan farm workers

One patient had conjunctivitis in one eye, and the other had longer-lasting flulike symptoms.

dairy workers

Study: COVID vaccines saved 1.6 million lives in Europe

Total vaccine coverage in all adults aged 25 years or older was 87% for the primary vaccine series.

covid vax

COVID drops to 10th leading cause of death in US

Deaths from COVID-19 dropped by 69% in 1 year.

covid 19 deaths

Colorado's bulk-tank testing IDs more avian flu in dairy herds

In related developments, Colorado's governor recently extended an emergency declaration that frees up more resources to battle the outbreaks.

dairy milk collection

MIS-C tied to rare autoimmune overreaction in some children

MIS-C is becoming more and more rare as COVID-19 becomes endemic.

MIS-C kid

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a case study involving influenza and the influenza vaccine quizlet

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Influenza vaccination practices and perceptions among young athletes: a cross-sectional study in greece.

a case study involving influenza and the influenza vaccine quizlet

1. Introduction

2. materials and methods, 4. discussion, limitations of this study, 5. conclusions, author contributions, institutional review board statement, informed consent statement, data availability statement, acknowledgments, conflicts of interest.

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N%
GenderMale5842
Female8058
Level of trainingAmateur level8259.4
Semi-pro level4129.7
Pro level1510.9
Age (years, mean, SD) 21.98 ± 3.96
Sport activity categoryWater sports3323.9
Field sports2417.4
Fighting sports1813
Team sports2618.8
Others3726.8
Source
of information
Social media, media,
and independent factors
10072.5
Scientific sources3827.5
ReasonsN%
Lack of time5640.6
No fear of flu infection5036.2
Fear of vaccine side effects107.2
The vaccine causing flu-like symptoms53.6
Not willing to answer1712.3
VariableFlu Vaccination for 2022–2023
Yes (%)No (%)p Value
Sex 0.548
Male6 (10.3)52 (89.7)
Female11 (13.8)69 (86.3)
Age (Years, Mean, SD)21.41 ± (4.84)21.88 ± (3.84)0.512
Level of sports 0.577
Amateur12 (14.6)70 (85.4)
Semi-pro4 (9.8)37 (90.2)
Pro1 (6.7)14 (93.3)
Sports 0.266
Water sports3 (9.1)30 (90.9)
Field sports2 (8.3)22 (91.7)
Fighting sports5 (27.8)13 (72.2)
Team sports2 (7.7)24 (92.3)
Others (including tennis, dancing, weightlifting, and gymnastics)5 (13.5)32 (86.5)
Source of information 0.853
Social media, media,12 (12)88 (88)
and independent factors
Scientific sources5 (13.2)33 (86.8)
The vaccines are important for public health 0.179
Fully Agree/Agree15 (11.5)116 (88.5)
Fully Disagree/Disagree2 (28.6)5 (71.4)
In general, vaccines are safe. 0.022
Fully Agree/Agree12 (9.9)109 (90.1)
Fully Disagree/Disagree5 (29.4)12 (70.6)
In general, vaccines are effective. 0.081
Fully Agree/Agree11 (9.9)100 (90.1)
Fully Disagree/Disagree6 (22.2)21 (77.8)
Do you believe that you are going to lose training days due to the vaccine side effects? 0.117
Yes7 (8.6)74 (91.4)
No10 (17.5)47 (82.5)
Do you believe that you are going to lose an official game due to the vaccine side effects? 0.016
Yes2 (3.8)51 (96.2)
No15 (17.6)70 (82.4)
VariableInfluenza Vaccination
Yes (%)No (%)p Value
Do you believe that you are going to lose training days due to the vaccine side effects? 0.001
Yes20 (37.7)33 (62.3)
No57 (67.1)28 (32.9)
Have you ever been infected with influenza? 0.002
Yes49 (68.1)23 (31.9)
No28 (42.4)38 (57.6)
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Lamprinos, D.; Vroulou, M.; Chatzopoulos, M.; Georgakopoulos, P.; Deligiorgi, P.; Oikonomou, E.; Siasos, G.; Botonis, P.G.; Papavassiliou, K.A.; Papagiannis, D.; et al. Influenza Vaccination Practices and Perceptions Among Young Athletes: A Cross-Sectional Study in Greece. Vaccines 2024 , 12 , 904. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines12080904

Lamprinos D, Vroulou M, Chatzopoulos M, Georgakopoulos P, Deligiorgi P, Oikonomou E, Siasos G, Botonis PG, Papavassiliou KA, Papagiannis D, et al. Influenza Vaccination Practices and Perceptions Among Young Athletes: A Cross-Sectional Study in Greece. Vaccines . 2024; 12(8):904. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines12080904

Lamprinos, Dimitrios, Maria Vroulou, Michail Chatzopoulos, Panagiotis Georgakopoulos, Paraskevi Deligiorgi, Evangelos Oikonomou, Gerasimos Siasos, Petros G. Botonis, Kostas A. Papavassiliou, Dimitrios Papagiannis, and et al. 2024. "Influenza Vaccination Practices and Perceptions Among Young Athletes: A Cross-Sectional Study in Greece" Vaccines 12, no. 8: 904. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines12080904

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